Finding useful questions: on Bayesian diagnosticity, probability, impact, and information gain.
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] C. E. SHANNON,et al. A mathematical theory of communication , 1948, MOCO.
[2] L. Stein,et al. Probability and the Weighing of Evidence , 1950 .
[3] R. A. Leibler,et al. On Information and Sufficiency , 1951 .
[4] E. Brunswik,et al. The Conceptual Framework of Psychology , 1954 .
[5] D. Lindley. On a Measure of the Information Provided by an Experiment , 1956 .
[6] J. Piaget. The Growth Of Logical Thinking From Childhood To Adolescence: An Essay On The Construction Of Formal Operational Structures , 1958 .
[7] M. Kendall,et al. The Logic of Scientific Discovery. , 1959 .
[8] H. Chernoff. Sequential Design of Experiments , 1959 .
[9] P. Wason. On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task , 1960 .
[10] J. Smedslund. THE CONCEPT OF CORRELATION IN ADULTS , 1963 .
[11] H. M. Jenkins,et al. JUDGMENT OF CONTINGENCY BETWEEN RESPONSES AND OUTCOMES. , 1965, Psychological monographs.
[12] B. Foss. New Horizons in Psychology 1 , 1966 .
[13] L. Beach,et al. Man as an Intuitive Statistician , 2022 .
[14] William J. Hill,et al. Discrimination Among Mechanistic Models , 1967 .
[15] P C Wason,et al. Reasoning about a Rule , 1968, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology.
[16] R. Cattell,et al. Formal representation of human judgment , 1968 .
[17] I. Good,et al. The Diagnostic Process with Special Reference to Errors , 1971, Methods of Information in Medicine.
[18] W. J. Studden,et al. Theory Of Optimal Experiments , 1972 .
[19] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. Psychology of Reasoning: Structure and Content , 1972 .
[20] Jacob Marschak,et al. Economic Information, Decision, and Prediction , 1974 .
[21] Clifford R. Mynatt,et al. Confirmation Bias in a Simulated Research Environment: An Experimental Study of Scientific Inference , 1977 .
[22] R. Lindsay,et al. On Estimating the Diagnosticity of Eyewitness Nonidentifications , 1980 .
[23] Clifford R. Mynatt,et al. The influence of feedback and diagnostic data on pseudodiagnosticity , 1981 .
[24] Y. Trope,et al. Confirmatory and diagnosing strategies in social information gathering. , 1982 .
[25] H. Heyer,et al. Information and Sufficiency , 1982 .
[26] Ward Edwards,et al. Judgment under uncertainty: Conservatism in human information processing , 1982 .
[27] Baruch Fischhoff,et al. Diagnosticity and pseudodiagnosticity. , 1983 .
[28] B. Fischhoff,et al. Hypothesis Evaluation from a Bayesian Perspective. , 1983 .
[29] Yaacov Trope,et al. Information-gathering strategies in hypothesis-testing , 1983 .
[30] Yaacov Trope,et al. People's Strategies for Testing Hypotheses about Another's Personality: Confirmatory or Diagnostic? , 1984 .
[31] R. Skov,et al. Information-gathering processes: Diagnosticity, hypothesis-confirmatory strategies, and perceived hypothesis confirmation. , 1986 .
[32] J. Klayman,et al. Confirmation, Disconfirmation, and Informa-tion in Hypothesis Testing , 1987 .
[33] H. Brachinger,et al. Decision analysis , 1997 .
[34] H. Chernoff. Sequential Analysis and Optimal Design , 1987 .
[35] Michael E. Gorman,et al. Disconfirmation and Dual Hypotheses on a more Difficult version of Wason's 2–4–6 Task , 1987 .
[36] J. Baron,et al. Heuristics and biases in diagnostic reasoning: II. Congruence, information, and certainty☆ , 1988 .
[37] Gary James Jason,et al. The Logic of Scientific Discovery , 1988 .
[38] J. Baron,et al. Heuristics and biases in diagnostic reasoning: I. Priors, error costs, and test accuracy , 1988 .
[39] D. Kuhn,et al. The development of scientific thinking skills , 1988 .
[40] J. Klayman,et al. Hypothesis testing in rule discovery: Strategy, structure, and content. , 1989 .
[41] D. Kuhn. Children and adults as intuitive scientists. , 1989, Psychological review.
[42] Michael I. Jordan,et al. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30 , 1995 .
[43] John R. Anderson. The Adaptive Character of Thought , 1990 .
[44] E. Hirt,et al. DIAGNOSTIC AND CONFIRMATION STRATEGIES IN TRAIT HYPOTHESIS TESTING , 1990 .
[45] Thomas M. Cover,et al. Elements of Information Theory , 2005 .
[46] John R. Anderson,et al. The Adaptive Nature of Human Categorization , 1991 .
[47] T. Bayes. An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances , 2003 .
[48] J. Klayman,et al. Information selection and use in hypothesis testing: What is a good question, and what is a good answer? , 1992, Memory & cognition.
[49] L. Allan. Human contingency judgments: rule based or associative? , 1993, Psychological bulletin.
[50] K. Kirby,et al. Probabilities and utilities of fictional outcomes in Wason's four-card selection task , 1994, Cognition.
[51] C. Mckenzie. The Accuracy of Intuitive Judgment Strategies: Covariation Assessment and Bayesian Inference , 1994, Cognitive Psychology.
[52] Daniel L. Ruderman,et al. Designing receptive fields for highest fidelity , 1994 .
[53] Nick Chater,et al. A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection. , 1994 .
[54] Stuart J. Russell. Rationality and Intelligence , 1995, IJCAI.
[55] J. Klayman. Varieties of Confirmation Bias , 1995 .
[56] John R. Anderson,et al. Causal inferences as perceptual judgments , 1995, Memory & cognition.
[57] Jonathan Evans,et al. Rationality in the selection task: Epistemic utility versus uncertainty reduction. , 1996 .
[58] S. Sloman,et al. Is Deontic Reasoning Special ? , 1996 .
[59] N. Chater,et al. RATIONAL EXPLANATION OF THE SELECTION TASK , 1996 .
[60] J Baron,et al. Why Expected Utility Theory Is Normative, but Not Prescriptive , 1996, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.
[61] J.,et al. Dynamics of Rule Induction by Making Queries : Transition Between StrategiesIris , 1996 .
[62] H Garavan,et al. On people’s understanding of the diagnostic implications of probabilistic data , 1996, Memory & cognition.
[63] R. Nickerson. Hempel's Paradox and Wason's Selection Task: Logical and Psychological Puzzles of Confirmation , 1996 .
[64] D. Laming. On the analysis of irrational data selection: A critique of Oaksford and Chater (1994). , 1996 .
[65] B J Cohen,et al. Is Expected Utility Theory Normative for Medical Decision Making? , 1996, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.
[66] Huaiyu Zhu. On Information and Sufficiency , 1997 .
[67] N. Chater,et al. Optimal data selection in the reduced array selection task (RAST) , 1997 .
[68] G. Legge,et al. Mr. Chips: An ideal-observer model of reading , 1997 .
[69] RELEVANCE OF INFORMATION AND SOCIAL INFLUENCE IN THE PSEUDODIAGNOSTICITY BIAS , 1998 .
[70] K. Stanovich,et al. Cognitive Ability and Variation in Selection Task Performance , 1998 .
[71] Martin J. Pickering,et al. The rational of analysis of inquiry: The case of parsing. , 1998 .
[72] Nick Chater,et al. A revised rational analysis of the selection task: Exceptions and sequential sampling , 1998 .
[73] H. Stanley,et al. Optimizing the success of random searches , 1999, Nature.
[74] Nick Chater,et al. Information gain and decision-theoretic approaches to data selection: Response to Klauer (1999). , 1999 .
[75] Miguel A. Costa-Gomes,et al. Cognition and Behavior in Normal-Form Games: An Experimental Study , 1998 .
[76] Karl Christoph Klauer,et al. On the Normative Justification for Information Gain in Wason's Selection Task. , 1999 .
[77] N. Chater,et al. Probabilistic effects in data selection , 1999 .
[78] N. Chater,et al. The Probability Heuristics Model of Syllogistic Reasoning , 1999, Cognitive Psychology.
[79] Javier R. Movellan,et al. Active Inference in Concept Learning , 2000, NIPS.
[80] C. Mckenzie,et al. The psychological side of Hempel’s paradox of confirmation , 2000, Psychonomic bulletin & review.
[81] D. Kuhn. Metacognitive Development , 2000 .
[82] Corinne Zimmerman. The development of scientific reasoning skills. , 2000 .
[83] Donald Geman,et al. Model-based classification trees , 2001, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.
[84] James L. McClelland,et al. The Morton-Massaro law of information integration: implications for models of perception. , 2001, Psychological review.
[85] N. Chater,et al. The probabilistic approach to human reasoning , 2001, Trends in Cognitive Sciences.
[86] Victor S. Ferreira,et al. Do Conditional Hypotheses Target Rare Events? , 2001, Organizational behavior and human decision processes.
[87] Michael S. Lewicki,et al. Efficient coding of natural sounds , 2002, Nature Neuroscience.
[88] Elizabeth A. Olson,et al. Eyewitness identification: information gain from incriminating and exonerating behaviors. , 2002, Journal of experimental psychology. Applied.
[89] D. Shanks,et al. A Re-examination of Probability Matching and Rational Choice , 2002 .
[90] G. Legge,et al. Mr. Chips 2002: new insights from an ideal-observer model of reading , 2002, Vision Research.
[91] Joachim Denzler,et al. Information Theoretic Sensor Data Selection for Active Object Recognition and State Estimation , 2002, IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell..
[92] Masasi Hattori,et al. A quantitative model of optimal data selection in Wason's selection task , 2002, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology. A, Human experimental psychology.
[93] Michel Vidal-Naquet,et al. Visual features of intermediate complexity and their use in classification , 2002, Nature Neuroscience.
[94] I. J. Myung,et al. Toward a method of selecting among computational models of cognition. , 2002, Psychological review.
[95] Craig R. Fox,et al. Partition Priming in Judgment Under Uncertainty , 2003, Psychological science.
[96] N. Chater,et al. Optimal data selection: Revision, review, and reevaluation , 2003, Psychonomic bulletin & review.
[97] Craig R. M. McKenzie,et al. Rational models as theories – not standards – of behavior , 2003, Trends in Cognitive Sciences.
[98] Joshua B. Tenenbaum,et al. Inferring causal networks from observations and interventions , 2003, Cogn. Sci..
[99] Howard Greisdorf,et al. Exploring Science: The Cognition and Development of Discovery Processes , 2003, J. Documentation.
[100] D. Noelle,et al. Explaining purportedly irrational behavior by modeling skepticism in task parameters: an example examining confidence in forced-choice tasks. , 2004, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.
[101] Jitendra Malik,et al. An Information Maximization Model of Eye Movements , 2004, NIPS.
[102] Nigel Harvey,et al. Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making , 2004 .
[103] Michael Kearns,et al. Near-Optimal Reinforcement Learning in Polynomial Time , 1998, Machine Learning.
[104] D. Perkins,et al. Good thinking… , 2004, Nursery World.
[105] Fumie Yokota,et al. Value of Information Literature Analysis: A Review of Applications in Health Risk Management , 2004, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.
[106] Irving John Good,et al. Explicativity, corroboration, and the relative odds of hypotheses , 1975, Synthese.
[107] Wilson S. Geisler,et al. Optimal eye movement strategies in visual search , 2005, Nature.
[108] C. Mckenzie,et al. A Bayesian view of covariation assessment , 2007, Cognitive Psychology.