The long-term health and economic consequences of the 1959-1961 famine in China.

This paper, using a difference-in-differences method, tries to quantify the long-term effects of China's 1959-1961 famine on the health and economic status of the survivors. We find that the great famine caused serious health and economic consequences for the survivors, especially for those in early childhood during the famine. Our estimates show that on average, in the absence of the famine, individuals of the 1959 birth cohort would have otherwise grown 3.03 cm taller in adulthood. The famine also greatly impacted the labor supply and earnings of the survivors with famine exposure during their early childhood.

[1]  Xizhe Peng Demographic consequences of the Great Leap Forward in Chinas provinces. , 1987 .

[2]  C. Osmond,et al.  Adult survival after prenatal exposure to the Dutch famine 1944--45. , 2001, Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology.

[3]  Svetozar Petrovic,et al.  The Political Economy of Hunger , 2019, Common Knowledge.

[4]  M. Ravallion Famines and Economics , 1996 .

[5]  Shujie Yao A Note on the Causal Factors of China's Famine in 1959–1961 , 1999, Journal of Political Economy.

[6]  A. Eckstein,et al.  Communist China's Economic Growth and Foreign Trade: Implications for U.S. Policy. , 1966 .

[7]  J. Lin Collectivization and China's Agricultural Crisis in 1959-1961 , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[8]  M. An,et al.  China's Great Leap: Forward or Backward? Anatomy of a Central Planning Disaster , 2001 .

[9]  A. Tansel,et al.  Wage and labor supply effects of illness in Cote d'Ivoire and Ghana: instrumental variable estimates for days disabled , 1997 .

[10]  M. Susser,et al.  Famine and Human Development: The Dutch Hunger Winter of 1944-1945 , 1975 .

[11]  A. Foster,et al.  Sustained effects of the 1974-75 famine on infant and child mortality in a rural area of Bangladesh. , 1990, Population studies.

[12]  C. Hertzman,et al.  Child development and long-term outcomes: a population health perspective and summary of successful interventions. , 1996, Social science & medicine.

[13]  Clive Osmond,et al.  Perceived health of adults after prenatal exposure to the Dutch famine. , 2003, Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology.

[14]  C. Hertzman,et al.  Healthier Societies: From Analysis to Action , 2005 .

[15]  R. Fogel Second Thoughts on the European Escape from Hunger: Famines, Chronic Malnutrition, and Mortality Rates , 1993 .

[16]  K. Hill,et al.  Famine in China, 1958–61 , 1984 .

[17]  N. Hart Famine, maternal nutrition and infant mortality: a re-examination of the Dutch hunger winter. , 1993, Population studies.

[18]  John S. Strauss,et al.  Does Better Nutrition Raise Farm Productivity? , 1986, Journal of Political Economy.

[19]  C. Hertzman,et al.  Health and Human Development: Understandings From Life-Course Research , 2003, Developmental neuropsychology.

[20]  J. Strauss,et al.  Health and wages: evidence on men and women in urban Brazil. , 1997, Journal of econometrics.

[21]  C. Riskin Feeding China: The Experience Since 1949 , 1987 .

[22]  L. Haddad,et al.  The Impact of Nutritional Status on Agricultural Productivity: Wage Evidence from the Philippines , 2009 .

[23]  Bruce D. Meyer Natural and Quasi- Experiments in Economics , 1994 .

[24]  S. Osmani Nutrition and Poverty , 1993 .

[25]  John S. Strauss,et al.  Health nutrition and economic development. , 1998 .

[26]  D. Barker Fetal and infant origins of adult disease , 2001, Monatsschrift Kinderheilkunde.

[27]  Justin Yifu Lin,et al.  Food Availability, Entitlements and the Chinese Famine of 1959–61 , 2000 .

[28]  L. Allen Nutritional influences on linear growth: a general review. , 1994, European journal of clinical nutrition.

[29]  E. Duflo Schooling and Labor Market Consequences of School Construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an Unusual Policy Experiment , 2000 .