C-SHRP BAYESIAN MODELLING : A USER'S GUIDE

The user's guide describes the Bayesian regression methodology developed by the Canadian Strategic Highway Research Program (C-SHRP) for the Canadian Long Term Pavement Performance (C-LTPP) monitoring program. The purpose of this guide is to fill the need for a single, comprehensive overview of the methodology. It provides the reader with the essential theory of Bayesian regression, a step-by-step guide to applying C-SHRP's 10 step Bayesian regression template, and an example modelling application based on analysis of the C-LTPP experimental data. This guide is accompanied by a CD-ROM which contains complementary references linked to specific sections of the guide. Content includes the final reports from a number of Bayesian modelling projects, notes from training seminars on Bayesian regression, and spreadsheets which demonstrate use of the software. (A)