The statistical connection between tropospheric and stratospheric circulation of the northern hemisphere in winter

Abstract The associated anomaly patterns of the stratospheric geopotential height field and the tropospheric geopetential and temperature height fields of the Northern Hemisphere are determined applying the canonical correlation analysis. With this linear multivariate technique the coupled modes of variability of lime series of two fields are isolated in the space of empirical orthogonal functions. The one dataset is the 50-hPa geopotential height field; the other set consists of different height fields of the tropospheric pressure levels (200, 500, 700, and 850 hPa) and the temperature of the 850-hPa pressure level. For the winter months (December, January, February) two natural coupled modes, a barotropic and a baroclinic one, of linear relationship between stratospheric and tropospheric circulation are found. The baroclinic mode describes a connection between the strength of the stratospheric cyclonic winter vortex and the tropospheric circulation over the North Atlantic. The corresponding temperature ...

[1]  T. Matsuno Vertical Propagation of Stationary Planetary Waves in the Winter Northern Hemisphere , 1970 .

[2]  H. Hotelling Relations Between Two Sets of Variates , 1936 .

[3]  P. Groisman Possible regional climate consequences of the Pinatubo eruption: An empirical approach , 1992 .

[4]  William J. Randel,et al.  Global atmospheric circulation statistics, 1000-1 mb , 1992 .

[5]  R. S. Quiroz The association of stratospheric warmings with tropospheric blocking , 1986 .

[6]  J. Wallace,et al.  Teleconnections in the Geopotential Height Field during the Northern Hemisphere Winter , 1981 .

[7]  H. Loon,et al.  Associations between the 11-year solar cycle, the QBO and the atmosphere. Part I: the troposphere and stratosphere in the northern hemisphere in winter , 1988 .

[8]  J. G. Charney,et al.  Propagation of planetary‐scale disturbances from the lower into the upper atmosphere , 1961 .

[9]  John M. Wallace,et al.  Planetary-Scale Atmospheric Phenomena Associated with the Southern Oscillation , 1981 .

[10]  Joel Michaelsen,et al.  An investigation of the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation cycle With statistical models: 1. Predictor field characteristics , 1987 .

[11]  Ping Chen,et al.  Propagation of Planetary Waves between the Troposphere and Stratosphere , 1992 .

[12]  A. Robock,et al.  Pinatubo eruption winter climate effects: model versus observations , 1993 .

[13]  W. Metz Low-frequency anomalies of atmospheric flow and the effects of cyclone-scale eddies: a canonical correlation analysis , 1989 .

[14]  Harry R. Glahn,et al.  Canonical Correlation and Its Relationship to Discriminant Analysis and Multiple Regression , 1968 .

[15]  C. Hines A Possible Mechanism for the Production of Sun-Weather Correlations , 1974 .

[16]  Hans von Storch,et al.  The Atmospheric Circulation and Sea Surface Temperature in the North Atlantic Area in Winter: Their Interaction and Relevance for Iberian Precipitation , 1992 .

[17]  T. Barnett,et al.  Origins and Levels of Monthly and Seasonal Forecast Skill for United States Surface Air Temperatures Determined by Canonical Correlation Analysis , 1987 .

[18]  H. Loon,et al.  The Southern Oscillation. Part V: The Anomalies in the Lower Stratosphere of the Northern Hemisphere in Winter and a Comparison with the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation , 1987 .

[19]  X. Cheng,et al.  Observed correlations between winter-mean tropospheric and stratospheric circulation anomalies , 1994 .

[20]  A. Barnston,et al.  Prediction of ENSO Episodes Using Canonical Correlation Analysis , 1992 .

[21]  K. Kodera,et al.  A Possible Influence of the Polar Night Stratospheric Jet on the Subtropical Tropospheric Jet , 1991 .

[22]  T. W. Anderson An Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis , 1959 .

[23]  M. Geller,et al.  Planetary Wave Coupling between the Troposphere and the Middle Atmosphere as a Possible Sun-Weather Mechanism , 1980 .