Colchicine for prevention of vascular inflammation in Non-CardioEmbolic stroke (CONVINCE) – study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

Background Inflammation contributes to unstable atherosclerotic plaque and stroke. In randomised trials in patients with coronary disease, canukinumab (an interleukin-1B antagonist) and colchicine (a tubulin inhibitor with pleiotropic anti-inflammatory effects) reduced recurrent vascular events. Hypothesis: Anti-inflammatory therapy with low-dose colchicine plus usual care will reduce recurrent vascular events in patients with non-severe, non-cardioembolic stroke and TIA compared with usual care alone. Design CONVINCE is a multi-centre international (in 17 countries) Prospective, Randomised Open-label, Blinded-Endpoint assessment (PROBE) controlled Phase 3 clinical trial in 3154 participants. The intervention is colchicine 0.5 mg/day and usual care versus usual care alone (antiplatelet, lipid-lowering, antihypertensive treatment, lifestyle advice). Included patients are at least 40 years, with non-severe ischaemic stroke (modified Rankin score ≤3) or high-risk TIA (ABCD2 > 3, or positive DWI, or cranio-cervical artery stenosis) within 72 hours-28 days of randomisation, with qualifying stroke/TIA most likely caused by large artery stenosis, lacunar disease, or cryptogenic embolism. Exclusions are stroke/TIA caused by cardio-embolism or other defined cause (e.g. dissection), contra-indication to colchicine (including potential drug interactions), or incapacity for participation in a clinical trial. The anticipated median follow-up will be 36 months. The primary analysis will be by intention-to-treat. Outcome The primary outcome is time to first recurrent ischaemic stroke, myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, or hospitalisation with unstable angina (non-fatal or fatal). Summary CONVINCE will provide high-quality randomised data on the efficacy and safety of anti-inflammatory therapy with colchicine for secondary prevention after stroke. Schedule First-patient first-visit was December 2016. Recruitment to complete in 2021, follow-up to complete in 2023.

[1]  G. Tsivgoulis,et al.  Colchicine for stroke prevention in patients with coronary artery disease: a systematic review and meta‐analysis , 2020, European journal of neurology.

[2]  M. O’Donnell,et al.  Anti-inflammatory therapy for preventing stroke and other vascular events after ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack. , 2017, The Cochrane database of systematic reviews.

[3]  R. Diaz,et al.  Efficacy and Safety of Low-Dose Colchicine after Myocardial Infarction. , 2019, The New England journal of medicine.

[4]  J. Harbison,et al.  Carotid Plaque Inflammation Imaged by 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography and Risk of Early Recurrent Stroke. , 2019, Stroke.

[5]  Fares Alahdab,et al.  Global, regional, and national burden of stroke, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 , 2019, The Lancet Neurology.

[6]  C. Sudlow,et al.  Genetically Determined Levels of Circulating Cytokines and Risk of Stroke: Role of Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 , 2019, Circulation.

[7]  P. Libby,et al.  Modulation of the interleukin-6 signalling pathway and incidence rates of atherosclerotic events and all-cause mortality: analyses from the Canakinumab Anti-Inflammatory Thrombosis Outcomes Study (CANTOS) , 2018, European heart journal.

[8]  S. Connolly,et al.  Rivaroxaban for Stroke Prevention after Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source , 2018, The New England journal of medicine.

[9]  P. Rothwell,et al.  Long‐Term Risk of Myocardial Infarction Compared to Recurrent Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack and Ischemic Stroke: Systematic Review and Meta‐Analysis , 2018, Journal of the American Heart Association.

[10]  P. Libby,et al.  Relationship of C-reactive protein reduction to cardiovascular event reduction following treatment with canakinumab: a secondary analysis from the CANTOS randomised controlled trial , 2017, The Lancet.

[11]  G. Tsivgoulis,et al.  Anti-inflammatory approaches to ischaemic stroke prevention , 2017, Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery, and Psychiatry.

[12]  P. Libby,et al.  Antiinflammatory Therapy with Canakinumab for Atherosclerotic Disease , 2017, The New England journal of medicine.

[13]  O. Benavente,et al.  Inflammatory Markers and Outcomes After Lacunar Stroke: Levels of Inflammatory Markers in Treatment of Stroke Study , 2016, Stroke.

[14]  L. Hemkens,et al.  Colchicine for prevention of cardiovascular events. , 2016, The Cochrane database of systematic reviews.

[15]  G. Mccarthy,et al.  Colchicine: New Insights to an Old Drug , 2015, American journal of therapeutics.

[16]  P. Rothwell,et al.  Incidence, outcome, risk factors, and long-term prognosis of cryptogenic transient ischaemic attack and ischaemic stroke: a population-based study , 2015, The Lancet Neurology.

[17]  Frank Beckers,et al.  Cryptogenic stroke and underlying atrial fibrillation. , 2014, The New England journal of medicine.

[18]  David J Gladstone,et al.  Atrial fibrillation in patients with cryptogenic stroke. , 2014, The New England journal of medicine.

[19]  S. Connolly,et al.  Embolic strokes of undetermined source: the case for a new clinical construct , 2014, The Lancet Neurology.

[20]  J. Eikelboom,et al.  Low-dose colchicine for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease. , 2013, Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

[21]  Maarten L. Simoons,et al.  The third universal definition of myocardial infarction , 2013 .

[22]  P. Libby,et al.  Progress and challenges in translating the biology of atherosclerosis , 2011, Nature.

[23]  G. Cocco,et al.  Colchicine in clinical medicine. A guide for internists. , 2010, European journal of internal medicine.

[24]  P. Kelly,et al.  Stroke Subtype Classification to Mechanism-Specific and Undetermined Categories by TOAST, A-S-C-O, and Causative Classification System: Direct Comparison in the North Dublin Population Stroke Study , 2010, Stroke.

[25]  P. Touboul,et al.  Yield of systematic transcranial doppler in patients with transient ischemic attack , 2009, Annals of neurology.

[26]  Michael G. Hennerici,et al.  Results of the Stroke Prevention by Aggressive Reduction in Cholesterol Levels (SPARCL) Trial by Stroke Subtypes , 2009, Stroke.

[27]  P. Rothwell,et al.  Early risk of recurrence by subtype of ischemic stroke in population-based incidence studies , 2004, Neurology.

[28]  S. Gibson,et al.  Results from the , 1997 .