Sanction changes and drunk-driving injuries/deaths in Taiwan.

Driving under the influence (DUI) is one of the major causes of traffic accidents in Taiwan. About 5% of injuries involve DUI, and nearly 20% of deaths are due to alcohol-related crashes. During early 2006 to the end of 2014, the authorities in Taiwan increased the severity of fine and jail penalties for DUI offenders three times. At the same time, the monthly drunk-driving injures decreased nearly 40% and the monthly alcohol-related traffic death dropped more than 80%. In this paper, we examine the effects of sanction changes on the reduction of drunk-driving casualties during this period. We find that drunk-driving injuries and deaths significantly dropped after the statutory changes. The reduction was immediate following all sanction changes that raised the maximum fines or jail terms of DUI offenders. Policies that increased the maximum jail terms of DUI offenders seem to have a better gradual effect on the reduction of alcohol-related traffic casualties. Although increased sanctions are found to be effective in reducing drunk-driving casualties, we need more future research to examine the policy-to-perception and the policy-to-behavior links.

[1]  Ariel Linden,et al.  Conducting Interrupted Time-series Analysis for Single- and Multiple-group Comparisons , 2015 .

[2]  Hope Corman,et al.  A Time-Series Analysis of Crime, Deterrence and Drug Abuse in New York City , 2000 .

[3]  L. Bickman,et al.  The SAGE Handbook of Applied Social Research Methods , 2009 .

[4]  A. Gasparrini,et al.  Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial , 2016, International journal of epidemiology.

[5]  E B Deshapriya,et al.  Are lower legal blood alcohol limits and a combination of sanctions desirable in reducing drunken driver-involved traffic fatalities and traffic accidents? , 1996, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[6]  Harold D. Holder,et al.  Alcohol: No Ordinary Commodity: Research and Public Policy , 2010 .

[7]  R Homel,et al.  Drink-driving law enforcement and the legal blood alcohol limit in New South Wales. , 1994, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[8]  Etienne Blais,et al.  Effects of introducing an administrative .05% blood alcohol concentration limit on law enforcement patterns and alcohol-related collisions in Canada. , 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[9]  S. Macdonald,et al.  The effects of introducing or lowering legal per se blood alcohol limits for driving: an international review. , 2001, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[10]  D L McArthur,et al.  The specific deterrence of administrative per se laws in reducing drunk driving recidivism. , 1999, American journal of preventive medicine.

[11]  Franklin E. Zimring,et al.  Deterrance: The Legal Threat in Crime Control. , 1974 .

[12]  Benjamin Hansen,et al.  Punishment and Deterrence: Evidence from Drunk Driving , 2013 .

[13]  H. Chiou,et al.  Seatbelt Use and Traumatic Brain Injury in Taiwan: A 16-Year Study , 2015, Iranian journal of public health.

[14]  J. Gibbs Crime, punishment, and deterrence , 1975 .

[15]  M. Reich,et al.  The neglected epidemic: road traffic injuries in developing countries , 2002, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[16]  I. Pike,et al.  Impact of lowering the legal blood alcohol concentration limit to 0.03 on male, female and teenage drivers involved alcohol-related crashes in Japan , 2007, International journal of injury control and safety promotion.

[17]  E. Rasmusen Stigma and Self-Fulfilling Expectations of Criminality , 1996, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[18]  Anindya Sen Do stricter penalties deter drinking and driving? An empirical investigation of Canadian impaired driving laws , 2001 .

[19]  Hsin-Li Chang,et al.  The life cycle of the policy for preventing road accidents: an empirical example of the policy for reducing drunk driving crashes in Taipei. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[20]  J D Graham,et al.  General deterrence of drunk driving: evaluation of recent American policies. , 1991, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[21]  John R. Snortum,et al.  Drinking Driving Compliance in Great Britain -- the Role of Law As A Threat and As A Moral Eye-Opener , 1990 .

[22]  T. Greenfield,et al.  Tracking Alcohol Consumption Over Time , 2003, Alcohol research & health : the journal of the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism.

[23]  Mark B Johnson,et al.  Predicting DUI Decisions in Different Legal Environments: Investigating Deterrence With a Conjoint Experiment , 2014, Traffic injury prevention.

[24]  J. Andenaes The Moral or Educative Influence of Criminal Law , 1971 .

[25]  J. Andenaes General Prevention Revisited: Research and Policy Implications , 1975 .

[26]  Steven D. Levitt,et al.  Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990s: Four Factors That Explain the Decline and Six That Do Not , 2022 .

[27]  Chad Cotti,et al.  Decomposing the Relationship between Macroeconomic Conditions and Fatal Car Crashes during the Great Recession: Alcohol- and Non-Alcohol-Related Accidents , 2011 .

[28]  George E. P. Box,et al.  Intervention Analysis with Applications to Economic and Environmental Problems , 1975 .

[29]  Denise R Wheeler,et al.  The prevention paradox, traffic safety, and driving-while-intoxicated treatment. , 2004, American journal of preventive medicine.

[30]  Jiang Yu,et al.  Punishment celerity and severity: Testing a specific deterrence model on drunk driving recidivism , 1994 .

[31]  D. Kenkel Drinking, Driving, and Deterrence: The Effectiveness and Social Costs of Alternative Policies , 1993, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[32]  J. McKean,et al.  A double bootstrap method to analyze linear models with autoregressive error terms. , 2000, Psychological methods.

[33]  F P Rivara,et al.  The effect of organized systems of trauma care on motor vehicle crash mortality. , 2000, JAMA.

[34]  R. Lind,et al.  An Economic Analysis of Crimes Punishable by Imprisonment , 1975, The Journal of Legal Studies.

[35]  Michael Bachmann,et al.  DWI Sentencing in the United States: Toward Promising Punishment Alternatives in Texas , 2014 .

[36]  Koyin Chang,et al.  The Effectiveness of Alcohol Control Policies on Alcohol-Related Traffic Fatalities in the United States , 2012, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[37]  Eduard Zaloshnja,et al.  The Economic and Societal Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes, 2010 (Revised) , 2015 .

[38]  Don Weatherburn,et al.  The Specific Deterrent Effect of Higher Fines on Drink-Driving Offenders , 2011 .

[39]  Amy L. Tobler,et al.  General deterrence effects of U.S. statutory DUI fine and jail penalties: long-term follow-up in 32 states. , 2007, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[40]  J. Fell,et al.  The effectiveness of reducing illegal blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limits for driving: evidence for lowering the limit to .05 BAC. , 2006, Journal of safety research.

[41]  Kira Hyldekær Janstrup,et al.  Road Safety Annual Report 2017 , 2017 .