Capacity-Fading Behavior Analysis for Early Detection of Unhealthy Li-Ion Batteries

Reliability testing on lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries is critical to designing operational back-end strategies for developing portable electronics. In this article, we develop a capacity-fading behavior analysis for the early detection of unhealthy Li-ion batteries during reliability tests by comparing against the capacity-fading behaviors of healthy batteries from qualification. The developed approach uses a local outlier factor for measuring the anomaly scores of the capacity-fading behaviors of test batteries at a certain cycle, kernel density estimation for normalizing the range of anomaly scores over cycles, and a hidden Markov model for estimating the probability that the test batteries are at a certain state (i.e., healthy or unhealthy). Experimental results on Li-ion batteries used for portable consumer electronics confirm that the developed method outperforms previous approaches, reducing the required number of reliability tests for unhealthy batteries to 100 cycles, less than a month in practice.

[1]  Long Xu,et al.  Kalman filtering state of charge estimation for battery management system based on a stochastic fuzzy neural network battery model , 2012 .

[2]  Nitesh V. Chawla,et al.  SMOTE: Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique , 2002, J. Artif. Intell. Res..

[3]  Guy Lapalme,et al.  A systematic analysis of performance measures for classification tasks , 2009, Inf. Process. Manag..

[4]  M. Pecht,et al.  Challenges in the Qualification of Electronic Components and Systems , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Device and Materials Reliability.

[5]  Anthony K. H. Tung,et al.  Mining top-n local outliers in large databases , 2001, KDD '01.

[6]  Jay Lee,et al.  A review on prognostics and health monitoring of Li-ion battery , 2011 .

[7]  Bokyoung Kang,et al.  Novelty-focused patent mapping for technology opportunity analysis , 2015 .

[8]  Chun-Chin Hsu,et al.  A process monitoring scheme based on independent component analysis and adjusted outliers , 2010 .

[9]  Andrew J. Viterbi,et al.  Error bounds for convolutional codes and an asymptotically optimum decoding algorithm , 1967, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[10]  T. Matsushima Deterioration estimation of lithium-ion cells in direct current power supply systems and characteristics of 400-Ah lithium-ion cells , 2009 .

[11]  Rudolph van der Merwe,et al.  The square-root unscented Kalman filter for state and parameter-estimation , 2001, 2001 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing. Proceedings (Cat. No.01CH37221).

[12]  Myeongsu Kang,et al.  Anomaly Detection During Lithium-ion Battery Qualification Testing , 2018, 2018 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM).

[13]  Michael Osterman,et al.  Prognostics of lithium-ion batteries based on DempsterShafer theory and the Bayesian Monte Carlo me , 2011 .

[14]  Wei Wang,et al.  An Efficient Switching Median Filter Based on Local Outlier Factor , 2011, IEEE Signal Processing Letters.

[15]  L. Baum,et al.  A Maximization Technique Occurring in the Statistical Analysis of Probabilistic Functions of Markov Chains , 1970 .

[16]  ChangKyoo Yoo,et al.  Statistical process monitoring with independent component analysis , 2004 .

[17]  Myeongsu Kang,et al.  A fusion prognostics-based qualification test methodology for microelectronic products , 2016, Microelectron. Reliab..

[18]  P. J. Green,et al.  Density Estimation for Statistics and Data Analysis , 1987 .

[19]  Gregory L. Plett,et al.  Extended Kalman filtering for battery management systems of LiPB-based HEV battery packs: Part 3. State and parameter estimation , 2004 .

[20]  Jian Tang,et al.  Enhancing Effectiveness of Outlier Detections for Low Density Patterns , 2002, PAKDD.

[21]  Oh-Jin Kwon,et al.  Stochastic technology life cycle analysis using multiple patent indicators , 2016 .

[22]  M. Wohlfahrt‐Mehrens,et al.  Ageing mechanisms in lithium-ion batteries , 2005 .

[23]  Ralph E. White,et al.  Capacity Fade Mechanisms and Side Reactions in Lithium‐Ion Batteries , 1998 .

[24]  Christos Faloutsos,et al.  LOCI: fast outlier detection using the local correlation integral , 2003, Proceedings 19th International Conference on Data Engineering (Cat. No.03CH37405).

[25]  Ralph E. White,et al.  Characterization of Commercially Available Lithium-Ion Batteries , 1998 .

[26]  Jorge F. Silva,et al.  Particle-Filtering-Based Prognosis Framework for Energy Storage Devices With a Statistical Characterization of State-of-Health Regeneration Phenomena , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement.

[27]  Jonghun Park,et al.  Hypovigilance Detection for UCAV Operators Based on a Hidden Markov Model , 2014, Comput. Math. Methods Medicine.

[28]  Hongwen He,et al.  A data-driven multi-scale extended Kalman filtering based parameter and state estimation approach of lithium-ion olymer battery in electric vehicles , 2014 .

[29]  D. Rubin,et al.  Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM - algorithm plus discussions on the paper , 1977 .

[30]  Xiaosong Hu,et al.  Adaptive unscented Kalman filtering for state of charge estimation of a lithium-ion battery for elec , 2011 .

[31]  Michael Pecht,et al.  Accelerated degradation model for C-rate loading of lithium-ion batteries , 2019, International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems.

[32]  Hans-Peter Kriegel,et al.  LOF: identifying density-based local outliers , 2000, SIGMOD '00.

[33]  Aleksandar Lazarevic,et al.  Incremental Local Outlier Detection for Data Streams , 2007, 2007 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Data Mining.

[34]  Changyong Lee,et al.  Novelty-focused weak signal detection in futuristic data: Assessing the rarity and paradigm unrelatedness of signals , 2017 .

[35]  Changyong Lee,et al.  Anticipating technological convergence: Link prediction using Wikipedia hyperlinks , 2019, Technovation.

[36]  Hongwen He,et al.  A Double-Scale, Particle-Filtering, Energy State Prediction Algorithm for Lithium-Ion Batteries , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[37]  Nikos Paragios,et al.  Motion-based background subtraction using adaptive kernel density estimation , 2004, Proceedings of the 2004 IEEE Computer Society Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 2004. CVPR 2004..

[38]  Alex Bateman,et al.  An introduction to hidden Markov models. , 2007, Current protocols in bioinformatics.

[39]  Seongjun Lee,et al.  State-of-charge and capacity estimation of lithium-ion battery using a new open-circuit voltage versus state-of-charge , 2008 .

[40]  Michael G. Pecht,et al.  Reduction of Li-ion Battery Qualification Time Based on Prognostics and Health Management , 2019, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[41]  Doron Aurbach,et al.  A short review of failure mechanisms of lithium metal and lithiated graphite anodes in liquid electrolyte solutions , 2002 .

[42]  R. Spotnitz Simulation of capacity fade in lithium-ion batteries , 2003 .