Communication of climate projections in US media amid politicization of model science

The complexity and politicization of climate computer models can hinder communication of their science, uses and limitations. Evidence suggests that information on climate models in US newspapers is declining and that when it appears, it is often within sceptic discourses. Furthermore, model projections are frequently portrayed as probably being inaccurate, and political opinion outlets provide more explanation of model results than many news sources.

[1]  Stephen Zehr,et al.  Public representations of scientific uncertainty about global climate change , 2000 .

[2]  Klaus Krippendorff,et al.  Answering the Call for a Standard Reliability Measure for Coding Data , 2007 .

[3]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks , 2011 .

[4]  M. Siegel,et al.  The power of a frame: an analysis of newspaper coverage of tobacco issues--United States, 1985-1996. , 1998, Journal of health communication.

[5]  Renate Hagedorn,et al.  Strategies: Revolution in Climate Prediction is Both Necessary and Possible: A Declaration at the World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction , 2009 .

[6]  D. Mark,et al.  Selling Science: How the Press Covers Science and Technology , 1995 .

[7]  Ann Henderson-Sellers,et al.  A Climate Modelling Primer: McGuffie/A Climate Modelling Primer , 2005 .

[8]  Geoff Brumfiel,et al.  Science journalism: Supplanting the old media? , 2009, Nature.

[9]  H. Bluestein Riders on the Storm , 1995 .

[10]  Deborah L. Illman,et al.  A Longitudinal Study of the New York Times Science Times Section , 2006 .

[11]  Sharon Dunwoody,et al.  Communicating uncertainty: media coverage of new and controversial science. , 1999 .

[12]  Ann Henderson-Sellers,et al.  A Climate Modelling Primer , 1987 .

[13]  Francesco Battaglia,et al.  Climate change reconsidered II , 2009 .

[14]  Lauren Feldman,et al.  The Opinion Factor: The Effects of Opinionated News on Information Processing and Attitude Change , 2011 .

[15]  Jennifer Caroline Greene,et al.  Handbook of communication and social interaction skills , 2003 .

[16]  M. Boykoff,et al.  Balance as bias: global warming and the US prestige press☆ , 2004 .

[17]  Peter Hughes,et al.  Content Analysis: An Introduction to Its Methodology [Book Review] , 2004 .

[18]  Matthew C. Nisbet,et al.  Attention Cycles and Frames in the Plant Biotechnology Debate , 2006 .

[19]  Deborah Blum,et al.  A Field Guide for Science Writers , 1999 .

[20]  J. Dryzek,et al.  OXFORD HANDBOOK OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND SOCIETY , 2013 .

[21]  Klaus Krippendorff,et al.  Content Analysis: An Introduction to Its Methodology , 1980 .

[22]  Katherine E. Rowan,et al.  A Contemporary Theory of Explanatory Writing , 1988 .

[23]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , 2013 .

[24]  R. Pielke,et al.  Prediction : science, decision making, and the future of nature , 2000 .

[25]  Maria Carmen Lemos,et al.  Equity in forecasting climate: Can science save the world's poor? , 2007 .

[26]  H. Huntington Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating Climate Change and Facilitating Social Change , 2007 .

[27]  L. Antilla Climate of scepticism: US newspaper coverage of the science of climate change , 2005 .

[28]  educhenin Americans’ Knowledge of Climate Change , 2010 .

[29]  J. Corbett,et al.  Testing Public (Un)Certainty of Science , 2004 .

[30]  Itzhak Yanovitzky,et al.  Time Series Analysis: Traditional and Contemporary Approaches , 2008 .

[31]  Vincent R. Gray Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers , 2007 .

[32]  Richard B. Rood,et al.  Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice , 2010 .

[33]  Andrew F. Hayes,et al.  The Sage sourcebook of advanced data analysis methods for communication research , 2008 .

[34]  Dietram A. Scheufele,et al.  Framing, Agenda Setting, and Priming: The Evolution of Three Media Effects Models , 2007 .

[35]  M. Long Scientific explanation in US newspaper science stories , 1995 .

[36]  Kris M. Wilson Drought, debate, and uncertainty: measuring reporters' knowledge and ignorance about climate change , 2000 .

[37]  P. N. Edwards GLOBAL CLIMATE SCIENCE, UNCERTAINTY AND POLITICS: DATA-LADEN MODELS, MODEL-FILTERED DATA , 1999 .

[38]  P. Young,et al.  Uncertainty, Complexity and Concepts of Good Science in Climate Change Modelling: Are GCMs the Best Tools? , 1998 .

[39]  M. Boykoff Who Speaks for the Climate?: Making Sense of Media Reporting on Climate Change , 2011 .

[40]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  More knowledge, less certainty , 2010 .