Prediction models in obstetrics: understanding the treatment paradox and potential solutions to the threat it poses

the treatment paradox and potential solutions to the threat it poses F Cheong-See, J Allotey, N Marlin, BW Mol, E Schuit, G ter Riet, RD Riley, KGM Moons, KS Khan, S Thangaratinam a Women’s Health Research Unit, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University London, London, UK b Multidisciplinary Evidence Synthesis Hub (MESH), Queen Mary University of London, UK c Pragmatic Clinical Trials Unit, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University London, London, UK d Australian Research Centre for Health of Women and Babies, Robinson Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia e Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands f Stanford Prevention Research Center, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA g Department of General Practice, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands h Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK Correspondence: Prof S Thangaratinam, Women’s Health Research Unit, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University London, Yvonne Carter Building, 58 Turner Street, London E1 2AB, UK. Email s.thangaratinam@qmul.ac.uk