Model Use in WEF Nexus Analysis: a Review of Issues

Purpose of ReviewThe purpose of this review was to discuss challenges regarding model use in water energy food nexus analysis.Recent FindingsWater, energy, and food (WEF) nexus analysis endeavors are relatively new. Modeling systems are just evolving and there are challenges that arise in performing high-quality analysis. We discuss many of these.SummaryNexus modeling must represent and describe complex interrelationships among WEF systems. Modeling is a necessity as the nexus approach is about widening perspectives to unexplored levels. Nexus analysis systems must consider situations that vary from place to place and over time while integrating a family of models that address various components. Challenges arise in representing an appropriate geographic region while encompassing the relevant WEF using/producing activities along with heterogeneous, situation-specific, component interrelationships in a manner that supports decisions. Accounting for uncertainty and the evolution of population along with changes in biophysical, socioeconomic, economic, and climatic elements over time further compounds the challenge. In addition, challenges arise when one needs to describe previously unimplemented strategies both now and into an uncertain future represented by climate change, population growth, and other interacting forces. Comprehensive studies are needed to address these challenges and show the value of WEF nexus analysis. This paper addresses modeling-related challenges that arise when considering how to perform informative and accurate WEF nexus analyses.

[1]  Christian D. Langevin,et al.  A New Object-Oriented MODFLOW Framework for Coupling Multiple Hydrologic Models , 2014 .

[2]  B. McCarl,et al.  Data for WEF Nexus Analysis: a Review of Issues , 2017 .

[3]  M. Rosegrant International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT) Model Description , 2012 .

[4]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  Model documentation for the Forest and Agricultural Sector Optimization Model with Greenhouse Gases (FASOMGHG) , 2010 .

[5]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  An Economic, Hydrologic, and Environmental Assessment of Water Management Alternative Plans for the South Central Texas Region , 2001, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[6]  Russell Jones,et al.  Climate change vulnerability and adaptation strategies in Egypt’s agricultural sector , 2015, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change.

[7]  James W. Jones,et al.  Improving Soil Fertility Recommendations in Africa using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) , 2012, Springer Netherlands.

[8]  Raghavan Srinivasan,et al.  SWAT: Model Use, Calibration, and Validation , 2012 .

[9]  James Thurlow,et al.  Strategies and priorities for African agriculture: Economywide perspectives from country studies , 2008 .

[10]  H. Venema,et al.  The Water-Energy-Food Security Nexus: Towards a practical planning and decision-support framework for landscape investment and risk management , 2013 .

[11]  Jeffrey W. White,et al.  Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) Version 4.5 [CD-ROM] , 2012 .

[12]  C.-Y. Cynthia Lin,et al.  Does efficient irrigation technology lead to reduced groundwater extraction? Empirical evidence , 2014 .

[13]  J. Herriges,et al.  The measurement of environmental and resource values : theory and methods , 2014 .

[14]  Roy Brouwer,et al.  Environmental value transfer: state of the art and future prospects , 2000 .

[15]  C. Ringler,et al.  The nexus across water, energy, land and food (WELF): potential for improved resource use efficiency? , 2013 .

[16]  B. McCarl,et al.  Effects of Climatic Change on a Water Dependent Regional Economy: A Study of the Texas Edwards Aquifer , 2001 .

[17]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  U.S. Agriculture and Climate Change: New Results , 2003 .

[18]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  Limiting pumping from the Edwards Aquifer: An economic investigation of proposals, water markets, and spring flow guarantees , 1999 .

[19]  Adam Hawkes,et al.  Energy systems modeling for twenty-first century energy challenges , 2014 .

[20]  R. Beach,et al.  U.S. agricultural and forestry impacts of the Energy Independence and Security Act: FASOM results and model description. Final report , 2009 .

[21]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Potential in U.S. Forestry and Agriculture , 2005 .

[22]  B. McCarl,et al.  Economic and Hydrologic Implications of Suspending Irrigation in Dry Years , 1998 .

[23]  S. Robinson,et al.  A SAM Based Global CGE Model using GTAP Data , 2007 .

[24]  Claudia Ringler,et al.  Global linkages among energy, food and water: an economic assessment , 2016, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences.

[25]  C. Ringler,et al.  Linking the economics of water, energy, and food: A nexus modeling approach , 2017 .

[26]  Jaehak Jeong,et al.  EPIC and APEX: Model Use, Calibration, and Validation , 2012 .

[27]  Chunlian Jin,et al.  Investigating the nexus of climate, energy, water, and land at decision-relevant scales: the Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA) , 2015, Climatic Change.

[28]  Dolf Gielen,et al.  Considering the energy, water and food nexus: Towards an integrated modelling approach , 2011 .

[29]  Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm,et al.  Development and application of integrative modeling tools in support of food-energy-water nexus planning—a research agenda , 2016, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences.