Robustness analysis for decision under uncertainty with rule-based preference model

We introduce Robust Ordinal Regression to decision under uncertainty.We propose an integrated framework for robustness analysis with the rule-based preference model.We formulate the procedures for deriving a univocal classification of acts.We account for different types of indirect preference information.We consider group decision under uncertainty with Dominance-based Rough Set Approach. We consider decision under uncertainty as a multi-attribute classification problem where a set of acts is described by outcomes gained with given probabilities. The Decision Maker (DM) provides desired classification for a small subset of reference acts. Such preference information is structured using Dominance-based Rough Set Approach (DRSA), and the resulting lower approximations of the quality class unions are used as an input for construction of an aggregate preference model. We induce all minimal-cover sets of rules being compatible with the non-ambiguous assignment examples, and satisfying some additional requirements that may be imposed by the DM. Applying such compatible instances of the preference model on a set of all acts, we draw conclusions about the certainty of recommendation assured by different minimal-cover sets of rules. In particular, we analyze the diversity of class assignments, assignment-based preference relations, and class cardinalities. Then, we solve an optimization problem to get a?univocal (precise) classification for all acts, taking into account the robustness concern. This optimization problem admits incorporation of additional indirect and imprecise preferences in form of desired class cardinalities and assignment-based pairwise comparisons. Finally, we extend the proposed approach to group decision under uncertainty. We present a set of indicators and outcomes giving an insight into the spaces of consensus and disagreement between the DMs.

[1]  Luis C. Dias,et al.  Supporting groups in sorting decisions: Methodology and use of a multi-criteria aggregation/disaggregation DSS , 2007, Decis. Support Syst..

[2]  M. Chapman Findlay,et al.  Stochastic dominance : an approach to decision-making under risk , 1978 .

[3]  Salvatore Greco,et al.  Dominance-based Rough Set Approach to decision under uncertainty and time preference , 2010, Ann. Oper. Res..

[4]  Salvatore Greco,et al.  Variable consistency dominance-based rough set approach to preference learning in multicriteria ranking , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[5]  Salvatore Greco,et al.  Multiple criteria sorting with a set of additive value functions , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[6]  J. Neumann,et al.  Theory of games and economic behavior , 1945, 100 Years of Math Milestones.

[7]  Juscelino Almeida Dias,et al.  A stochastic method for robustness analysis in sorting problems , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[8]  Rudolf Vetschera,et al.  Deriving rankings from incomplete preference information: A comparison of different approaches , 2017, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[9]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  Robust Ordinal Regression for Dominance-Based Rough Set Approach under Uncertainty , 2014, RSEISP.

[10]  Vanessa B. S. Silva,et al.  A group decision-making approach using a method for constructing a linguistic scale , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[11]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  Robust ordinal regression for multiple criteria group decision: UTAGMS-GROUP and UTADISGMS-GROUP , 2012, Decis. Support Syst..

[12]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk — Source link , 2007 .

[13]  C. Starmer Developments in Non-expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive Theory of Choice under Risk , 2000 .

[14]  Salvatore Greco,et al.  Multi-criteria classification - A new scheme for application of dominance-based decision rules , 2007, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[15]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  Selection of a representative value function in robust multiple criteria sorting , 2011, Comput. Oper. Res..

[16]  Inès Saad,et al.  Dominance-based rough set approach for groups in multicriteria classification problems , 2012, Decis. Support Syst..

[17]  Vladislav V. Podinovski Decision making under uncertainty with unknown utility function and rank-ordered probabilities , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[18]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk Author ( s ) : , 2007 .

[19]  Thierry Post,et al.  General linear formulations of stochastic dominance criteria , 2013, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[20]  Constantin Zopounidis,et al.  Inferring robust decision models in multicriteria classification problems: An experimental analysis , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[21]  Roman Słowiński,et al.  Dominance-Based Rough Set Approach to Decision Involving Multiple Decision Makers , 2006, RSCTC.

[22]  S. Greco,et al.  Selection of a Representative Value Function for Robust Ordinal Regression in Group Decision Making , 2013 .

[23]  Massimo Marinacci,et al.  Introduction to the mathematics of ambiguity , 2004 .

[24]  J. Schreiber Foundations Of Statistics , 2016 .

[25]  Robert Susmaga,et al.  Reducts and constructs in classic and dominance-based rough sets approach , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[26]  Lei Zhou,et al.  Variable-precision-dominance-based rough set approach to interval-valued information systems , 2013, Inf. Sci..

[27]  J. Neumann,et al.  The Theory of Games and Economic Behaviour , 1944 .

[28]  S. Greco,et al.  Axiomatization of utility, outranking and decision-rule preference models for multiple-criteria classification problems under partial inconsistency with the dominance principle , 2002 .

[29]  Patrick Meyer,et al.  Elicitation of Criteria Weights Maximising the Stability of Pairwise Outranking Statements , 2014 .

[30]  M. Allais Le comportement de l'homme rationnel devant le risque : critique des postulats et axiomes de l'ecole americaine , 1953 .

[31]  Chris Cornelis,et al.  Rough Sets and Intelligent Systems Paradigms , 2014, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.

[32]  Zeshui Xu,et al.  Group decision making based on incomplete intuitionistic multiplicative preference relations , 2015, Inf. Sci..

[33]  Tianrui Li,et al.  Incremental update of approximations in dominance-based rough sets approach under the variation of attribute values , 2015, Inf. Sci..

[34]  H. Levy Stochastic Dominance: Investment Decision Making under Uncertainty , 2010 .

[35]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  Robust ordinal regression in preference learning and ranking , 2013, Machine Learning.

[36]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  DIS-CARD: a new method of multiple criteria sorting to classes with desired cardinality , 2013, J. Glob. Optim..

[37]  Roman Słowiński,et al.  Modeling assignment-based pairwise comparisons within integrated framework for value-driven multiple criteria sorting , 2015, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[38]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  Stochastic ordinal regression for multiple criteria sorting problems , 2013, Decis. Support Syst..

[39]  J. Figueira,et al.  Robust multi-criteria sorting with the outranking preference model and characteristic profiles , 2015 .

[40]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[41]  Salvatore Greco,et al.  Rough sets theory for multicriteria decision analysis , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[42]  Milosz Kadzinski,et al.  Robust Ordinal Regression for Dominance-based Rough Set Approach to multiple criteria sorting , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[43]  Enrique Herrera-Viedma,et al.  A statistical comparative study of different similarity measures of consensus in group decision making , 2013, Inf. Sci..

[44]  Salvatore Greco,et al.  Dominance-Based Rough Set Approach to Preference Learning from Pairwise Comparisons in Case of Decision under Uncertainty , 2010, IPMU.

[45]  Peter C. Fishburn,et al.  Nonlinear preference and utility theory , 1988 .

[46]  S. Greco,et al.  Rough set and rule-based multicriteria decision aiding , 2012 .

[47]  Z. Pawlak Rough Sets: Theoretical Aspects of Reasoning about Data , 1991 .

[48]  D. Ellsberg Decision, probability, and utility: Risk, ambiguity, and the Savage axioms , 1961 .

[49]  Y. Zhang,et al.  Regularized estimation for preference disaggregation in multiple criteria decision making , 2009 .