Extreme discharge events in the Paraná River and their climate forcing

The largest discharge anomalies of the ParanaRiver were examined focusing on the contribution from the sub-basins and on the climate forcing of these events. Major discharge anomalies at Corrientes originated in the central and southern Upper Parana ´ basin with relatively small contributions from the Paraguay river and the northern Upper Paranabasin. About two thirds of the major discharge anomalies in Corrientes occurred during El Nino events while none was registered during La Nina events. Major discharge anomalies related to El Nino occurred either in the spring of the year of El Nino onset or in autumn of the following year (autumn (þ )) accompanying the precipitation signal of El Nino in eastern subtropical South America. The signal during autumn (þ ) is the most relevant as five out the six top discharges of the ParanaRiver at Corrientes occurred in this season. The remaining third of the major discharges not related to El Nino took place during the austral spring or austral summer of neutral periods. In each of these seasons, they share a common sea surface temperature anomaly pattern in the proximity of the South American coasts. q 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

[1]  V. Barros,et al.  Climate Variability in Southern South America Associated with El Niño and La Niña Events. , 2000 .

[2]  V. Barros,et al.  The Paraná River Response to El Niño 1982–83 and 1997–98 Events , 2000 .

[3]  V. Kousky,et al.  The Southern Oscillation : oceanic-atmospheric circulation changes and related rainfall anomalies , 1983 .

[4]  W. Vargas,et al.  The spatial variability of runoff and precipitation in the Rio de la Plata basin , 1996 .

[5]  Chester F. Ropelewski,et al.  Quantifying Southern Oscillation-Precipitation Relationships , 1996 .

[6]  Carlos R. Mechoso,et al.  Interannual and Decadal Cycles in River Flows of Southeastern South America , 1998 .

[7]  C. Ereño Climatology and Hydrology of the Plata Basin , 2002 .

[8]  Elfatih A. B. Eltahir,et al.  ENSO and the natural variability in the flow of tropical rivers , 1997 .

[9]  P. Aceituno,et al.  On the Functioning of the Southern Oscillation in the South American Sector. Part I: Surface Climate , 1988 .

[10]  V. Barros,et al.  The Relation between Sea Surface Temperature at the Subtropical South-Central Pacific and Precipitation in Southeastern South America , 2002 .

[11]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  The Definition of El Niño. , 1997 .

[12]  M. Gan,et al.  Surface Cyclogenesis over South America , 1991 .

[13]  V. Barros,et al.  Midsummer Low-Level Circulation and Precipitation in Subtropical South America and Related Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the South Atlantic , 2002 .

[14]  Henry F. Diaz,et al.  Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation , 1989 .

[15]  V. B. Rao,et al.  Annual variation of rainfall over Brazil and water vapor characteristics over South America , 1996 .

[16]  C. Mechoso,et al.  A Recent Increasing Trend in the Streamflow of Rivers in Southeastern South America , 1998 .

[17]  A. Robertson,et al.  Interannual prediction of the Paraná River , 2001 .

[18]  David J. Karoly,et al.  Southern Hemisphere Circulation Features Associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation Events , 1989 .

[19]  N. O. García,et al.  The Influence of ENSO in the Flows of the Upper Paraná River of South America over the Past 100 Years , 2002 .

[20]  J. Gomes,et al.  Precipitation Anomalies in Southern Brazil Associated with El Niño and La Niña Events , 1998 .

[21]  J. Michael Fritsch,et al.  Mesoscale Convective Complexes in the Americas , 1987 .

[22]  S. Kempe,et al.  ENSO-controlled flooding in the Paraná River (1904–1991) , 1996, Naturwissenschaften.

[23]  W. Vargas,et al.  The Temporal Climatic Variability in the ‘Río De La Plata’ Basin Displayed by the River Discharges , 1998 .

[24]  P. Aceituno On the Functioning of the Southern Oscillation in the South American Sector. Part II. Upper-Air Circulation. , 1989 .

[25]  C. Ropelewski,et al.  Global and Regional Scale Precipitation Patterns Associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation , 1987 .