Characterising Compact Fluorescent Lamp population decay

A model derived from existing biological logistic population growth equations is proposed for modelling the decay of Compact Fluorescent Lamp populations over time. Its adequacy is analysed by implementing a least-squares system identification approach using accepted benchmark data. The model is found to be as accurate as the existing CFL decay model, but wider in its potential applications. Such a model contributes to the theoretical foundation necessary for further research into tracking the efficacy of Energy Efficiency programmes.