Assessment of the spatial variability in particulate organic matter and mineral sinking fluxes in the ocean interior: Implications for the ballast hypothesis

[1] Multiple linear regression analysis (MLRA) applied to sediment trap data has been highly influential in identifying a plausible ‘ballasting’ mechanism that directly links the settling fluxes of particulate organic carbon (POC) to those of denser, inorganic minerals. However, analysis to date has primarily been carried out at the global scale, missing spatial variability in the flux relationships that may be important. In this paper, Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is applied to an updated deep (>1500 m) sediment trap database (n = 156), using the MLRA approach of Klaas and Archer (2002) but now allowing the carrying coefficients to vary in space. While the global mean carrying coefficient values for CaCO3, opal, and lithogenics are broadly consistent with previous work, the GWR analysis reveals the existence of substantial and statistically significant spatial variability in all three carrying coefficients. In particular, the absence of a strong globally uniform relationship between CaCO3 and POC in our spatial analysis calls into question whether a simple ballasting mechanism exists. Instead, the existence of coherent spatial patterns in carrying coefficients, which are reminiscent of biogeochemical provinces, points toward differences in specific pelagic ecosystem characteristics as being the likely underlying cause of the flux relationships sampled by sediment traps. Our findings present a challenge to ocean carbon cycle modelers who to date have applied a single statistical global relationship in their carbon flux parameterizations when considering mineral ballasting, and provide a further clue as to how the efficiency of the biological pump in the modern ocean is regulated.

[1]  U. Passow Switching perspectives: Do mineral fluxes determine particulate organic carbon fluxes or vice versa? , 2004 .

[2]  H. Ploug,et al.  Ballast minerals and the sinking carbon flux in the ocean: carbon-specific respiration rates and sinking velocity of marine snow aggregates , 2010 .

[3]  A. Stewart Fotheringham,et al.  Links, comparisons and extensions of the geographically weighted regression model when used as a spatial predictor , 2011 .

[4]  S. Doney,et al.  The dynamic ocean biological pump: Insights from a global compilation of particulate organic carbon, CaCO3, and opal concentration profiles from the mesopelagic , 2011 .

[5]  Richard Sanders,et al.  Global patterns in efficiency of particulate organic carbon export and transfer to the deep ocean , 2012 .

[6]  E. Maier‐Reimer,et al.  Effect of deep-sea sedimentary calcite preservation on atmospheric CO2 concentration , 1994, Nature.

[7]  O. Ragueneau,et al.  Si and C interactions in the world ocean: Importance of ecological processes and implications for the role of diatoms in the biological pump , 2006 .

[8]  M. Charlton,et al.  Geographically Weighted Regression: A Natural Evolution of the Expansion Method for Spatial Data Analysis , 1998 .

[9]  Ulf Riebesell,et al.  Sensitivities of marine carbon fluxes to ocean change , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[10]  A. Ridgwell An end to the “rain ratio” reign? , 2003 .

[11]  I. Salter,et al.  The association between biogenic and inorganic minerals and the amino acid composition of settling particles , 2010 .

[12]  Richard A. Krishfield,et al.  Particulate organic carbon fluxes to the ocean interior and factors controlling the biological pump: A synthesis of global sediment trap programs since 1983 , 2008 .

[13]  A. Hope A Simplified Monte Carlo Significance Test Procedure , 1968 .

[14]  Zhanfei Liu,et al.  Investigating the effect of ballasting by CaCO3 in Emiliania huxleyi: I. Formation, settling velocities and physical properties of aggregates , 2009 .

[15]  E. Achterberg,et al.  The relative contribution of fast and slow sinking particles to ocean carbon export , 2012 .

[16]  P. Ziveri,et al.  Sinking of coccolith carbonate and potential contribution to organic carbon ballasting in the deep ocean , 2007 .

[17]  P. Boyd,et al.  Shedding light on processes that control particle export and flux attenuation in the twilight zone of the open ocean , 2009 .

[18]  S. Wakeham,et al.  A new, mechanistic model for organic carbon fluxes in the ocean based on the quantitative association of POC with ballast minerals , 2001 .

[19]  Frank E. Muller-Karger,et al.  Particulate organic carbon fluxes along upwelling‐dominated continental margins: Rates and mechanisms , 2007 .

[20]  P. Stoffers,et al.  Trapping efficiencies of sediment traps from the deep Eastern North Atlantic:: the 230Th calibration , 2001 .

[21]  A. Longhurst Ecological Geography of the Sea , 1998 .

[22]  C. L. De La Rocha,et al.  Accumulation of mineral ballast on organic aggregates , 2006 .

[23]  G. Fischer,et al.  Ballast, sinking velocity, and apparent diffusivity within marine snow and zooplankton fecal pellets: Implications for substrate turnover by attached bacteria , 2008 .

[24]  Jammalamadaka Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis (3rd ed.) , 2003 .

[25]  W. K. Johnson,et al.  Seasonal and interannual variability in particle fluxes of carbon, nitrogen and silicon from time series of sediment traps at Ocean Station P, 1982–1993: relationship to changes in subarctic primary productivity , 1999 .

[26]  E. Yu,et al.  Trapping efficiency of bottom-tethered sediment traps estimated from the intercepted fluxes of 230Th and 231Pa , 2001 .

[27]  H. Schellnhuber,et al.  Oceanic acidification affects marine carbon pump and triggers extended marine oxygen holes , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[28]  M. Conte,et al.  Seasonal and interannual variability in deep ocean particle fluxes at the Oceanic Flux Program (OFP)/Bermuda Atlantic Time Series (BATS) site in the western Sargasso Sea near Bermuda , 2001 .

[29]  M. Vichi,et al.  The emergence of ocean biogeochemical provinces: A quantitative assessment and a diagnostic for model evaluation , 2011 .

[30]  Christoph Heinze,et al.  Simulating oceanic CaCO3 export production in the greenhouse , 2004 .

[31]  S. Siedlecki,et al.  Organic carbon and carbonate fluxes: Links to climate change , 2007 .

[32]  P. Froelich,et al.  A simple method for the rapid determination of biogenic opal in pelagic marine sediments , 1989 .

[33]  H. Hasumi,et al.  Evaluating effect of ballast mineral on deep‐ocean nutrient concentration by using an ocean general circulation model , 2008 .

[34]  U. Passow,et al.  Factors influencing the sinking of POC and the efficiency of the biological carbon pump , 2007 .

[35]  Elizabeth A. Peck,et al.  Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis , 2001 .

[36]  S. Barker,et al.  The future of the carbon cycle: review, calcification response, ballast and feedback on atmospheric CO2 , 2003, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

[37]  Thomas W. Trull,et al.  Understanding the export of biogenic particles in oceanic waters: Is there consensus? , 2007 .

[38]  C. L. De La Rocha,et al.  Interactions between diatom aggregates, minerals, particulate organic carbon, and dissolved organic matter: Further implications for the ballast hypothesis , 2008 .

[39]  Christoph Heinze,et al.  Reconciling surface ocean productivity, export fluxes and sediment composition in a global biogeochemical ocean model , 2006 .

[40]  G. Gorsky,et al.  A vertical model of particle size distributions and fluxes in the midwater column that includes biological and physical processes—Part II: application to a three year survey in the NW Mediterranean Sea , 2004 .

[41]  H. Akaike A new look at the statistical model identification , 1974 .

[42]  R. Lal,et al.  Mapping the organic carbon stocks of surface soils using local spatial interpolator. , 2011, Journal of environmental monitoring : JEM.

[43]  David Archer,et al.  Association of sinking organic matter with various types of mineral ballast in the deep sea: Implications for the rain ratio , 2002 .

[44]  S. Fotheringham,et al.  Geographically weighted regression : modelling spatial non-stationarity , 1998 .

[45]  Richard A. Krishfield,et al.  Factors controlling the flux of organic carbon to the bathypelagic zone of the ocean , 2002 .

[46]  J. Bishop,et al.  High biomass, low export regimes in the Southern Ocean , 2007 .

[47]  S. Watanabe,et al.  Importance of biogenic opal as ballast of particulate organic carbon (POC) transport and existence of mineral ballast‐associated and residual POC in the Western Pacific Subarctic Gyre , 2010 .

[48]  E. Maier‐Reimer,et al.  Sensitivity of ocean carbon tracer distributions to particulate organic flux parameterizations , 2006 .