New Insights Into Mutual Funds: Performance and Family Strategies

New Insights into Mutual Funds is a bundle of four empirical studies on mutual funds. In the first two papers, we investigate persistence in risk-adjusted fund returns. We show that the returns of both equity and bond mutual funds are persistent. Funds that display strong (weak) performance over a past period continue to do so in future periods. More importantly, we demonstrate that some fund managers are able to outperform a strategy that invests in passive indexes for a short period of time. These results add new insights to long-running debates on the benefits of actively managed funds vis-a-vis passive portfolios. In the third paper, we test the cross-sectional explanatory power of multi-factor models to explain mutual fund returns. We find that performance estimates resulting from these models are biased because the factor proxies do not incorporate transaction costs and trading restrictions. We suggest that factor proxies based on mutual fund returns rather than stock returns provide better benchmarks to evaluate professional money managers. Finally, in the fourth paper we investigate the impact of fund marketing on investor flows to other funds in the family. We find that high-marketing funds generate spillovers, and enhance cash inflows to low-marketing funds in the family. An explanation of this observation is that funds with low marketing expenses are directly subsidized by family members with high marketing expenses. Our results indicate that at least part of the spillovers can be attributed to favoritism. These findings suggest that conflicts of interest between investors and fund families have been exacerbated by competition in the mutual fund industry.

[1]  E. Fama,et al.  Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns , 1995 .

[2]  J. Hermans,et al.  ICT in Information Services; Use and deployment of ICT in the Dutch securities trade 1860-1970 , 1999 .

[3]  Lu Zheng,et al.  Family Values and the Star Phenomenon: Strategies of Mutual Fund Families , 2003 .

[4]  Hongyi Li,et al.  Estimation of Short-Run and Long-Run Elasticities of Energy Demand From Panel Data Using Shrinkage Estimators , 1997 .

[5]  Edwin J. Elton,et al.  Fundamental Economic Variables, Expected Returns, and Bond Fund Performance , 1995 .

[6]  William N. Goetzmann,et al.  Careers and Survival: Competition and Risk in the Hedge Fund and Cta Industry , 2000 .

[7]  A. Khorana,et al.  Conflicts of Interest and Competition in the Mutual Fund Industry , 2004 .

[8]  Russ Wermers,et al.  Is Money Really 'Smart'? New Evidence on the Relation between Mutual Fund Flows, Manager Behavior, and Performance Persistence , 2003 .

[9]  Miranda Lam Detzler,et al.  The performance of global bond mutual funds , 1999 .

[10]  Tim Loughran,et al.  Do Investors Capture the Value Premium? , 2006 .

[11]  B. Malkiel Returns from Investing in Equity Mutual Funds 1971 to 1991 , 1995 .

[12]  E. den Hartigh,et al.  Increasing Returns and Firm Performance: An Empirical Study , 2005 .

[13]  R. Zeckhauser,et al.  The J-Shape of Performance Persistence Given Survivorship Bias , 1997, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[14]  Michael J. Schill,et al.  The Illusory Nature of Momentum Profits , 2004 .

[15]  Andrew Rudd,et al.  Does Historical Performance Predict Future Performance , 1995 .

[16]  E. Fama,et al.  Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[17]  P. Raghavendra Rau,et al.  Changing Names with Style: Mutual Fund Name Changes and Their Effects on Fund Flows , 2004 .

[18]  Ilan Guedj,et al.  Can Mutual Fund Families Affect the Performance of Their Funds? , 2003 .

[19]  Edwin J. Elton,et al.  A First Look at the Accuracy of the Crsp Mutual Fund Database and a Comparison of the Crsp and Morningstar Mutual Fund Databases , 2001 .

[20]  Martin J. Gruber,et al.  Another puzzle: the growth in actively managed mutual funds , 1996, Annals of Operations Research.

[21]  F. T. Magiera Book-to-Market across Firm Size, Exchange, and Seasonality: Is There an Effect? , 1998 .

[22]  J. Lintner THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS , 1965 .

[23]  M. Verbeek,et al.  Spillover Effects of Marketing in Mutual Fund Families , 2007 .

[24]  E. Fama,et al.  Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds , 1993 .

[25]  René M. Stulz,et al.  Working Paper Series the Determinants of the Flow of Funds of Managed Portfolios: Mutual Funds versus Pension Funds the Determinants of the Flow of Funds of Managed Portfolios: Mutual Funds versus Pension Funds , 2022 .

[26]  Glenn Ellison,et al.  Career Concerns of Mutual Fund Managers , 1998 .

[27]  Keith H. Black Do Hedge Funds Deliver Alpha? A Bayesian and Bootstrap Analysis , 2007 .

[28]  Ron Kaniel,et al.  Madison Avenue Meets Wall Street: Mutual Fund Families, Competition and Advertising , 2006 .

[29]  Marno Verbeek,et al.  Cross-Sectional Learning and Short-Run Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance , 2007 .

[30]  Edwin J. Elton,et al.  Efficiency with Costly Information: A Reinterpretation of Evidence from Managed Portfolios , 1993 .

[31]  Ann C. Logue Should You Carry the Load? A Comprehensive Analysis of Load and No-Load Mutual Fund Out-of-Sample Performance , 2004 .

[32]  Ľuboš Pástor,et al.  Investing in Equity Mutual Funds , 2001 .

[33]  A. Gutkowska,et al.  Essays on the Dynamic Portfolio Choice , 2006 .

[34]  G. Casella,et al.  Explaining the Gibbs Sampler , 1992 .

[35]  Campbell R. Harvey,et al.  Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests , 1999 .

[36]  Lu Zheng Is Money Smart? A Study of Mutual Fund Investors' Fund Selection Ability , 1999 .

[37]  R. C. Merton,et al.  AN INTERTEMPORAL CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL , 1973 .

[38]  Vikram Nanda,et al.  The ABCs of Mutual Funds: On the Introduction of Multiple Share Classes , 2005 .

[39]  Daren E. Miller Mutual Fund Performance and Seemingly Unrelated Assets , 2002 .

[40]  Terence Lim,et al.  Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies , 1998 .

[41]  Richard J. Zeckhauser,et al.  Hot Hands in Mutual Funds: Short‐Run Persistence of Relative Performance, 1974–1988 , 1993 .

[42]  S. Wennekers,et al.  Entrepreneurship at Country Level: Economic and Non-Economic Determinants , 2006 .

[43]  William N. Goetzmann,et al.  Survivorship Bias in Performance Studies , 1992 .

[44]  Darren J. Kisgen,et al.  Evaluating Government Bond Fund Performance with Stochastic Discount Factors , 2003 .

[45]  E. Elton Modern portfolio theory and investment analysis , 1981 .

[46]  C. Han,et al.  Short-term persistence in mutual fund performance , 2001 .

[47]  Narasimhan Jegadeesh,et al.  Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency , 1993 .

[48]  Richard J. Rogalski,et al.  Government Bond Returns, Measurement of Interest Rate Risk, and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory , 1985 .

[49]  Christopher R. Blake,et al.  The Persistence of Risk-Adjusted Mutual Fund Performance , 1995 .

[50]  M. Verbeek,et al.  On the Use of Multifactor Models to Evaluate Mutual Fund Performance , 2007 .

[51]  Russ Wermers,et al.  Can Mutual Fund 'Stars' Really Pick Stocks? New Evidence from a Bootstrap Analysis , 2005 .

[52]  C. S. Jones,et al.  Mutual Fund Performance with Learning Across Funds , 2002 .

[53]  Donald B. Keim,et al.  Transactions costs and investment style: an inter-exchange analysis of institutional equity trades , 1997 .

[54]  W. Ferson The Timing Ability of Fixed Income Mutual Funds , 2005 .

[55]  M. C. Jensen The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964 , 1967 .

[56]  Xinge Zhao Why are some mutual funds closed to new investors , 2004 .

[57]  Robert B. Litterman,et al.  Common Factors Affecting Bond Returns , 1991 .

[58]  F. Diebold,et al.  Comparing Predictive Accuracy , 1994, Business Cycles.

[59]  Reuven Lehavy,et al.  Using Expectations to Test Asset Pricing Models , 2003 .

[60]  E. Fama,et al.  Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies , 1996 .

[61]  Jeroen Derwall,et al.  'Hot Hands' in Bond Funds , 2007 .

[62]  Sheridan Titman,et al.  A Study of Monthly Mutual Fund Returns and Performance Evaluation Techniques , 1994, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[63]  William N. Goetzmann,et al.  Do Winners Repeat? , 1994 .

[64]  I. Verheul,et al.  Is there a (fe)male approach? Understanding gender differences in entrepreneurship , 2005 .

[65]  Ben Tims,et al.  Empirical Studies on Exchange Rate Puzzles and Volatility , 1999 .

[66]  Federico Nardari,et al.  Does the Choice of Model or Benchmark Affect Inference in Measuring Mutual Fund Performance? , 2006 .

[67]  B. Swaminathan,et al.  The Cross-Section of Expected Corporate Bond Returns: Betas or Characteristics? , 2003 .

[68]  Robert B. Litterman,et al.  Explorations into Factors Explaining Money Market Returns , 1994 .

[69]  M. D. Brito,et al.  Managing reverse logistics or reversing logistics management , 2004 .

[70]  R. Thaler,et al.  Does the Stock Market Overreact , 1985 .

[71]  Jeffrey A. Busse,et al.  Bayesian Alphas and Mutual Fund Persistence , 2003 .

[72]  Mark M. Carhart On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance , 1997 .

[73]  Wayne E. Ferson,et al.  Measuring Fund Strategy and Performance in Changing Economic Conditions , 1996 .

[74]  K. Brown,et al.  Of Tournaments and Temptations: An Analysis of Managerial Incentives in the Mutual Fund Industry , 1996 .

[75]  P. Ratnasingam,et al.  Interorganizational Trust in Business to Business E-Commerce , 2001 .

[76]  Massimo Massa,et al.  Favoritism in Mutual Fund Families? Evidence on Strategic Cross-Fund Subsidization , 2004 .

[77]  Glenn Ellison,et al.  Risk Taking by Mutual Funds as a Response to Incentives , 1995, Journal of Political Economy.

[78]  Rabih Moussawi,et al.  For Better or Worse? Mutual Funds in Side-By-Side Management Relationships With Hedge Funds , 2006 .

[79]  Joanna S. Wu,et al.  Truth in mutual fund advertising: Evidence on future performance and fund flows , 2000 .