Collaboratively Learning Latent Factors and Correlations for New Paper Influence Predication

There are an increasing number of papers published every year. It is desired for researchers to find the new high-quality papers, which is also a challenging task due to the lack of citation information. In this paper, we propose a novel method to predicate a new paper influence by collaboratively learning the latent vectors of paper features and correlations. We propose the concept topic related authority to integrate the dynamic topic model with paper citations so as to learn how content and authors influence a paper quality. We adopt the Factorization Machine method to collaboratively learn the latent vectors of correlations between different paper features. Comparing with traditional methods, it does not require the citation information to evaluate a paper quality, which is appropriate for new published papers. We conduct extensive evaluation against a real dataset crawled from ACM Digital Library. The results show that our method outperforms the other methods.

[1]  Jie Tang,et al.  Mining structural hole spanners through information diffusion in social networks , 2013, WWW.

[2]  Niloy Ganguly,et al.  Towards a stratified learning approach to predict future citation counts , 2014, IEEE/ACM Joint Conference on Digital Libraries.

[3]  Steffen Rendle,et al.  Factorization Machines with libFM , 2012, TIST.

[4]  Jie Tang,et al.  Citation count prediction: learning to estimate future citations for literature , 2011, CIKM '11.

[5]  Aristides Gionis,et al.  Estimating Number of Citations Using Author Reputation , 2007, SPIRE.

[6]  John D. Lafferty,et al.  Dynamic topic models , 2006, ICML.

[7]  Nitesh V. Chawla,et al.  Will This Paper Increase Your h-index?: Scientific Impact Prediction , 2014, WSDM.

[8]  E. David,et al.  Networks, Crowds, and Markets: Reasoning about a Highly Connected World , 2010 .

[9]  Iman Tahamtan,et al.  Factors affecting number of citations: a comprehensive review of the literature , 2016, Scientometrics.

[10]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Modeling and Predicting Popularity Dynamics via Reinforced Poisson Processes , 2014, AAAI.

[11]  Lei Shen,et al.  Predicating paper influence in academic network , 2016, 2016 IEEE 20th International Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design (CSCWD).

[12]  Junpeng Chen,et al.  Predicting citation counts of papers , 2015, 2015 IEEE 14th International Conference on Cognitive Informatics & Cognitive Computing (ICCI*CC).

[13]  Jiawei Han,et al.  Citation Prediction in Heterogeneous Bibliographic Networks , 2012, SDM.

[14]  Philip S. Yu,et al.  Inferring social roles and statuses in social networks , 2013, KDD.

[15]  Inga Dora Sigfusdottir,et al.  Nordic Impact: Article Productivity and Citation Patterns in Sixteen Nordic Sociology Departments , 2002 .

[16]  Yan Zhang,et al.  To better stand on the shoulder of giants , 2012, JCDL '12.

[17]  Changsheng Li,et al.  On Modeling and Predicting Individual Paper Citation Count over Time , 2016, IJCAI.