ACCIDENT RISK ASSESSMENT FOR ADVANCED ATM

Safety is recognized as a key quality on which to select/design advanced ATM concepts, even when capacity and efficiency are the drivers of the development. The safety target is often described as equal or better in comparison with existing practice, allowing a large freedom in how safety is expressed or measured. In effect, new CNS/ATM concepts are typically accomplished without the use of feedback from appropriate safety assessments. ATM concept design teams try to realize capacity efficiency enhancements by exploiting new technology, changing human controller roles and introducing new procedures while relying on the established safety related indicators in ATM such as conflict rates and types, work load of human operators and failure rates and effects of technical systems. ZTM, however, is the result of complex interactions between multiple human operators, procedures and technical systems, all highly distributed.

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