The Markov Chain Market

We consider a financial market driven by a continuous time homogeneous Markov chain. Conditions for absence of arbitrage and for completeness are spelled out, non-arbitrage pricing of derivatives is discussed, and details are worked out for some cases. Closed form expressions are obtained for interest rate derivatives. Computations typically amount to solving a set of first order partial differential equations. An excursion into risk minimization in the incomplete case illustrates the matrix techniques that are instrumental in the model.

[1]  Mark H. A. Davis Mathematics of Financial Markets , 2001 .

[2]  T. Björk Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time , 2019 .

[3]  Samuel Karlin,et al.  A First Course on Stochastic Processes , 1968 .

[4]  F. Delbaen,et al.  A general version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing , 1994 .

[5]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets , 1979 .

[6]  On the Vandermonde matrix and its role in mathematical ...nance , 2000 .

[7]  Ragnar Norberg,et al.  A time‐continuous markov chain interest model with applications to insurance , 1995 .

[8]  J. Harrison,et al.  Martingales and stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading , 1981 .

[9]  Ragnar Norberg Anomalous PDEs in Markov chains: Domains of validity and numerical solutions , 2005, Finance Stochastics.

[10]  George H. Weiss,et al.  A First Course in Stochastic Processes, 2nd sd. (Samuel Karlin and Howard M. Taylor) , 1977 .

[11]  Niels Keiding,et al.  Statistical Models Based on Counting Processes , 1993 .

[12]  Tomas Björk,et al.  Bond Market Structure in the Presence of Marked Point Processes , 1997 .

[13]  S. Ross,et al.  Option pricing: A simplified approach☆ , 1979 .

[14]  R. C. Merton,et al.  Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous , 1976 .

[15]  D. Heath,et al.  Introduction to Mathematical Finance , 2000 .

[16]  Thomas Møller,et al.  Risk-Minimizing Hedging Strategies for Unit-Linked Life Insurance Contracts , 1998, ASTIN Bulletin.

[17]  Ernst Eberlein,et al.  Term Structure Models Driven by General Lévy Processes , 1999 .

[18]  M. David HARRISON, J. Michael, and KREPS, . Martingales and Arbitrage in Multiperiod Securities Markets, Journal of Economic Theory, , . , 1979 .