Epistemics for Forensics

ABSTRACT Forensic science error rates are needlessly high. Applying the perspective of veritistic social epistemology to forensic science could produce new institutional designs that would lower forensic error rates. We make such an application through experiments in the laboratory with human subjects. Redundancy is the key to error prevention, discovery, and elimination. In the “monopoly epistemics” characterizing forensics today, one privileged actor is asked to identify the truth. In “democratic epistemics,” several independent parties are asked. In an experiment contrasting them, democratic epistemics reduced the rate at which biased observers obscured the truth by two-thirds. These results highlight, first, the potential of “epistemic systems design,” which employs the techniques of economic systems design to address issues of veracity rather than efficiency, and second, the value of “experimental epistemology,” which employs experimental techniques in the study of science.

[1]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  Relying on the Information of Interested Parties , 1985 .

[2]  Robert K. Merton,et al.  Science and the Social Order , 1938, Nature.

[3]  Siomon A. Cole,et al.  More than Zero: Accounting for Error in Latent Fingerprint Identification , 2007 .

[4]  A. Moenssens Novel Scientific Evidence in Criminal Cases: Some Words of Caution , 1993 .

[5]  M. Rabin,et al.  Understanding Social Preference with Simple Tests , 2001 .

[6]  Alvin I. Goldman,et al.  Epistemics: The Regulative Theory of Cognition , 1978 .

[7]  Gary E. Bolton,et al.  ERC: A Theory of Equity, Reciprocity, and Competition , 2000 .

[8]  Geoffrey Brennan,et al.  Democracy and Decision: The Pure Theory of Electoral Preference , 1997 .

[9]  M. Rabin Published by: American , 2022 .

[10]  T. Feddersen,et al.  Elections, information aggregation, and strategic voting. , 1999, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[11]  L. Tribe,et al.  Confirmation bias , 2009 .

[12]  S. Pennsylvania UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE EASTERN DISTRICT OF PENNSYLVANIA , 2004 .

[13]  R. K. Wright Review of Tainting Evidence Inside the Scandals at the FBI Crime Lab , 1999 .

[14]  J L Peterson,et al.  Crime laboratory proficiency testing results, 1978-1991, II: Resolving questions of common origin. , 1995, Journal of forensic sciences.

[15]  Alfred Schutz,et al.  The Problem of Rationality in the Social World , 1943 .

[16]  J L Peterson,et al.  Crime laboratory proficiency testing results, 1978-1991, I: Identification and classification of physical evidence. , 1995, Journal of forensic sciences.

[17]  Klaus M. Schmidt,et al.  A Theory of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation , 1999 .

[18]  William C. Thompson,et al.  The Daubert/Kumho Implications of Observer Effects in Forensic Science: Hidden Problems of Expectation and Suggestion , 2002 .

[19]  Nora Jacobson Social Epistemology , 2007 .

[20]  Joseph J. Launie,et al.  Uncertain Decisions: Bridging Theory and Experiments , 2000 .

[21]  J. Buchanan,et al.  Voter Choice , 1984 .

[22]  Alvin I. Goldman,et al.  Experts: Which Ones Should You Trust? , 2001 .

[23]  Daniel Houser,et al.  A functional imaging study of cooperation in two-person reciprocal exchange , 2001, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[24]  J. Koehler,et al.  The Coming Paradigm Shift in Forensic Identification Science , 2005, Science.

[25]  V. Smith,et al.  Social Distance and Other-Regarding Behavior in Dictator Games: Reply , 1999 .

[26]  W. W. Bartley,et al.  Evolutionary Epistemology, Rationality, and the Sociology of Knowledge , 1987 .

[27]  R. Aumann Agreeing to disagree. , 1976, Nature cell biology.

[28]  A. Goldman Knowledge in a Social World , 1999 .

[29]  S. Peart,et al.  Introduction to the Symposium on Ethics , 2008 .

[30]  R. Koppl How to Improve Forensic Science , 2005 .

[31]  F. Winden Experimental Studies Of Signaling Games , 1997 .

[32]  W. N. SHAW,et al.  The Advancement of Science , 1880, Science.

[33]  M. Saks Merlin and Solomon: Lessons from the Law's Formative Encounters with Forensic Identification Science , 1998 .

[34]  T. Schelling,et al.  The Strategy of Conflict. , 1961 .

[35]  Tf Geraghty,et al.  Report of the governor's commission on capital punishment , 2003 .

[36]  V. Smith,et al.  Social distance and other-regarding behavior in dictator games , 2000 .

[37]  Barbara Humphries,et al.  The Philosophy of W. V. Quine. , 1989 .

[38]  George A. Akerlof The Market for “Lemons”: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism , 1970 .

[39]  R. Koppl Epistemic Systems* , 2006, Episteme.

[40]  Alvin I. Goldman,et al.  Liaisons: Philosophy Meets the Cognitive and Social Sciences , 1991 .

[41]  Jerry G. Thursby,et al.  Replication in Empirical Economics: The Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Project , 1986 .

[42]  Randolph N. Jonakait Forensic Science: The Need for Regulation , 1991 .

[43]  J. Banks,et al.  Information Aggregation, Rationality, and the Condorcet Jury Theorem , 1996, American Political Science Review.

[44]  V. Smith Constructivist and Ecological Rationality in Economics , 2003 .