A New Computational Method of Input Selection for Stock Market Forecasting with Neural Networks

We propose a new computational method of input selection for stock market forecasting with neural networks. The method results from synthetically considering the special feature of input variables of neural networks and the special feature of stock market time series. We conduct the experiments to compare the prediction performance of the neural networks based on the different input variables by using the different input selection methods for forecasting S&P 500 and NIKKEI 225. The experiment results show that our method performs best in selecting the appropriate input variables of neural networks.

[1]  Kyong Joo Oh,et al.  Analyzing Stock Market Tick Data Using Piecewise Nonlinear Model , 2022 .

[2]  Zhang Yi,et al.  Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2005, Second International Symposium on Neural Networks, Chongqing, China, May 30 - June 1, 2005, Proceedings, Part II , 2005, ISNN.

[3]  Hui Zhang,et al.  Select the Size of Training Set for Financial Forecasting with Neural Networks , 2005, ISNN.

[4]  Kin Keung Lai,et al.  Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates With Artificial Neural Networks: A Review , 2004, Int. J. Inf. Technol. Decis. Mak..

[5]  Paul W. H. Chung,et al.  Developments in Applied Artificial Intelligence , 2003, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.

[6]  Guoqiang Peter Zhang,et al.  An investigation of model selection criteria for neural network time series forecasting , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[7]  Shouyang Wang,et al.  Forecasting stock market movement direction with support vector machine , 2005, Comput. Oper. Res..

[8]  Guido Deboeck,et al.  Trading on the Edge: Neural, Genetic, and Fuzzy Systems for Chaotic Financial Markets , 1994 .

[9]  Juliana Yim,et al.  A Comparison of Neural Networks with Time Series Models for Forecasting Returns on a Stock Market Index , 2002, IEA/AIE.

[10]  Goutam Dutta,et al.  Artificial Neural Network Models for Forecasting Stock Price Index in the Bombay Stock Exchange , 2006 .

[11]  Shang-Wu Yu Forecasting and Arbitrage of the Nikkei Stock Index Futures: An Application of Backpropagation Networks , 1999 .