Robust multiobjective portfolio with higher moments

Abstract Markowitz portfolio optimization problem is heavily dependent on the input parameters. To this end, the uncertainties are considered in the portfolio problem. Furthermore, in order to relax the normality assumption of Markowitz portfolio problem, higher moments (skewness and kurtosis) are also incorporated. Introducing the concepts of set ordered relations and the idea of robust counterpart from Ben-Tal and Nemirovski (1998, 1999), robust multiobjective portfolio models with higher moments are analytically built. Meanwhile, multiobjective particle swarm optimization is employed to obtain various (robustly) efficient solutions. Finally, using the data from the real stock market, various robustly efficient frontiers are characterized as well as the portfolio performances compared. The empirical results indicate that the robustly efficient solutions obtained by the combination of uncertainties and higher moments in the portfolio problem would be immensely helpful for investors and portfolio managers.

[1]  Elisabeth Köbis,et al.  Concepts of efficiency for uncertain multi-objective optimization problems based on set order relations , 2014, Math. Methods Oper. Res..

[2]  Pedro Godinho,et al.  Mean-semivariance portfolio optimization with multiobjective evolutionary algorithms and technical analysis rules , 2017, Expert Syst. Appl..

[3]  M. Pinar,et al.  On robust mean-variance portfolios , 2016 .

[4]  Gabriele Eichfelder,et al.  Vector Optimization Problems and Their Solution Concepts , 2012 .

[5]  Konstantinos P. Anagnostopoulos,et al.  The mean-variance cardinality constrained portfolio optimization problem: An experimental evaluation of five multiobjective evolutionary algorithms , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[6]  K. Saranya,et al.  Portfolio Selection and Optimization with Higher Moments: Evidence from the Indian Stock Market , 2014 .

[7]  F. Fabozzi Robust Portfolio Optimization and Management , 2007 .

[8]  Carlos A. Coello Coello,et al.  Handling multiple objectives with particle swarm optimization , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation.

[9]  Mehmet Aksarayli,et al.  A polynomial goal programming model for portfolio optimization based on entropy and higher moments , 2018, Expert Syst. Appl..

[10]  Kalyanmoy Deb,et al.  A Fast Elitist Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm for Multi-objective Optimisation: NSGA-II , 2000, PPSN.

[11]  Francisco J. Nogales,et al.  Portfolio Selection With Robust Estimation , 2007, Oper. Res..

[12]  André F. Perold,et al.  Large-Scale Portfolio Optimization , 1984 .

[13]  Arkadi Nemirovski,et al.  Robust Convex Optimization , 1998, Math. Oper. Res..

[14]  C.A. Coello Coello,et al.  MOPSO: a proposal for multiple objective particle swarm optimization , 2002, Proceedings of the 2002 Congress on Evolutionary Computation. CEC'02 (Cat. No.02TH8600).

[15]  Frank J. Fabozzi,et al.  Robust portfolios: contributions from operations research and finance , 2010, Ann. Oper. Res..

[16]  David Quintana,et al.  Robust technical trading strategies using GP for algorithmic portfolio selection , 2016, Expert Syst. Appl..

[17]  Marcos Escobar,et al.  Robust portfolio choice with derivative trading under stochastic volatility , 2015 .

[18]  R. Young The algebra of many-valued quantities , 1931 .

[19]  Matthias Ehrgott,et al.  Minmax robustness for multi-objective optimization problems , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[20]  William H. Jean The Extension of Portfolio Analysis to Three or More Parameters , 1971, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[21]  Donald Goldfarb,et al.  Robust Portfolio Selection Problems , 2003, Math. Oper. Res..

[22]  Riccardo Poli,et al.  Particle swarm optimization , 1995, Swarm Intelligence.

[23]  E. Fama Mandelbrot and the Stable Paretian Hypothesis , 1963 .

[24]  Mukesh Kumar Mehlawat,et al.  Investor-friendly and robust portfolio selection model integrating forecasts for financial tendency and risk-averse , 2018, Ann. Oper. Res..

[25]  A. Schöbel,et al.  The relationship between multi-objective robustness concepts and set-valued optimization , 2014 .

[26]  Peter D Praetz A Comparison of the Stable and Student Distributions as Statistical Models for Stock Prices: Comment , 1977 .

[27]  Raymond Kan,et al.  Optimal Portfolio Choice with Parameter Uncertainty , 2007, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[28]  Arkadi Nemirovski,et al.  Robust solutions of uncertain linear programs , 1999, Oper. Res. Lett..

[29]  Jörg Fliege,et al.  Robust multiobjective optimization & applications in portfolio optimization , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[30]  Stanley J. Kon Models of Stock Returns—A Comparison , 1984 .

[31]  F. Longin The Asymptotic Distribution of Extreme Stock Market Returns , 1996 .

[32]  Jason R. Schott Fault Tolerant Design Using Single and Multicriteria Genetic Algorithm Optimization. , 1995 .

[33]  Matthias Ehrgott,et al.  Multicriteria Optimization , 2005 .

[34]  Constantin Zalinescu,et al.  Set-valued Optimization - An Introduction with Applications , 2014, Vector Optimization.

[35]  Stephan Westphal,et al.  An application of deterministic and robust optimization in the wood cutting industry , 2015, 4OR.

[36]  M. Rockinger,et al.  Optimal Portfolio Allocation Under Higher Moments , 2004 .

[37]  António Gaspar-Cunha,et al.  Robustness in multi-objective optimization using evolutionary algorithms , 2008, Comput. Optim. Appl..

[38]  Ralf Werner,et al.  Towards reliable efficient frontiers , 2006 .

[39]  David W. Corne,et al.  Approximating the Nondominated Front Using the Pareto Archived Evolution Strategy , 2000, Evolutionary Computation.

[40]  Lorenzo Garlappi,et al.  Portfolio Selection with Parameter and Model Uncertainty: A Multi-Prior Approach , 2004 .

[41]  Haim Levy,et al.  Portfolio Efficiency Analysis in Three Moments: The Multiperiod Case , 1975 .

[42]  Peter Winker,et al.  Robust portfolio optimization with a hybrid heuristic algorithm , 2012, Comput. Manag. Sci..

[43]  Irwin Friend,et al.  Measurement of Portfolio Performance Under Uncertainty , 1970 .

[44]  Ralf Werner,et al.  Robustness properties of mean-variance portfolios , 2009 .

[45]  Tsong-Yue Lai Portfolio selection with skewness: A multiple-objective approach , 1991 .