Inference on inequality from household survey data

Abstract I develop a theory of asymptotic inference for the Lorenz curve and the Gini coefficient for testing economic inequality when the data come from stratified and clustered household surveys with large number of clusters per stratum. Using the asymptotic framework of Bhattacharya [Asymptotic Inference from multi-stage surveys. Journal of Econometrics 126(1), 145–171], I derive a weak convergence result for the continuously-indexed Lorenz process even when the underlying density is not uniformly bounded away from zero. I provide analytical formulae for the asymptotic covariance functions that are corrected for both stratification and clustering and develop consistent tests for Lorenz dominance. Inference on the Gini coefficient follows as a corollary. The methods are applied to per capita household expenditure data from the complexly designed Indian national sample survey to test for changes in inequality before and after the reforms of the early 1990s. Ignoring the survey design is seen to produce qualitatively different results, especially in the urban sector where the population sorts more completely into rich and poor neighborhoods.

[1]  Antonio Forcina,et al.  Inference for Lorenz curve orderings , 1999 .

[2]  Donald W. K. Andrews,et al.  A Conditional Kolmogorov Test , 1997 .

[3]  B. Zheng,et al.  Statistical Inference and the Sen Index of Poverty , 1997 .

[4]  Frank A. Wolak,et al.  An Exact Test for Multiple Inequality and Equality Constraints in the Linear Regression Model , 1987 .

[5]  Debopam Bhattacharya,et al.  Asymptotic inference from multi-stage samples , 2005 .

[6]  Joel L. Horowitz,et al.  Bootstrap Critical Values for Tests Based on Generalized-Method-of-Moments Estimators , 1996 .

[7]  Russell Davidson,et al.  Reliable Inference for the Gini Index , 2009 .

[8]  B. Zheng Statistical inference for poverty measures with relative poverty lines , 2001 .

[9]  Russell Davidson,et al.  Distribution-Free Statistical Inference with Lorenz Curves and Income Shares , 1983 .

[10]  R. Davidson,et al.  Statistical Inference for Stochastic Dominance and for the Measurement of Poverty and Inequality , 1998 .

[11]  John A. Bishop,et al.  Lorenz Dominance and Welfare: Changes in the U.S. Distribution of Income, 1967-1986 , 1991 .

[12]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF WEIGHTED M-ESTIMATORS FOR STANDARD STRATIFIED SAMPLES , 2001, Econometric Theory.

[13]  D. Pollard,et al.  Simulation and the Asymptotics of Optimization Estimators , 1989 .

[14]  A. Deaton The Analysis of Household Surveys : A Microeconometric Approach to Development Policy , 1997 .

[15]  J. Duclos Sampling design and statistical reliability of poverty and equity analysis using DAD , 2002 .

[16]  Debopam Bhattacharya,et al.  Inferring Welfare Maximizing Treatment Assignment Under Budget Constraints , 2008 .

[17]  Alberto Abadie Bootstrap Tests for Distributional Treatment Effects in Instrumental Variable Models , 2002 .

[18]  F. Cowell Sampling variance and decomposable inequality measures , 1989 .

[19]  B. Zheng Testing lorenz curves with non-simple random samples , 2002 .

[20]  Jon A. Wellner,et al.  Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes: With Applications to Statistics , 1996 .

[21]  D. Andrews,et al.  A Three-Step Method for Choosing the Number of Bootstrap Repetitions , 2000 .

[22]  J. Gastwirth The Estimation of the Lorenz Curve and Gini Index , 1972 .

[23]  Stephen G. Donald,et al.  Consistent Tests for Stochastic Dominance , 2003 .

[24]  Montek S. Ahluwalia,et al.  Economic Reforms in India Since 1991: Has Gradualism Worked? , 2002 .

[25]  W. DuMouchel,et al.  Using Sample Survey Weights in Multiple Regression Analyses of Stratified Samples , 1983 .

[26]  R. Eubank,et al.  A test for second order stochastic dominance , 1993 .

[27]  V. Chernozhukov,et al.  Inference on Counterfactual Distributions , 2009, 0904.0951.