论文信息 - Economic impact and technical change

Economic impact and technical change

The technology decomposition theory is proposed for technologies that exhibit rapid technical change. This theory is intended to support technology forecasting by means of definition of the technical change in technology constituents. Technology decomposition shows that rapid technical change is mainly accomplished by improvements in the manufacturing process. The improvements are the result of the design of new production equipment. Measurements of technical change are used to derive a technology constituent value. It is proposed that the derived constituent value is the maximum achievable. This leads to implications for the management of technology in general and, specifically, for the management of product engineering, if the product depends on one or more rapidly changing technologies. >

J. O. Hilbrink

[1] T. E. Bell. Communications: Coherent optical communication shows promise, the FCC continues on its path of deregulation, and satellite communications go high-frequency , 1986, IEEE Spectrum.

[2] T. E. Bell. Communications: Long-distance fiber-optic networks, direct-broadcast satellites, and low-cost PBXs bring increased communications capacity to customers , 1984, IEEE Spectrum.

[3] A.Y.C. Yu,et al. Microprocessor technology trends , 1986, Proceedings of the IEEE.

[4] P. Chatterjee,et al. A trench transistor cross-point DRAM cell , 1985, 1985 International Electron Devices Meeting.

[5] P. Chatterjee,et al. Trench and compact structures for dRAMs , 1986, 1986 International Electron Devices Meeting.

[6] T. G. Hodgkinson,et al. Coherent optical communications , 1985 .

[7] J.T. Clemens,et al. Excimer laser-based lithography for 0.5 µm device technology , 1986, 1986 International Electron Devices Meeting.

[8] M. Sasago,et al. Half-micron photolithography using a KrF excimer laser stepper , 1986, 1986 International Electron Devices Meeting.

[9] F. P. Kapron,et al. Fiber-optic system tradeoffs: With the choice of short-wavelength and long-wavelength technologies available, the designer can tailor a fiber-optic system to specific applications , 1985, IEEE Spectrum.