I want to ride it where I like: measuring design preferences in cycling infrastructure

Sidewalk cyclists are a major concern to planners in many cities around the world: they are considerable in numbers, and increase the risk of injury not only to pedestrians but also to themselves. Considering this, planners need evidence to design streets that nudge users into a more desirable behavior from a social perspective. This study analyzes a stated preferences survey that investigates commuters’ preferences for cycling at the sidewalk or street level. With this data, three models were calibrated: two Binomial Logit Models and an Integrated Choice and Latent Class Model. The three showed similar results in terms of preferences, with the ones including users’ characteristics providing richer behavioral insight and a better fit to observed results. On average, respondents prefer infrastructure located at the road level, especially if it is wide and not built next to bus routes. This preference for the road is even stronger in commuters that cycle to work often. We also conclude that building at the sidewalk level is not recommendable, especially in dense urban areas, and that design of cycling infrastructure can and should be informed by quantitative methods like the one proposed here.

[1]  Anna Goodman,et al.  Cycling provision separated from motor traffic: a systematic review exploring whether stated preferences vary by gender and age , 2016, Transport reviews.

[2]  David A. Hensher,et al.  Hypothetical bias, choice experiments and willingness to pay , 2010 .

[3]  Joan L. Walker,et al.  Integration of Choice and Latent Variable Models , 1999 .

[4]  P. Green,et al.  Conjoint Analysis in Consumer Research: Issues and Outlook , 1978 .

[5]  M. Wardman,et al.  Factors influencing the propensity to cycle to work , 2007 .

[6]  Ricardo Hurtubia,et al.  Using Images to Measure Qualitative Attributes of Public Spaces through SP Surveys , 2015 .

[7]  Kenneth G. Willis,et al.  A latent class model of theatre demand , 2012 .

[8]  Junyi Shen Latent class model or mixed logit model? A comparison by transport mode choice data , 2009 .

[9]  John E Abraham,et al.  Influences on bicycle use , 2007 .

[10]  R. Heiner The Origin of Predictable Behavior , 1983 .

[11]  L Nicaj,et al.  Bicyclist Fatalities in New York City: 1996–2005 , 2009, Traffic injury prevention.

[12]  Luc Int Panis,et al.  Cycle commuting in Belgium: Spatial determinants and ‘re-cycling’ strategies , 2011 .

[13]  T. A. Arentze,et al.  Alternate methods of conjoint analysis for estimating housing preference functions: Effects of presentation style , 2005 .

[14]  Juan de Dios Ortúzar,et al.  Estimating demand for a cycle-way network , 2000 .

[15]  G Kocur,et al.  GUIDE TO FORECASTING TRAVEL DEMAND WITH DIRECT UTILITY ASSESSMENT , 1981 .

[16]  Michel Bierlaire,et al.  BIOGEME: a free package for the estimation of discrete choice models , 2003 .

[17]  Jennifer Dill,et al.  Understanding and Measuring Bicycling Behavior: a Focus on Travel Time and Route Choice , 2008 .

[18]  L Aultman-Hall,et al.  Ottawa-Carleton commuter cyclist on- and off-road incident rates. , 1998, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[19]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  An analysis of bicycle route choice preferences in Texas, US , 2009 .

[20]  D. Levinson,et al.  TRAILS, LANES, OR TRAFFIC: VALUING BICYCLE FACILITIES WITH AN ADAPTIVE STATED PREFERENCE SURVEY , 2007 .

[21]  G. Rose,et al.  Promoting transportation cycling for women: the role of bicycle infrastructure. , 2008, Preventive medicine.

[22]  Billy Charlton,et al.  A GPS-based bicycle route choice model for San Francisco, California , 2011 .

[23]  Michel Bierlaire,et al.  Integrating psychometric indicators in latent class choice models , 2014 .

[24]  Verónica Saud Casanova Relevancia de los atributos del espacio público en las decisiones de ruta en bicicleta , 2014 .

[25]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  Commuter Bicyclist Route Choice: Analysis Using a Stated Preference Survey , 2003 .

[26]  M. Harris,et al.  The impact of transportation infrastructure on bicycling injuries and crashes: a review of the literature , 2009, Environmental health : a global access science source.

[27]  W. Moritz Adult Bicyclists in the United States: Characteristics and Riding Experience in 1996 , 1998 .

[28]  Jennifer Dill,et al.  Where do cyclists ride? A route choice model developed with revealed preference GPS data , 2012 .

[29]  H. Akaike A new look at the statistical model identification , 1974 .

[30]  Moshe Ben-Akiva,et al.  Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application to Travel Demand , 1985 .

[31]  L Aultman-Hall,et al.  Toronto bicycle commuter safety rates. , 1999, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[32]  David A. Hensher,et al.  A latent class model for discrete choice analysis: contrasts with mixed logit , 2003 .

[33]  G. Schwarz Estimating the Dimension of a Model , 1978 .

[34]  Ricardo A. Daziano,et al.  A hybrid-choice latent-class model for the analysis of the effects of weather on cycling demand , 2015 .

[35]  Joel Huber,et al.  The Importance of Utility Balance in Efficient Choice Designs , 1996 .

[36]  Seiichi Kagaya,et al.  Investigating Behavior of Active Cyclists , 2012 .

[37]  Brice Hoffer,et al.  The Potential of Online Respondent Data for Choice Modeling in Transportation Research: Evidence from Stated Preference Experiments using Web-based Samples , 2015 .

[38]  P. Biernacki,et al.  Snowball Sampling: Problems and Techniques of Chain Referral Sampling , 1981 .

[39]  Jennifer S. Evans-Cowley,et al.  StreetSeen Visual Survey Tool for Determining Factors that Make a Street Attractive for Bicycling , 2014 .

[40]  Chieh-Hua Wen,et al.  Latent class models of international air carrier choice , 2010 .

[41]  Alan Wachtel,et al.  Risk Factors for Bicycle-Motor Vehicle Collisions at Intersections * , 1994 .

[42]  Jennifer Dill,et al.  Development of a Multi-class Bicyclist Route Choice Model Using Revealed Preference Data , 2009 .

[43]  Ahmed M El-Geneidy,et al.  A travel behavior analysis of urban cycling facilities in Montréal, Canada , 2011 .

[44]  Eric Molin,et al.  The impact of including images in a conjoint measurement task: evidence from two small-scale studies , 2009 .

[45]  Alejandro Pablo Taddia,et al.  Ciclo-inclusión en América Latina y el Caribe: Guía para impulsar el uso de la bicicleta , 2015 .

[46]  J. Horowitz Statistical comparison of non-nested probabilistic discrete choice models , 1983 .

[47]  Raphael Grzebieta,et al.  Relative injury severity among vulnerable non-motorised road users: comparative analysis of injury arising from bicycle-motor vehicle and bicycle-pedestrian collisions. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[48]  Riccardo Scarpa,et al.  Valuing quality changes in Caribbean coastal waters for heterogeneous beach visitors , 2010 .

[49]  K. Krizek,et al.  Gender Differences in Bicycling Behavior and Facility Preferences , 2005 .

[50]  Brian Caulfield,et al.  Determining bicycle infrastructure preferences – A case study of Dublin , 2012 .

[51]  D. McFadden Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior , 1972 .

[52]  Gary J. Russell,et al.  A Probabilistic Choice Model for Market Segmentation and Elasticity Structure , 1989 .

[53]  Kay W. Axhausen,et al.  Route choice of cyclists in Zurich , 2010 .

[54]  Joan L. Walker,et al.  Latent lifestyle preferences and household location decisions , 2007, J. Geogr. Syst..

[55]  Nico Van de Weghe,et al.  Which environmental factors most strongly influence a street’s appeal for bicycle transport among adults? A conjoint study using manipulated photographs , 2016, International Journal of Health Geographics.

[56]  C. Bhat,et al.  A Comparison of the Route Preferences of Experienced and Inexperienced Bicycle Commuters , 2005 .

[57]  Juan de Dios Ortúzar,et al.  Modelling Transport: Ortúzar/Modelling Transport , 2011 .

[58]  Jon D Fricker,et al.  Bicyclist commuters’ choice of on-street versus off-street route segments , 2013 .

[59]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  An Endogenous Segmentation Mode Choice Model with an Application to Intercity Travel , 1997, Transp. Sci..