Improving QPE and Very Short Term QPF: An Initiative for a Community-Wide Integrated Approach

Accurate quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE) and very short term quantitative precipitation forecasts (VSTQPF) are critical to accurate monitoring and prediction of water-related hazards and water resources. While tremendous progress has been made in the last quarter-century in many areas of QPE and VSTQPF, significant gaps continue to exist in both knowledge and capabilities that are necessary to produce accurate high-resolution precipitation estimates at the national scale for a wide spectrum of users. Toward this goal, a national next-generation QPE and VSTQPF (Q2) workshop was held in Norman, Oklahoma, on 28–30 June 2005. Scientists, operational forecasters, water managers, and stakeholders from public and private sectors, including academia, presented and discussed a broad range of precipitation and forecasting topics and issues, and developed a list of science focus areas. To meet the nation's needs for the precipitation information effectively, the authors herein propose a community-wide int...

[1]  Louis J. Battan,et al.  Radar Observation of the Atmosphere , 1973 .

[2]  Edward A. Brandes,et al.  Optimizing Rainfall Estimates with the Aid of Radar , 1975 .

[3]  James W. Wilson,et al.  Radar Measurement of Rainfall—A Summary , 1979 .

[4]  C. Collier,et al.  A weather radar correction procedure for real-time estimation of surface rainfall , 1983 .

[5]  J. Salas,et al.  A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF TECHNIQUES FOR SPATIAL INTERPOLATION OF PRECIPITATION , 1985 .

[6]  Chris G. Collier,et al.  Precipitation Measurement and Hydrology , 1990 .

[7]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Estimation of the mean field bias of radar rainfall estimates , 1991 .

[8]  M. Dixon,et al.  TITAN: Thunderstorm Identification, Tracking, Analysis, and Nowcasting—A Radar-based Methodology , 1993 .

[9]  C. Daly,et al.  A Statistical-Topographic Model for Mapping Climatological Precipitation over Mountainous Terrain , 1994 .

[10]  Fuzhong Weng,et al.  An eight-year (1987-1994) time series of rainfall, clouds, water vapor, snow cover, and sea ice derived from SSM/I measurements , 1996 .

[11]  Juanzhen Sun,et al.  Dynamical and Microphysical Retrieval from Doppler Radar Observations Using a Cloud Model and Its Adjoint. Part I: Model Development and Simulated Data Experiments. , 1997 .

[12]  Arthur Witt,et al.  The Storm Cell Identification and Tracking Algorithm: An Enhanced WSR-88D Algorithm , 1998 .

[13]  Dong-Jun Seo,et al.  The WSR-88D rainfall algorithm , 1998 .

[14]  Dong-Jun Seo,et al.  Real-time estimation of rainfall fields using radar rainfall and rain gage data , 1998 .

[15]  Dong-Jun Seo,et al.  Real-time estimation of mean field bias in radar rainfall data , 1999 .

[16]  W. Krajewski,et al.  A large-sample investigation of statistical procedures for radar-based short-term quantitative precipitation forecasting , 2000 .

[17]  J. McBride,et al.  Verification of precipitation in weather systems: determination of systematic errors , 2000 .

[18]  W. Krajewski,et al.  Estimation of Rainfall Interstation Correlation , 2001 .

[19]  A. Seed A Dynamic and Spatial Scaling Approach to Advection Forecasting , 2001 .

[20]  Steven V. Vasiloff,et al.  Improving Tornado Warnings with the Federal Aviation Administration's Terminal Doppler Weather Radar , 2001 .

[21]  A. Gruber,et al.  GOES Multispectral Rainfall Algorithm (GMSRA) , 2001 .

[22]  Emmanouil N. Anagnostou,et al.  The Use of TRMM Precipitation Radar Observations in Determining Ground Radar Calibration Biases , 2001 .

[23]  Guifu Zhang,et al.  Experiments in Rainfall Estimation with a Polarimetric Radar in a Subtropical Environment , 2002 .

[24]  Jian Zhang,et al.  Weather Radar Coverage over the Contiguous United States , 2002 .

[25]  Garry L. Schaefer,et al.  The influence of thermal, hydrologic, and snow deformation mechanisms on snow water equivalent pressure sensor accuracy , 2002 .

[26]  J. Gourley,et al.  An Exploratory Multisensor Technique for Quantitative Estimation of Stratiform Rainfall , 2002 .

[27]  Robert J. Kuligowski,et al.  A Self-Calibrating Real-Time GOES Rainfall Algorithm for Short-Term Rainfall Estimates , 2002 .

[28]  Jay P. Breidenbach,et al.  Real-Time Correction of Spatially Nonuniform Bias in Radar Rainfall Data Using Rain Gauge Measurements , 2002 .

[29]  Auroop R. Ganguly,et al.  Distributed Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Information from Radar and Numerical Weather Prediction Models , 2003 .

[30]  Grzegorz J. Ciach,et al.  Local Random Errors in Tipping-Bucket Rain Gauge Measurements , 2003 .

[31]  R. Scofield,et al.  Status and Outlook of Operational Satellite Precipitation Algorithms for Extreme-Precipitation Events , 2003 .

[32]  Steven V. Vasiloff,et al.  Improved Detection Using Negative Elevation Angles for Mountaintop WSR-88Ds. Part II: Simulations of the Three Radars Covering Utah , 2003 .

[33]  Robert M. Rabin,et al.  Multiscale storm identification and forecast , 2003 .

[34]  D. Stephenson,et al.  A new intensity‐scale approach for the verification of spatial precipitation forecasts , 2004 .

[35]  Geoff DiMego,et al.  21.3 The NOAA/NWS/NCEP Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) system: Evaluation of an initial condition vs multiple model physics ensemble approach , 2004 .

[36]  I. Zawadzki,et al.  Scale Dependence of the Predictability of Precipitation from Continental Radar Images. Part II: Probability Forecasts , 2004 .

[37]  J. Michael Fritsch,et al.  Improving quantitative precipitation forecasts in the warm season: A USWRP research and development strategy , 2004 .

[38]  Michael A. Turk,et al.  The Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) Technique. Part II: Validation , 2005 .

[39]  Bong-Chul Seo,et al.  Towards Better Utilization of NEXRAD Data in Hydrology an Update , 2011 .

[40]  Jian Zhang,et al.  Constructing Three-Dimensional Multiple-Radar Reflectivity Mosaics: Examples of Convective Storms and Stratiform Rain Echoes , 2005 .

[41]  Alexander V. Ryzhkov,et al.  THE JOINT POLARIZATION EXPERIMENT Polarimetric Rainfall Measurements and Hydrometeor Classification , 2005 .

[42]  Jian Zhang,et al.  The National Mosaic and multisensor QPE (NMQ) Project - Status and plans for a community testbed for high-resolution multisensor quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) over the United States , 2005 .

[43]  I. Zawadzki,et al.  Precipitation forecast skill of numerical weather prediction models and radar nowcasts , 2005 .

[44]  Giovanni: A System for Rapid Access, Visualization and Analysis of Earth Science Data Online , 2005 .

[45]  Michael A. Turk,et al.  The Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) Technique. Part I: Description and Examples , 2005 .

[46]  F. Martin Ralph,et al.  Improving Short-Term (0–48 h) Cool-Season Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting: Recommendations from a USWRP Workshop , 2005 .

[47]  M. Clark,et al.  Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimation in Complex Terrain , 2005 .

[48]  M.,et al.  Improved Detection of Severe Storms Using Experimental Fine-Resolution WSR-88D Measurements , 2005 .

[49]  Ralph Ferraro,et al.  The Improved AMSU Rain-Rate Algorithm and Its Evaluation for a Cool Season Event in the Western United States , 2005 .

[50]  J. Schaake,et al.  A statistical post-processor for accounting of hydrologic uncertainty in short-range ensemble streamflow prediction , 2006 .

[51]  B. Brown,et al.  Object-Based Verification of Precipitation Forecasts. Part I: Methodology and Application to Mesoscale Rain Areas , 2006 .

[52]  J. McGinley,et al.  Extreme precipitation events and bias correction of PQPF during the HMT 2005-2006 winter campaign , 2006 .

[53]  W. Briggs Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences , 2007 .

[54]  Chungu Lu,et al.  Short-Range Numerical Weather Prediction Using Time-Lagged Ensembles , 2007 .

[55]  G. Villarini,et al.  Product-Error-Driven Uncertainty Model for Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimation with NEXRAD Data , 2007 .

[56]  Matthias Steiner,et al.  Challenges in obtaining reliable measurements of point rainfall , 2007 .

[57]  Michael J. Istok NEXRAD Product Improvement—Update 2009 , 2009 .