Spatial and Temporal Variability in the Growth and Climate Response of Treeline Trees in Alaska

In this study, we investigated the response of trees growing at the cold margins of the boreal forest to climate variation in the 20th century. Working at eight sites at and near alpine and arctic treeline in three regions in Alaska, we compared tree growth (from measured tree ring-widths) to historical climate data to document how growth has responded to climate variation in the 20th century. We found that there was substantial regional variability in response to climate variation. Contrary to our expectations, we found that after 1950 warmer temperatures were associated with decreased tree growth in all but the wettest region, the Alaska Range. Although tree growth increased from 1900–1950 at almost all sites, significant declines in tree growth were common after 1950 in all but the Alaska Range sites. We also found that there was substantial variability in response to climate variation according to distance to treeline. Inverse growth responses to temperature were more common at sites below the forest margin than at sites at the forest margin. Together, these results suggest that inverse responses to temperature are widespread, affecting even the coldest parts of the boreal forest. Even in such close proximity to treeline, warm temperatures after 1950 have been associated with reduced tree growth. Growth declines were most common in the warmer and drier sites, and thus support the hypothesis that drought-stress may accompany increased warming in the boreal forest.

[1]  E. Cook,et al.  Reconstructed Summer Degree Days in Central Alaska and Northwestern Canada since 1524 , 1985, Quaternary Research.

[2]  L. Graumlich,et al.  HOLOCENE DYNAMICS OF TREELINE FORESTS IN THE SIERRA NEVADA , 1997 .

[3]  R. K. Dixon,et al.  Carbon Pools and Flux of Global Forest Ecosystems , 1994, Science.

[4]  A. Michelsen,et al.  RESPONSES IN MICROBES AND PLANTS TO CHANGED TEMPERATURE, NUTRIENT, AND LIGHT REGIMES IN THE ARCTIC , 1999 .

[5]  G. Bonan,et al.  Effects of boreal forest vegetation on global climate , 1992, Nature.

[6]  J. Houghton,et al.  Climate change 1995: the science of climate change. , 1996 .

[7]  Wilfred M. Post,et al.  Soil carbon pools and world life zones , 1982, Nature.

[8]  Konrad A Hughen,et al.  Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries , 1997 .

[9]  F. Stuart Chapin,et al.  Responses of Arctic Tundra to Experimental and Observed Changes in Climate , 1995 .

[10]  V. Kattsov,et al.  Twentieth-Century Trends of Arctic Precipitation from Observational Data and a Climate Model Simulation , 2000 .

[11]  G. Watts,et al.  Climate Change 1995 , 1998 .

[12]  John E. Walsh,et al.  Recent Variations of Sea Ice and Air Temperature in High Latitudes , 1993 .

[13]  G. Schmidt,et al.  Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing , 1999, Nature.

[14]  A. McGuire,et al.  Land Cover Change on the Seward Peninsula: The Use of Remote Sensing to Evaluate the Potential Influences of Climate Warming on Historical Vegetation Dynamics , 2001 .

[15]  G. Jacoby,et al.  Tree rings, carbon dioxide, and climatic change. , 1997, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[16]  L. C. Bliss,et al.  Reproductive Ecology of Picea Mariana (Mill.) BSP., at Tree Line Near Inuvik, Northwest Territories, Canada , 1980 .

[17]  Robert B. Jackson,et al.  PLANT COMPETITION UNDERGROUND , 1997 .

[18]  L. Brubaker,et al.  Modern climate–tree-growth relationships and climatic reconstruction in sub-Arctic Alaska , 1980, Nature.

[19]  A. Lynch,et al.  Impacts of Fire and Warming on Ecosystem Uptake in the Boreal Forest , 2000 .

[20]  Gordon C. Jacoby,et al.  Long-Term Temperature Trends and Tree Growth in the Taymir Region of Northern Siberia , 2000, Quaternary Research.

[21]  John M. Wallace,et al.  Annular Modes in the Extratropical Circulation. Part II: Trends , 2000 .

[22]  Vladimir E. Romanovsky,et al.  Evidence for warming and thawing of discontinuous permafrost in Alaska , 1999 .

[23]  Malcolm K. Hughes,et al.  Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries , 1998, Nature.

[24]  R. Aravena,et al.  Holocene Treeline History and Climate Change Across Northern Eurasia , 2000, Quaternary Research.

[25]  J. Smol,et al.  Rapid response of treeline vegetation and lakes to past climate warming , 1993, Nature.

[26]  Walter C. Oechel,et al.  Recent change of Arctic tundra ecosystems from a net carbon dioxide sink to a source , 1993, Nature.

[27]  F. Stuart Chapin,et al.  Summer Differences among Arctic Ecosystems in Regional Climate Forcing , 2000 .

[28]  J. Fyfe,et al.  The Arctic and Antarctic oscillations and their projected changes under global warming , 1999 .

[29]  J. Wallace,et al.  Annular Modes in the Extratropical Circulation. Part I: Month-to-Month Variability* , 2000 .

[30]  J. Wallace,et al.  The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields , 1998 .

[31]  C. Tucker,et al.  Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991 , 1997, Nature.

[32]  J. Schimel,et al.  Controls on Soil Carbon Dioxide and Methane Fluxes in a Variety of Taiga Forest Stands in Interior Alaska , 2000, Ecosystems.

[33]  R. Stone Variations in western Arctic temperatures in response to cloud radiative and synoptic‐scale influences , 1997 .

[34]  G. MacDonald,et al.  Age-dependent tree-ring growth responses of subarctic white spruce to climate , 1994 .

[35]  G. Jacoby,et al.  Secular trends in high northern latitude temperature reconstructions based on tree rings , 1993 .

[36]  A. Friend,et al.  The high‐latitude terrestrial carbon sink: a model analysis , 2000 .

[37]  L. Kullman Holocene tree-limit and climate history from the Scandes Mountains, Sweden , 1995 .

[38]  C. D. Keeling,et al.  Increased activity of northern vegetation inferred from atmospheric CO2 measurements , 1996, Nature.

[39]  M. Stokes,et al.  An Introduction to Tree-Ring Dating , 1996 .

[40]  Andrew J. Weaver The Science of Climate Change , 2003 .

[41]  G. Jacoby,et al.  Mongolian Tree Rings and 20th-Century Warming , 1996, Science.

[42]  P. Jones,et al.  Trees tell of past climates: But are they speaking less clearly today? , 1998 .

[43]  G. Hegerl,et al.  Implications of changes in the northern hemisphere circulation for the detection of anthropogenic climate change , 2000 .

[44]  Tim Hammond,et al.  Spatial prediction of climatic state factor regions in Alaska , 1996 .

[45]  Knute J. Nadelhoffer,et al.  13 – Microbial Processes and Plant Nutrient Availability in Arctic Soils , 1992 .

[46]  Prof. Dr. Walter Tranquillini Physiological Ecology of the Alpine Timberline , 1979, Ecological Studies.

[47]  Bruce P. Finney,et al.  Reduced growth of Alaskan white spruce in the twentieth century from temperature-induced drought stress , 2000, Nature.

[48]  W. Oechel,et al.  Observational Evidence of Recent Change in the Northern High-Latitude Environment , 2000 .

[49]  L. Kullman Long-Term Dynamics of High-Altitude Populations of Pinus sylvestris in the Swedish Scandes , 1987 .

[50]  J. Weiner,et al.  Asymmetric competition in plant populations. , 1990, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[51]  R. F. Griggs The Edge of the Forest in Alaska and the Reasons for Its Position , 1934 .

[52]  P. Wadhams Arctic sea ice extent and thickness , 1995, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Physical and Engineering Sciences.

[53]  Dan Binkley,et al.  Expansion of forest stands into tundra in the Noatak National Preserve, northwest Alaska , 1999 .

[54]  F. H. Schweingruber,et al.  Reduced sensitivity of recent tree-growth to temperature at high northern latitudes , 1998, Nature.

[55]  A. Lloyd Response of tree-line populations of foxtail pine (Pinus balfouriana) to climate variation over the last 1000 years , 1997 .

[56]  Gordon C. Jacoby,et al.  Tree ring width and density evidence of climatic and potential forest change in Alaska , 1995 .

[57]  James F. Reynolds,et al.  Arctic ecosystems in a changing climate : an ecophysiological perspective , 1993 .

[58]  F. Chapin Direct and indirect effects of temperature on arctic plants , 1983, Polar Biology.