Landslide Deformation Prediction Based on Recurrent Neural Network

Landslide deformation prediction has significant practical value that can provide guidance for preventing the disaster and guarantee the safety of people’s life and property. In this paper, a method based on recurrent neural network (RNN) for landslide prediction is presented. Genetic algorithm is used to optimize the initial weights and biases of the network. The results show that the prediction accuracy of RNN model is much higher than the feedforward neural network model for Baishuihehe landslide. Therefore, the RNN model is an effective and feasible method to further improve accuracy for landslide displacement prediction.

[1]  R. Jibson Regression models for estimating coseismic landslide displacement , 2007 .

[2]  Leng Wuming,et al.  Nonlinear Combination Predicting Based on Support Vector Machines for Landslide Deformation , 2007 .

[3]  Wen Yu,et al.  State-Space Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Networks for Nonlinear System Identification , 2005, Neural Processing Letters.

[4]  B. Voight,et al.  A Relation to Describe Rate-Dependent Material Failure , 1989, Science.

[5]  D. Sornette,et al.  Slider block friction model for landslides: Application to Vaiont and La Clapière landslides , 2002, cond-mat/0208413.

[6]  K. Mehrotra,et al.  Nonlinear system identification using recurrent networks , 1991, [Proceedings] 1991 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks.

[7]  Wen Yu,et al.  Two Types of Haar Wavelet Neural Networks for Nonlinear System Identification , 2012, Neural Processing Letters.

[8]  John J. Grefenstette,et al.  Optimization of Control Parameters for Genetic Algorithms , 1986, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[9]  P. Lu,et al.  Artificial Neural Networks and Grey Systems for the Prediction of Slope Stability , 2003 .

[10]  Th.W.J. van Asch,et al.  Triggering conditions and depositional characteristics of a disastrous debris flow event in Zhouqu city, Gansu Province, northwestern China , 2011 .

[11]  Matteo Matteucci,et al.  Evaluation of prediction capability, robustness, and sensitivity in non-linear landslide susceptibility models, Guantánamo, Cuba , 2011, Comput. Geosci..

[12]  Li Yawei,et al.  APPLICATION OF GREY-NEURAL NETWORK MODEL TO LANDSLIDE DEFORMATION PREDICTION , 2007 .

[13]  Wen Yu,et al.  Nonlinear system identification using discrete-time recurrent neural networks with stable learning algorithms , 2004, Inf. Sci..

[14]  Shi-Sheng Li,et al.  Study on deformation prediction of landslide based on genetic algorithm and improved BP neural network , 2010, Kybernetes.

[15]  Huang Run-qiu,et al.  LARGE-SCALE LANDSLIDES AND THEIR SLIDING MECHANISMS IN CHINA SINCE THE 20TH CENTURY , 2007 .

[16]  Hongbo Zhao,et al.  Modeling non-linear displacement time series of geo-materials using evolutionary support vector machines , 2004 .

[17]  Dervis Karaboga,et al.  Training recurrent neural networks for dynamic system identification using parallel tabu search algorithm , 1997, Proceedings of 12th IEEE International Symposium on Intelligent Control.

[18]  D. Sornette,et al.  Towards landslide predictions: two case studies , 2004 .

[19]  Xiuzhen Li,et al.  Landslide displacement prediction based on combining method with optimal weight , 2012, Natural Hazards.

[20]  Zhang Maosheng TRIGGERING FACTORS AND FORMING MECHANISM OF LOESS LANDSLIDES , 2011 .

[21]  Thomas W. Kirchstetter,et al.  Emissions From Miombo Woodland and Dambo Grassland Savanna Fires in Southern Africa , 2003 .

[22]  Duc Truong Pham,et al.  Training Elman and Jordan networks for system identification using genetic algorithms , 1999, Artif. Intell. Eng..

[23]  Manoj K. Arora,et al.  A comparative study of conventional, ANN black box, fuzzy and combined neural and fuzzy weighting procedures for landslide susceptibility zonation in Darjeeling Himalayas , 2006 .

[24]  K. Neaupane,et al.  Use of backpropagation neural network for landslide monitoring: a case study in the higher Himalaya , 2004 .

[25]  Çagdas Hakan Aladag,et al.  Forecast Combination by Using Artificial Neural Networks , 2010, Neural Processing Letters.