A high-resolution human contact network for infectious disease transmission

The most frequent infectious diseases in humans—and those with the highest potential for rapid pandemic spread—are usually transmitted via droplets during close proximity interactions (CPIs). Despite the importance of this transmission route, very little is known about the dynamic patterns of CPIs. Using wireless sensor network technology, we obtained high-resolution data of CPIs during a typical day at an American high school, permitting the reconstruction of the social network relevant for infectious disease transmission. At 94% coverage, we collected 762,868 CPIs at a maximal distance of 3 m among 788 individuals. The data revealed a high-density network with typical small-world properties and a relatively homogeneous distribution of both interaction time and interaction partners among subjects. Computer simulations of the spread of an influenza-like disease on the weighted contact graph are in good agreement with absentee data during the most recent influenza season. Analysis of targeted immunization strategies suggested that contact network data are required to design strategies that are significantly more effective than random immunization. Immunization strategies based on contact network data were most effective at high vaccination coverage.

[1]  L. Freeman Centrality in social networks conceptual clarification , 1978 .

[2]  T R Bender,et al.  An outbreak of influenza aboard a commercial airliner. , 1979, American journal of epidemiology.

[3]  R. May,et al.  Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control , 1991, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[4]  A. J. Hall Infectious diseases of humans: R. M. Anderson & R. M. May. Oxford etc.: Oxford University Press, 1991. viii + 757 pp. Price £50. ISBN 0-19-854599-1 , 1992 .

[5]  P. Kaye Infectious diseases of humans: Dynamics and control , 1993 .

[6]  R. Harpaz,et al.  Prevention of plague: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). , 1996, MMWR. Recommendations and reports : Morbidity and mortality weekly report. Recommendations and reports.

[7]  Duncan J. Watts,et al.  Collective dynamics of ‘small-world’ networks , 1998, Nature.

[8]  M. Meltzer,et al.  The economic impact of pandemic influenza in the United States: priorities for intervention. , 1999, Emerging infectious diseases.

[9]  Malbea A Lapete,et al.  Prevention and Control of Influenza Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices ( ACIP ) , 2004 .

[10]  L. Amaral,et al.  The web of human sexual contacts , 2001, Nature.

[11]  M. Newman Spread of epidemic disease on networks. , 2002, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[12]  M E J Newman,et al.  Community structure in social and biological networks , 2001, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[13]  M. Newman,et al.  Mixing patterns in networks. , 2002, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[14]  Social networks: Sexual contacts and epidemic thresholds. , 2003, Nature.

[15]  Padhraic Smyth,et al.  Algorithms for estimating relative importance in networks , 2003, KDD '03.

[16]  L. Amaral,et al.  Sexual contacts and epidemic thresholds , 2003 .

[17]  A. Vespignani,et al.  The architecture of complex weighted networks. , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[18]  M. Newman,et al.  Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity , 2004, Journal of Theoretical Biology.

[19]  Martin Vetterli,et al.  Proceedings of the 4th international symposium on Information processing in sensor networks , 2005 .

[20]  A. Nizam,et al.  Containing Pandemic Influenza at the Source , 2005, Science.

[21]  P. E. Kopp,et al.  Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence , 2005, Nature.

[22]  Arul Earnest,et al.  Asymptomatic SARS Coronavirus Infection among Healthcare Workers, Singapore , 2005, Emerging infectious diseases.

[23]  David E. Culler,et al.  Telos: enabling ultra-low power wireless research , 2005, IPSN 2005. Fourth International Symposium on Information Processing in Sensor Networks, 2005..

[24]  D. Cummings,et al.  Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia , 2005, Nature.

[25]  J. Reichardt,et al.  Statistical mechanics of community detection. , 2006, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[26]  D. Cummings,et al.  Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic , 2006, Nature.

[27]  T. Geisel,et al.  The scaling laws of human travel , 2006, Nature.

[28]  Robert M May,et al.  Network structure and the biology of populations. , 2006, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[29]  Michael Gardam,et al.  Transmission of influenza A in human beings. , 2007, The Lancet. Infectious diseases.

[30]  Raymond Tellier,et al.  Transmission of influenza A in human beings. , 2007, The Lancet. Infectious diseases.

[31]  Y. Li,et al.  How far droplets can move in indoor environments--revisiting the Wells evaporation-falling curve. , 2007, Indoor air.

[32]  Influenza Team Influenza transmission: research needs for informing infection control policies and practice. , 2007, Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin.

[33]  Richard Vaille Lee,et al.  Transmission of influenza A in human beings. , 2007, The Lancet. Infectious diseases.

[34]  Brian Chin,et al.  Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918–20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis , 2006, The Lancet.

[35]  C. Macken,et al.  Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[36]  W. Edmunds,et al.  Dynamic social networks and the implications for the spread of infectious disease , 2008, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[37]  M. Pascual,et al.  Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics , 2008, Nature.

[38]  Shlomo Havlin,et al.  Finding a better immunization strategy. , 2008, Physical review letters.

[39]  Laura M. Glass,et al.  Social contact networks for the spread of pandemic influenza in children and teenagers , 2008, BMC public health.

[40]  Mason A. Porter,et al.  Community Structure in Online Collegiate Social Networks , 2008 .

[41]  David Lazer,et al.  Inferring friendship network structure by using mobile phone data , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[42]  N. Cox,et al.  Prevention and control of seasonal influenza with vaccines: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), 2009. , 2009 .

[43]  Derek A T Cummings,et al.  Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school. , 2009, The New England journal of medicine.

[44]  Gail E. Potter,et al.  The Transmissibility and Control of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus , 2009, Science.

[45]  J. Medlock,et al.  Optimizing Influenza Vaccine Distribution , 2009, Science.

[46]  Philip Levis,et al.  Experiences in measuring a human contact network for epidemiology research , 2010, HotEmNets.

[47]  Benjamin J Cowling,et al.  Viral Shedding and Clinical Illness in Naturally Acquired Influenza Virus Infections , 2010, The Journal of infectious diseases.

[48]  Marcel Salathé,et al.  Dynamics and Control of Diseases in Networks with Community Structure , 2010, PLoS Comput. Biol..

[49]  Ciro Cattuto,et al.  Dynamics of Person-to-Person Interactions from Distributed RFID Sensor Networks , 2010, PloS one.