The Econometrics of Maritime Safety: "Recommendations to Enhance Safety at Sea"

textabstractDe maritieme industrie wordt gekarakteriseerd door een extensief juridisch kader gebaseerd op internationale wetten die beperkte wettelijke mogelijkheden voor handhaving bieden in geval van overtreding. Dit creeert mazen in de regelgeving en verstoring van de mededinging door het bestaan van een markt met substandaard schepen. Het gebrek aan vertrouwen in de industrie heeft een speelterrein gecreeerd voor inspecties van bepaalde scheepstypen inclusief een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid door de industrie geentameerde inspecties. Dit proefschrift is gebaseerd op een unique dataset van ongeveer 183,000 port state control (PSC) inspecties en 11,000 ongevallen tussen 1999 tot 2004 van verschillende bronnen om gebieden voor verbeteringen te identificeren in het veiligheidssysteem, port state control in het bijzonder. Twee gebieden van potentiele verbetering zijn geidentificeerd: 1) de targetfactors van inspecties en 2) de inspecties en het opvolgen van gebreken. Het effect van PSC inspecties op de waarschijnlijkheid van ongevallen kan gemeten worden voor "zeer ernstige ongevallen" maar niet voor "ernstige" en "minder ernstige ongevallen". Terwijl de sleutelgetallen over tekortkomingen en aanhoudingen varieren over de regimes, worden de verschillen in de waarschijnlijkheid van aanhouding alleen maar weerspiegeld in de verschillen in havenstaten en de behandeling van tekortkomingen en niet noodzakelijkerwijs door leeftijd, grootte, vlag, klasse of eigenaar. De klassieke variabelen zoals scheeps type, leeftijd, grootte, vlag, de classificatie vereniging, tekortkomingen gevonden in eerdere inspecties en aanhoudingen zijn allemaal geldige variabelen voor het doelbewust uitkiezen van substandaard schepen. Vlag is alleen een variable uit de vele die kunnen worden gebruikt voor de targeting op substandaard schepen. Het doelbewust kiezen gebaseerd op gecombineerde inspectie en schip specifieke data inclusief informatie over de verandering van eigendom, terugtrekking van classificatie, verandering van classificatie en vetting inspecties kunnen de targeting op schepen verder verbeteren. De waarschijnlijkheid per ernst van ongeval of "eerste orde ongeval" onthulde eveneens de drie aandachtsgebieden - de ISM code, scheeps- en lading operaties en machines en apparatuur. Deze zijn de hoofdzakelijke gebieden die geindentificeerd zijn waar ruimte voor verbetering bestaat voor PSC inspecties dat de waarschijnlijkheid tot een ongeval doet dalen.

[1]  R. Govers,et al.  Virtual Tourism Destination Image: Glocal identities constructed, perceived and experienced , 2005 .

[2]  Di Jin,et al.  VESSEL ACCIDENT OIL-SPILLAGE: POST US OPA-90 , 2001 .

[3]  M. Mol.  Outsourcing, Supplier Relations and Internationalisation: Global Sourcing Strategy as a Chinese Puzzle , 2001 .

[4]  E. de Vries-van Ketel,et al.  How Assortment Variety Affects Assortment Attractiveness: A Consumer Perspective , 2006 .

[5]  Dolores Romero Morales,et al.  Optimization Problems in Supply Chain Management , 2000 .

[6]  Ramon M Lentink,et al.  Algorithmic Decision Support for Shunt Planning , 2006 .

[7]  Dennis Fok,et al.  Advanced Econometric Marketing Models , 2003 .

[8]  Wayne K. Talley,et al.  The safety of sea transport: determinants of crew injuries , 1999 .

[9]  Dominique Delporte-Vermeiren.  Improving the flexibility and profitability of ICT-enabled business networks: an assessment method and tool. , 2003 .

[10]  Laurens M. Sloot,et al.  Understanding Consumer Reactions to Assortment Unavailability , 2006 .

[11]  David W. Hosmer,et al.  Applied Logistic Regression , 1991 .

[12]  W. Demaeseneire,et al.  Essays on Firm Valuation and Value Appropriation , 2005 .

[13]  Arjen Mulder,et al.  Government Dilemmas in the Private Provision of Public Goods , 2004 .

[14]  A. Gutkowska,et al.  Essays on the Dynamic Portfolio Choice , 2006 .

[15]  Marcel van Rinsum,et al.  Performance Measurement and Managerial Time Orientation , 1999 .

[16]  Frédérique Six,et al.  Trust and trouble; Building interpersonal trust within organizations , 2004 .

[17]  Victor Gilsing,et al.  Exploration, Exploitation and Co-evolution in Innovation Networks , 2003 .

[18]  I.F.A. Vis,et al.  Planning and Control Concepts for Material Handling Systems , 2002 .

[19]  H. Alvarez,et al.  Distributed Collaborative Learning Communities Enabled by Information Communication Technology , 2006 .

[20]  J. Appelman,et al.  Governance of Global Interorganizational Tourism Networks; Changing forms of co-ordination between the travel agency and aviation sector , 2004 .

[21]  K. deValck.  Virtual Communities of Consumption: Networks of Consumer Knowledge and Companionship , 2005 .

[22]  P. Daniševská,et al.  Empirical Studies on Financial Intermediation and Corporate Policies , 2004 .

[23]  Csaba Attila Boer.  Distributed Simulation in Industry , 2005 .

[24]  G. Moerman,et al.  Empirical Studies on Asset Pricing and Banking in the Euro Area , 2005 .

[25]  Erik Kole,et al.  On crises, crashes and comovements , 2006 .

[26]  Martin van der Mandele,et al.  Leadership and the inflection point; A Longitudinal Perspective , 2004 .

[27]  Michiel Vromans,et al.  Reliability of Railway Systems , 2005 .

[28]  Sophie Schweizer,et al.  An Individual Psychology of Novelty-Seeking, Creativity and Innovation , 2000 .

[29]  P. vanVliet.  Downside Risk And Empirical Asset Pricing , 2004 .

[30]  M. W. Wielemaker,et al.  Managing Initiatives. A Synthesis of the Conditioning and Knowledge-Creating View , 2003 .

[31]  Robert van der Meer,et al.  Operational Control of Internal Transport , 2000 .

[32]  Matthijs Wolters,et al.  The Business of Modularity and the Modularity of Business , 1999 .

[33]  P. Heugens.  Strategic Issues Management , 2002 .

[35]  J. Hermans,et al.  ICT in Information Services; Use and deployment of ICT in the Dutch securities trade 1860-1970 , 1999 .

[36]  Jeanine Kippers,et al.  Empirical Studies on Cash Payments , 2004 .

[37]  E. deHartigh,et al.  Increasing Returns and Firm Performance: An Empirical Study , 2005 .

[38]  Kees Jan Roodbergen,et al.  Layout and routing methods for warehouses , 2001 .

[39]  Sten-Erik Clausen,et al.  Applied correspondence analysis : an introduction , 1998 .

[40]  Jeroen G. Kuilman,et al.  The Re-Emergence of Foreign Banks in Shanghai: An Ecological Analysis , 2005 .

[41]  Wayne K. Talley,et al.  DETERMINANTS OF THE PROPERTY DAMAGE COSTS OF TANKER ACCIDENTS , 1999 .

[42]  R.A.J.L. vanWijk.  Organizing Knowledge in Internal Networks; A Multilevel Study , 2003 .

[43]  M.B.M. de Koster,et al.  Intelligent Control of Vehicle-Based Internal Transport Systems , 2001 .

[44]  M. Sonnenberg.  The signalling effect of HRM on psychological contract of employees: A multi-level perspective , 2006 .

[45]  A. Slager,et al.  Banking across Borders , 1998 .

[46]  Gjalt de Graaf,et al.  Tractable Morality. Customer discourses of bankers, veterinarians and charity workers. , 2003 .

[47]  Wayne K. Talley.  The safety of ferries: an accident injury perspective , 2002 .

[48]  Wayne K. Talley.  Vessel Damage Cost Differentials: Bulk, Container and Tanker Accidents , 2002 .

[49]  Bert Flier,et al.  Strategic Renewal of European Financial Incumbents; Coevolution of Environmental Selection, Institutional Effects, and Managerial Intentionality , 2003 .

[50]  J. MacKinnon,et al.  Estimation and inference in econometrics , 1994 .

[51]  Guido Berens,et al.  Corporate Branding: The Development of Corporate associations and their Influence on Stakeholder Reactions , 2004 .

[52]  Tho Le-Duc,et al.  Design and Control of Efficient Order Picking Processes , 2005 .

[53]  Liselore Berghman,et al.  Strategic Innovation Capacity: A Mixed Method Study on Deliberate Strategic Learning Mechanisms , 2006 .

[54]  M. D. Brito,et al.  Managing reverse logistics or reversing logistics management , 2004 .

[55]  Wayne K. Talley.  NON-SEAWORTHY RISKS OF BULK SHIP ACCIDENTS , 2002 .

[56]  Andrea Ganzaroli,et al.  Creating trust between local and global systems , 2002 .

[57]  Gerald Keller,et al.  Statistics for Management and Economics , 1990 .

[58]  Allan Muller,et al.  The Rise of Regionalism: Core Company Strategies Under The Second Wave of Integration , 2004 .

[59]  A. Harvey.  Estimating Regression Models with Multiplicative Heteroscedasticity , 1976 .

[60]  H. Volberda,et al.  Intelligent Adaptation. Organizational dynamics of cognition and action in the changing Dutch and U.S. banking industries , 2003 .

[61]  Tom J. M. Mom.  Managers’ Exploration and Exploitation Activities: The Influence of Organizational Factors and Knowledge Inflows , 2006 .

[62]  Viara Popova,et al.  Knowledge Discovery and Monotonicity , 2004 .

[63]  Cyriel de Jong.  Dealing with Derivatives. Studies on the role, informational content and pricing of financial derivatives , 2003 .

[64]  A. Keizer,et al.  The Changing Logic of Japanese Employment Practices: A Firm-Level Analysis of Four Industries , 2005 .

[65]  G. Liang,et al.  New Competition; Foreign Direct Investment and Industrial Development in China , 2004 .

[66]  A. G. de Waal,et al.  Processing of Erroneous and Unsafe Data , 2003 .

[67]  F. Blindenbach-Driessen,et al.  Innovation Management in Project-Based Firms , 2006 .

[68]  Leon W P Peeters,et al.  Cyclic Railway Timetable Optimization , 2003 .

[69]  Tony Alderton,et al.  Flag states and safety: 1997-1999 , 2002 .

[70]  R. Hagemeijer,et al.  The Unmasking of the Other , 2005 .

[71]  Joost Loef.  Incongruity between Ads and Consumer Expectations of Advertising , 2002 .

[72]  Peter W. de Langen,et al.  The Performance of Seaport Clusters; A Framework to Analyze Cluster Performance and an Application to the Seaport Clusters of Durban, Rotterdam and the Lower Mississippi , 2004 .

[73]  Willem Smit,et al.  Market Information Sharing in Channel Relationships. Its Nature, Antecedents, and Consequences , 2006 .

[74]  O. Koppius.  Information Architecture and Electronic Market Performance , 2002 .

[75]  Julia Kotlarsky,et al.  Management of Globally Distributed Component-Based Software Development Projects , 2005 .

[76]  I. Pouchkarev.  Performance Evaluation of Constrained Portfolios , 2005 .

[77]  Ksenia Iastrebova,et al.  Managers’ Information Overload the impact of coping strategies on decision-making performance , 2006 .

[78]  P. Ratnasingam,et al.  Interorganizational Trust in Business to Business E-Commerce , 2001 .

[79]  Jos van Iwaarden,et al.  Changing Quality Controls: the effects of increasing product variety and shortening product life cycles , 2002 .

[80]  D. Jin,et al.  Post OPA-90 vessel oil spill differentials: transfers versus vessel accidents , 2004 .

[81]  R. L. Thomas,et al.  Modern Econometrics: An Introduction , 1997 .

[82]  P. C. vanFenema.  Coordination and Control of Globally Distributed Software Projects , 2002 .

[83]  Peter Miltenburg,et al.  Effects of modular sourcing on manufacturing flexibility in the automotive industry. A study among German OEMs , 2003 .

[84]  A. Mentink,et al.  Essays on Corporate Bonds , 2000 .

[85]  L A Reyner,et al.  FATIGUE IN FERRY CREWS - A PILOT STUDY , 1998 .

[86]  Philip Hans Franses,et al.  Quantitative Models in Marketing Research , 2001 .

[87]  S. Wennekers,et al.  Entrepreneurship at Country Level: Economic and Non-Economic Determinants , 2006 .

[88]  R. Pownall,et al.  Rethinking risk in international financial markets , 2001 .

[89]  M. Londoño,et al.  Institutional Arrangements that Affect Free Trade Agreements: Economic Rationality Versus Interest Groups , 2006 .

[90]  R. Brohm.  Polycentric Order in Organizations , 2005 .

[91]  Yongping Chen,et al.  Labour flexibility in China's companies: An Empirical Study , 2001 .

[92]  Ph. H. B. F. Franses,et al.  Censored regression analysis in large samples with many zero observations , 1999 .

[93]  Reginald Hooghiemstra,et al.  The Construction of Reality , 2003 .

[94]  D. van deBerghe.  Working Across Borders: Multinational Enterprises and the Internationalization of Employment , 2003 .

[95]  N. Boer,et al.  Knowledge Sharing within Organizations , 2005 .

[96]  P. Vlaar.  Making Sense of Formalization in Interorganizational Relationships: Beyond Coordination and Control , 2006 .

[97]  Raoul Pietersz.  Pricing Models for Bermudan-style Interest Rate Derivatives , 2001 .

[98]  I. Verheul,et al.  Is there a (fe)male approach? Understanding gender differences in entrepreneurship , 2005 .