Final Report, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Technical Investigation of the May 22, 2011, Tornado in Joplin, Missouri

This is the final report of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) investigation of the May 22, 2011 tornado in Joplin, Missouri, conducted under the National Construction Safety Team Act. This report describes the wind field of the tornado and how the wind pressures and windborne debris damaged and destroyed thousands of buildings; the emergency communications before and during the tornado and how the public responded; the influence of tornado hazards and public response and building and designated shelter area performance on survival and injury; and areas of current building and emergency communications codes, standards and practices that warrant revision. Also described in this report is the means by which NIST reached its conclusions. NIST collected large numbers of documents, photographs, videos, and building plans; developed a computer model of the wind field of the tornado as it crossed the City of Joplin; analyzed the performance of a range of building types for life safety and functionality; interviewed many survivors of the tornado, developed an evidence–based explanation for decisions made and actions taken by the public in response to the tornado; and analyzed the factors affecting life safety outcomes. The report outlines 47 findings related to the May 22, 2011, Joplin tornado and concludes with a list of 16 recommendations for action in areas of improved measurement and characterization of tornado hazards, new methods for tornado resistant design of buildings, enhanced guidance for community tornado sheltering, and improved and standardized emergency communications.

[1]  S. Dunwoody,et al.  Protection Motivation and Risk Communication , 2000, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[2]  William L. Coulbourne,et al.  Performance of School Buildings in the Joplin, MO, Tornado , 2012 .

[3]  T W Hodler,et al.  Residents' preparedness and response to the Kalamazoo Tornado. , 1982, Disasters.

[4]  Naim Kapucu,et al.  Public Complacency under Repeated Emergency Threats: Some Empirical Evidence , 2006 .

[5]  D. Mileti,et al.  Communication in Crisis , 1975 .

[6]  Christopher B. Mayhorn,et al.  Warning the world of extreme events: A global perspective on risk communication for natural and technological disaster , 2014 .

[7]  Nikolai Dotzek,et al.  Reconstruction of Near-Surface Tornado Wind Fields from Forest Damage , 2010 .

[8]  Harold E. Brooks,et al.  The spatial distribution of severe thunderstorm and tornado environments from global reanalysis data , 2003 .

[9]  Tornado disaster--North Carolina, South Carolina, March 28, 1984. , 1985, MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report.

[10]  M. Kuttschreuter Communicating environmental risk in multiethnic communities , 2005 .

[11]  Barbara O. Hammer,et al.  Response to Warnings during the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City Tornado: Reasons and Relative Injury Rates , 2002 .

[12]  Christopher C. Weiss,et al.  Mobile Doppler Radar Observations of a Tornado in a Supercell near Bassett, Nebraska, on 5 June 1999. Part I: Tornadogenesis , 2003 .

[13]  J. V. Ramsdell,et al.  Tornado climatology of the contiguous United States , 1986 .

[14]  Barbara M Vogt,et al.  Planning for protective action decision making: evacuate or shelter-in-place. , 2002, Journal of hazardous materials.

[15]  J. H. Sorensen,et al.  When Shall We Leave?: Factors Affecting the Timing of Evacuation Departures , 1991 .

[16]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  Modeling Pre-Evacuation Delay by Occupants in World Trade Center Towers 1 and 2 on September 11, 2001 , 2009 .

[17]  L. Fernández,et al.  Frail Elderly as Disaster Victims: Emergency Management Strategies , 2002, Prehospital and Disaster Medicine.

[18]  Melissa L. Finucane,et al.  Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk, and Rationality , 2004, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[19]  Howard B. Bluestein,et al.  Tornadoes and Tornadic Storms , 2001 .

[20]  E. Kuligowski Terror Defeated: Occupant Sensemaking, Decision-Making and Protective Action in the 2001 World Trade Center Disaster , 2011 .

[21]  James Spann,et al.  THE HISTORy (AND FUTURE) OF TORNADO WARNINg DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES , 2011 .

[22]  Robyn R M Gershon,et al.  Factors Associated with High-Rise Evacuation: Qualitative Results from the World Trade Center Evacuation Study , 2007, Prehospital and Disaster Medicine.

[23]  Charles A. Doswell,et al.  The Tornado : its structure, dynamics, prediction, and hazards , 1993 .

[24]  A O Carter,et al.  Epidemiologic study of deaths and injuries due to tornadoes. , 1989, American journal of epidemiology.

[25]  Deanna D. Sellnow,et al.  The Value of Instructional Communication in Crisis Situations: Restoring Order to Chaos , 2012, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[26]  Kevin M. Simmons Economic and Societal Impacts of Tornadoes , 2011 .

[27]  Elbert W. Friday,et al.  The widespread November 21-23, 1992, tornado outbreak : Houston to Raleigh and Gulf Coast to Ohio Valley. , 1993 .

[28]  J. Ritchie,et al.  Qualitative Research Practice: A Guide for Social Science Students and Researchers , 2013 .

[29]  Keri K. Stephens,et al.  Organizational Communication in Emergencies: Using Multiple Channels and Sources to Combat Noise and Capture Attention , 2013 .

[30]  Edward Cohen,et al.  Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures , 1990 .

[31]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  Societal Response to Revised Earthquake Probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Area , 1995, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[32]  Guylène Proulx,et al.  The Impact of Age on Occupants' Behaviour during a Residential Fire , 1996 .

[33]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Twentieth century volcanicity at Mount St. Helens : the routinization of life near an active volcano. , 1986 .

[34]  H. A. Hazen Tornadoes , 1884, American Journal of Science.

[35]  Joseph G. Pigeon,et al.  Statistics for Experimenters: Design, Innovation and Discovery , 2006, Technometrics.

[36]  A Boissonnade,et al.  Development of a Probabilistic Tornado Wind Hazard Model for the Continental United States Volume I: Main Report , 2000 .

[37]  Jinmu Choi,et al.  Tornado Risk Analysis: Is Dixie Alley an Extension of Tornado Alley? , 2011 .

[38]  Stephen A Cauffman,et al.  Performance of physical structures in Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita :: a reconnaissance report , 2006 .

[39]  Donald W. Burgess,et al.  Radar Observations of the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City Tornado , 2002 .

[40]  Betty Hearn Morrow,et al.  The Gendered Terrain of Disaster: Through Women's Eyes , 1998 .

[41]  T. Drabek,et al.  Families in Disaster: Reactions and Relatives , 1968 .

[42]  Dorothy Bruck,et al.  Waking effectiveness of alarm (auditory, visual and tactile) for adults who are hard of hearing , 2007 .

[43]  Sue Mallonee,et al.  Risk of tornado-related death and injury in Oklahoma, May 3, 1999. , 2005, American journal of epidemiology.

[44]  Lal Fernando The World Trade Center Disaster , 2002, Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie.

[45]  Michael J. Brnich,et al.  Sociotechnical communication in an underground mine fire: a study of warning messages during an emergency evacuation , 1993 .

[46]  G. Proulx,et al.  Human Behavior In The World Trade Center Evacuation , 1997 .

[47]  L. Spencer,et al.  Qualitative data analysis for applied policy research , 2002 .

[48]  Harry Estill Moore,et al.  Tornadoes Over Texas: A Study of Waco and San Angelo in Disaster. , 1959 .

[49]  Tetsuya Theodore. Fujita,et al.  "Proposed Characterization of Tornadoes and Hurricanes by Area and Intensity," by Fujita, T. Theodore; SMRP Research Paper Number 91, 1970. , 1970 .

[50]  Lyn Richards,et al.  From filing cabinet to computer , 1994 .