A moment-matching based method for the analysis of manipulator’s repeatability of positioning with arbitrarily distributed joint clearances

The joint clearance can be the mainly concern factor in the analysis of repeatability of positioning for a manipulator. Traditionally, the joint clearance is empirically assumed to be uniform or normal variables. This hasty treatment may be not accurate enough when the precise statistic information of variables cannot be obtained. To handle the reliability evaluation problem with arbitrarily distributed joint clearances, a moment-matching based method is proposed. The highly nonlinear performance function is firstly established by the forward kinematics and then a second order Taylor expansion is performed on this function for the order reduction. Based on the maximum entropy principle, the Lagrange multipliers method is employed to derive a best-fit probability density function (PDF) with consideration of the first four moments-matching restrictions. This study shows that the prosed method can acquire a better accuracy and efficiency compared with the first order second moment method (FOSM), first order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). A serial manipulator is applied as an example to demonstrate the new method.

[1]  David He,et al.  Lithium-ion battery life prognostic health management system using particle filtering framework , 2011 .

[2]  Liang Shuang,et al.  Remaining Discharge Time Prognostics of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Dirichlet Process Mixture Model and Particle Filtering Method , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement.

[3]  Francesco Cadini,et al.  Adaptive prognosis of lithium-ion batteries based on the combination of particle filters and radial basis function neural networks , 2017 .

[4]  Piyush Gupta,et al.  Reconfigurable manufacturing systems: journey and the road ahead , 2017, Int. J. Syst. Assur. Eng. Manag..

[5]  Jianqiu Li,et al.  A review on the key issues for lithium-ion battery management in electric vehicles , 2013 .

[6]  Xiaoping Du,et al.  Probabilistic mechanism analysis with bounded random dimension variables , 2013 .

[7]  Tom Gorka,et al.  Method for estimating capacity and predicting remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery , 2014, 2014 International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management.

[8]  Benjamín E. Olivares,et al.  Sequential Monte Carlo methods for Discharge Time Prognosis in Lithium-Ion Batteries , 2020 .

[9]  Derek Yip-Hoi,et al.  Design Principles for Machining System Configurations , 2002 .

[10]  Tao Lin,et al.  Real-Time Seam Tracking Technology of Welding Robot with Visual Sensing , 2010, J. Intell. Robotic Syst..

[11]  Xin Xu,et al.  A Hierarchical Model for Lithium-Ion Battery Degradation Prediction , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[12]  Nan Chen,et al.  A state-space-based prognostics model for lithium-ion battery degradation , 2017, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[13]  Zou Wen-ta Point kinematics reliability of planar function mechanisms with joint clearance , 2013 .

[14]  Bor Yann Liaw,et al.  On state-of-charge determination for lithium-ion batteries , 2017 .

[15]  Zonghai Chen,et al.  On-line remaining energy prediction: A case study in embedded battery management system ☆ , 2017 .

[16]  Zonghai Chen,et al.  A novel approach of remaining discharge energy prediction for large format lithium-ion battery pack , 2017 .

[17]  Xiaoping Du,et al.  Hybrid dimension reduction for mechanism reliability analysis with random joint clearances , 2011 .

[18]  Zhenbi Luo,et al.  A stochastic model of a reconfigurable manufacturing system Part 2: Optimal configurations , 2000 .

[19]  John E. Renaud,et al.  Reliability-Based Design Optimization of Robotic System Dynamic Performance , 2006, 2006 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems.

[20]  E. Jaynes Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics , 1957 .

[21]  Marek Płaczek,et al.  Testing of an industrial robot’s accuracy and repeatability in off and online environment , 2018, Eksploatacja i Niezawodnosc - Maintenance and Reliability.

[22]  Qiang Miao,et al.  Prognostics of lithium-ion batteries based on relevance vectors and a conditional three-parameter capacity degradation model , 2013 .

[23]  Selçuk Erkaya,et al.  Investigation of joint clearance effects on welding robot manipulators , 2012 .

[24]  Leo van Moergestel,et al.  Assessment of reconfiguration schemes for Reconfigurable Manufacturing Systems based on resources and lead time , 2017 .

[25]  Feng Wei,et al.  A Practical Lithium-Ion Battery Model for State of Energy and Voltage Responses Prediction Incorporating Temperature and Ageing Effects , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[26]  Xianmin Zhang,et al.  Error modelling and motion reliability analysis of a planar parallel manipulator with multiple uncertainties , 2018, Mechanism and Machine Theory.

[27]  Jeffrey S. Smith,et al.  Simulation for manufacturing system design and operation: Literature review and analysis , 2014 .

[28]  E. Biscaia,et al.  Nonlinear parameter estimation through particle swarm optimization , 2008 .

[29]  Phillip J. McKerrow,et al.  Introduction to robotics , 1991 .

[30]  Hong Hee Yoo,et al.  Reliability Analysis of a Robot Manipulator Operation Employing Single Monte-Carlo Simulation , 2006 .

[31]  M. Pandey,et al.  System reliability analysis of the robotic manipulator with random joint clearances , 2012 .

[32]  Paolo Renna,et al.  Decision-making method of reconfigurable manufacturing systems’ reconfiguration by a Gale-Shapley model , 2017 .

[33]  Neil J. Gordon,et al.  A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking , 2002, IEEE Trans. Signal Process..

[34]  M. Reza Abdi Layout configuration selection for reconfigurable manufacturing systems using the fuzzy AHP , 2009, Int. J. Manuf. Technol. Manag..

[35]  Wei Chen,et al.  An integrated framework for optimization under uncertainty using inverse Reliability strategy , 2004 .

[36]  Kai Goebel,et al.  Modeling Li-ion Battery Capacity Depletion in a Particle Filtering Framework , 2009 .

[37]  Riccardo Poli,et al.  Particle swarm optimization , 1995, Swarm Intelligence.

[38]  S. S. Rao,et al.  Probabilistic approach to manipulator kinematics and dynamics , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[39]  Eberhard Abele,et al.  Modeling and Identification of an Industrial Robot for Machining Applications , 2007 .

[40]  Bhaskar Saha,et al.  Battery health management system for electric UAVs , 2011, 2011 Aerospace Conference.

[41]  Jianmin Zhu,et al.  Uncertainty analysis of planar and spatial robots with joint clearances , 2000 .

[42]  Marco Macchi,et al.  A framework to manage reconfigurability in manufacturing , 2018, Int. J. Prod. Res..

[43]  Guangzhong Dong,et al.  Remaining dischargeable time prediction for lithium-ion batteries using unscented Kalman filter , 2017 .

[44]  Yan Yan,et al.  Reconfiguration schemes evaluation based on preference ranking of key characteristics of reconfigurable manufacturing systems , 2017 .

[45]  Huajing Fang,et al.  An integrated unscented kalman filter and relevance vector regression approach for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life and short-term capacity prediction , 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[46]  Ilian A. Bonev,et al.  Absolute calibration of an ABB IRB 1600 robot using a laser tracker , 2013 .

[47]  Yasuhiro Yamada,et al.  Dynamic reconfiguration of reconfigurable manufacturing systems using particle swarm optimization , 2006, Proceedings 2006 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation, 2006. ICRA 2006..

[48]  B. Kang,et al.  Stochastic approach to kinematic reliability of open-loop mechanism with dimensional tolerance , 2010 .

[49]  Xiaoping Du Time-Dependent Mechanism Reliability Analysis With Envelope Functions and First-Order Approximation , 2014 .

[50]  A. Izadian,et al.  Electrochemical model parameter identification of a lithium-ion battery using particle swarm optimization method , 2016 .

[51]  Bangchun Wen,et al.  Reliability-based sensitivity of mechanical components with arbitrary distribution parameters , 2010 .

[52]  Matthew Daigle,et al.  Adaptation of an Electrochemistry-based Li-Ion Battery Model to Account for Deterioration Observed Under Randomized Use , 2014, Annual Conference of the PHM Society.

[53]  Xibing Li,et al.  Structural reliability analysis for implicit performance functions using artificial neural network , 2005 .

[54]  Puqiang Zhang,et al.  Data-driven method based on particle swarm optimization and k-nearest neighbor regression for estimating capacity of lithium-ion battery , 2014 .

[55]  Wei Liang,et al.  Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery with unscented particle filter technique , 2013, Microelectron. Reliab..

[56]  Ralph E. White,et al.  Comparison of a particle filter and other state estimation methods for prognostics of lithium-ion batteries , 2015 .

[57]  H. Gomes,et al.  COMPARISON OF RESPONSE SURFACE AND NEURAL NETWORK WITH OTHER METHODS FOR STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY ANALYSIS , 2004 .

[58]  Matthew Daigle,et al.  Electrochemistry-based Battery Modeling for Prognostics , 2013 .

[59]  Jorge F. Silva,et al.  Particle-Filtering-Based Discharge Time Prognosis for Lithium-Ion Batteries With a Statistical Characterization of Use Profiles , 2015, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[60]  Tzong-Shi Liu,et al.  A reliability approach to evaluating robot accuracy performance , 1994 .

[61]  Xiaoping Du,et al.  Time-dependent probabilistic synthesis for function generator mechanisms , 2011 .

[62]  Krishna R. Pattipati,et al.  System Identification and Estimation Framework for Pivotal Automotive Battery Management System Characteristics , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C (Applications and Reviews).

[63]  Zonghai Chen,et al.  A new model for State-of-Charge (SOC) estimation for high-power Li-ion batteries , 2013 .

[64]  W. Wang,et al.  A data-model-fusion prognostic framework for dynamic system state forecasting , 2012, Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell..

[65]  Qiusheng Li,et al.  A new artificial neural network-based response surface method for structural reliability analysis , 2008 .

[66]  Yang Zhao,et al.  Dynamics analysis of space robot manipulator with joint clearance , 2011 .

[67]  Michael F. Zäh,et al.  Improvement of the machining accuracy of milling robots , 2014, Prod. Eng..