Learning Bayesian Network Structures to Augment Aircraft Diagnostic Reference Models

Fault detection and isolation schemes are designed to detect the onset of adverse events during operations of complex systems, such as aircraft and industrial processes. The state-of-the-art fault diagnosis systems on aircraft combine an expert-created reference model of the associations between faults and symptoms, and a Naïve Bayes reasoner. For complex systems with many dependencies between components, the expert-generated reference models are often incomplete, which hinders timely and accurate fault diagnosis. Mining aircraft flight data is a promising approach to finding these missing relations between symptoms and data. However, mining algorithms generate a multitude of relations, and only a small subset of these relations may be useful for improving diagnoser performance. In this paper, we adopt a knowledge engineering approach that combines data mining methods with human expert input to update an existing reference model and improve the overall diagnostic performance. We discuss three case studies to demonstrate the effectiveness of this method.

[1]  Gautam Biswas,et al.  Bayesian Fault Detection and Diagnosis in Dynamic Systems , 2000, AAAI/IAAI.

[2]  C. S. Byington,et al.  Embedded diagnostic/prognostic reasoning and information continuity for improved avionics maintenance , 2003, Proceedings AUTOTESTCON 2003. IEEE Systems Readiness Technology Conference..

[3]  Nir Friedman,et al.  Probabilistic Graphical Models - Principles and Techniques , 2009 .

[4]  C.S. Byington,et al.  Data-driven neural network methodology to remaining life predictions for aircraft actuator components , 2004, 2004 IEEE Aerospace Conference Proceedings (IEEE Cat. No.04TH8720).

[5]  Ashok N. Srivastava,et al.  Anomaly Detection and Diagnosis Algorithms for Discrete Symbol Sequences with Applications to Airline Safety , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C (Applications and Reviews).

[6]  Peter Norvig,et al.  Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach , 1995 .

[7]  Gautam Biswas,et al.  Comprehensive Diagnosis of Continuous Systems Using Dynamic Bayes Nets , 2008 .

[8]  Nir Friedman,et al.  Bayesian Network Classifiers , 1997, Machine Learning.

[9]  T. Felke Application of model-based diagnostic technology on the Boeing 777 Airplane , 1994, AIAA/IEEE Digital Avionics Systems Conference. 13th DASC.

[10]  J. Kruskal On the shortest spanning subtree of a graph and the traveling salesman problem , 1956 .

[11]  Christian P. Robert,et al.  Large-scale inference , 2010 .

[12]  Judea Pearl,et al.  Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems - networks of plausible inference , 1991, Morgan Kaufmann series in representation and reasoning.

[13]  Ole J. Mengshoel,et al.  Probabilistic Model-Based Diagnosis: An Electrical Power System Case Study , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics - Part A: Systems and Humans.

[14]  J. Ross Quinlan,et al.  Induction of Decision Trees , 1986, Machine Learning.

[15]  Fujun He,et al.  WPT-SVMs based approach for fault detection of valves in reciprocating pumps , 2002, Proceedings of the 2002 American Control Conference (IEEE Cat. No.CH37301).

[16]  David A. Maltz,et al.  Fast Variational Inference for Large-scale Internet Diagnosis , 2007, NIPS.

[17]  David Poole,et al.  Explanation and prediction: an architecture for default and abductive reasoning , 1989, Comput. Intell..

[18]  Donald L. Simon,et al.  Aircraft Engine Sensor/Actuator/Component Fault Diagnosis Using a Bank of Kalman Filters , 2003 .

[19]  Jeffrey S. Chase,et al.  Correlating Instrumentation Data to System States: A Building Block for Automated Diagnosis and Control , 2004, OSDI.

[20]  D. Heckerman,et al.  ,81. Introduction , 2022 .

[21]  B. Lehman,et al.  Decision tree-based fault detection and classification in solar photovoltaic arrays , 2012, 2012 Twenty-Seventh Annual IEEE Applied Power Electronics Conference and Exposition (APEC).

[22]  Mark Schwabacher,et al.  A Survey of Data -Driven Prognostics , 2005 .

[23]  Kevin P. Murphy,et al.  Challenges and Solutions for Embedded and Networked Aerospace Software Systems , 2010, Proceedings of the IEEE.

[24]  Ole J. Mengshoel,et al.  Bayesian Software Health Management for Aircraft Guidance, Navigation, and Control , 2011 .

[25]  Zhiwei Gao,et al.  From Model, Signal to Knowledge: A Data-Driven Perspective of Fault Detection and Diagnosis , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics.

[26]  Santanu Das,et al.  Fleet level anomaly detection of aviation safety data , 2011, 2011 IEEE Conference on Prognostics and Health Management.

[27]  Igor Kononenko,et al.  Inductive and Bayesian learning in medical diagnosis , 1993, Appl. Artif. Intell..

[28]  Ian H. Witten,et al.  The WEKA data mining software: an update , 2009, SKDD.

[29]  Rolf Isermann,et al.  Model-based fault-detection and diagnosis - status and applications , 2004, Annu. Rev. Control..

[30]  Bradley Efron,et al.  Large-scale inference , 2010 .