Assessing Patterns of Urban Transmutation Through 3D Geographical Modelling and Using Historical Micro-Datasets

The increasing volume of empty houses in historical cities constitute a challenge in times of economic crisis and acute housing needs. In order build coherent guidelines and implement effective policies, it is necessary to understand long-term patterns in city growth. The present work analyses urban dynamics at the micro level and present clues concerning transmutation in Lisbon, Portugal, using 3D geographical modelling to estimate potential housing supply. The recent availability of detailed demographic historical micro-datasets presents an opportunity to understand long-term trends.