Inertia in binary choices: Continuity breaking and big-bang bifurcation points

In several situations the consequences of an actor’s choices are also affected by the actions of other actors. This is one of the aspects which determines the complexity of social systems and make them behave as a whole. Systems characterized by such a trade-off between individual choices and collective behavior are ubiquitous and have been studied extensively in different fields. Schelling, in his seminal papers (1973, 1978), provided an interesting analysis of binary choice games with externalities. In this work we analyze some aspects of actor decisions. Specifically we shall see what are the consequences of assuming that switching decisions may also depend on how close to each other the payoffs are. By making explicit some of these aspects we are able to analyze the dynamics of the population where the actor decision process is made more explicit and also to characterize several interesting mathematical aspects which contribute to the complexity of the resulting dynamics. As we shall see, several kinds of dynamic behaviors may occur, characterized by cyclic behaviors (attracting cycles of any period may occur), also associated with new kinds of bifurcations, called big-bang bifurcation points, leading to the so-called period increment bifurcation structure or to the period adding bifurcation structure.

[1]  Ugo Merlone,et al.  Global Dynamics in Binary Choice Models with Social Influence , 2009 .

[2]  Michael Schanz,et al.  Sufficient conditions for a period incrementing big bang bifurcation in one-dimensional maps , 2011 .

[3]  Michael Schanz,et al.  Calculation of bifurcation Curves by Map Replacement , 2010, Int. J. Bifurc. Chaos.

[4]  Michael Schanz,et al.  Border-Collision bifurcations in 1D Piecewise-Linear Maps and Leonov's Approach , 2010, Int. J. Bifurc. Chaos.

[5]  Laura Gardini,et al.  Border Collision bifurcations in 1D PWL Map with One Discontinuity and Negative Jump: Use of the First Return Map , 2010, Int. J. Bifurc. Chaos.

[6]  T. Schelling Hockey Helmets, Concealed Weapons, and Daylight Saving , 1973 .

[7]  Serge Galam,et al.  Modelling rumors: the no plane Pentagon French hoax case , 2002, cond-mat/0211571.

[8]  Laura Gardini,et al.  Periodic Cycles and Bifurcation Curves for One-Dimensional Maps with Two Discontinuities , 2009 .

[9]  M. Bazerman Judgment in Managerial Decision Making , 1990 .

[10]  M. Schanz,et al.  Organizing centers in parameter space of discontinuous 1D maps. The case of increasing/decreasing branches , 2012 .

[11]  Ugo Merlone,et al.  Global dynamics in adaptive models of collective choice with social influence , 2010 .

[12]  J. Keener Chaotic behavior in piecewise continuous difference equations , 1980 .

[13]  Laura Gardini,et al.  Impulsivity in Binary Choices and the Emergence of Periodicity , 2009 .

[14]  B. Hao,et al.  Elementary Symbolic Dynamics And Chaos In Dissipative Systems , 1989 .

[15]  T. Schelling Micromotives and Macrobehavior , 1978 .

[16]  Lorenzo Pareschi,et al.  Mathematical Modeling of Collective Behavior in Socio-Economic and Life Sciences , 2010 .

[17]  Debra Hevenstone Employment Intermediaries: A Model of Firm Incentives , 2008 .

[18]  Michael Schanz,et al.  On multi-parametric bifurcations in a scalar piecewise-linear map , 2006 .

[19]  Ugo Merlone,et al.  Binary choices in small and large groups: A unified model , 2010 .