Key features and novel trends for developing cost engineering methods for forged components: a systematic literature review

Engineering design shows a growing interest in exploring cost analysis to anticipate manufacturing issues and integrate production aspects within the product development process. This research aims to highlight key elements (inputs, parameters, models) to accurately predict the cost of a forged part using a complete model, with important information that can be available during the design phase. For this purpose, a systematic literature review of existing engineering methodologies developed for cost analysis of forged parts (i.e., cost estimation, DtC, and ABC) was performed with characterizations of the different approaches for evaluating the most important topics related to this objective. As a result, the most important insights related to the aim of this review are provided: (i) among quantitative methods, analytical and parametric models are the most suitable approaches to develop a cost estimation, (ii) a cost model based on a linear equation supported by single or multiple variables seems to be the most accurate tool to establish a robust cost analysis in the design of forged components, and (iii) input parameters related to the material type and geometrical features are the most critical cost-drivers in the cost assessment. Moreover, this review contributes to identifying emerging applications and obsolete topics, providing the ground to investigate unexplored areas relevant to future research.

[1]  Michele Germani,et al.  Using design geometrical features to develop an analytical cost estimation method for axisymmetric components in open-die forging , 2019 .

[2]  F. Fereshteh-Saniee,et al.  The effects of flash allowance and bar size on forming load and metal flow in closed die forging , 2006 .

[3]  M. Kuskowski,et al.  Escherichia coli sequence type ST131 as the major cause of serious multidrug-resistant E. coli infections in the United States. , 2010, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

[4]  Suk-Kyun Hong,et al.  Application of physical modeling, FEM and knowledge-based process planning program to forging process design , 1994 .

[5]  Fazil O. Sonmez,et al.  Concurrent design and process optimization of forging , 2016 .

[6]  Dong-Kyun Min,et al.  A study on precision cold forging process improvements for the steering yoke of automobiles by the rigid–plastic finite-element method , 2003 .

[7]  Taylan Altan,et al.  Cold And Hot Forging: Fundamentals And Applications , 2004 .

[8]  Bakhtiar Ostadi,et al.  Activity-based costing in flexible manufacturing systems with a case study in a forging industry , 2008 .

[9]  Heiu-Jou Shaw,et al.  Feature-based estimation of preliminary costs in shipbuilding , 2017 .

[10]  R. Balendra,et al.  Finite element simulation for die-cavity compensation , 2001 .

[11]  F. Fereshteh-Saniee,et al.  A new CAD system for finisher die design of an axisymmetric forging component with arbitrary profile , 2004 .

[12]  Constantin Chassapis,et al.  A decision-making framework model for design and manufacturing of mechanical transmission system development , 2005, Engineering with Computers.

[13]  Kurt Lange,et al.  Some aspects of the economic production of complex steel components by cold forging and machining , 1994 .

[14]  Saeid Nahavandi,et al.  On-line tool condition monitoring and control system in forging processes , 2002 .

[15]  Hengan Ou,et al.  Preform Design for Forging of Aerofoil Sections using FE Simulation , 1998 .

[16]  K. Lange Cost Minimization in Small Quantity Production of Stepped Shafts by Combined NC-Radial Forging and NC-Turning. A New Approach to Flexible Manufacturing Systems , 1985 .

[17]  Sung-Hoon Ahn,et al.  A comparison of energy consumption in bulk forming, subtractive, and additive processes: Review and case study , 2014 .

[18]  Erica R.H. Fuchs,et al.  Metal Additive Manufacturing: Cost Competitive Beyond Low Volumes , 2017 .

[19]  F. He,et al.  A review of developments in the forging of connecting rods in China , 2004 .

[20]  N. Geren,et al.  Cost and performance evaluation of different surface treated dies for hot forging process , 2008 .

[21]  Matthew I. Campbell,et al.  Automated Design of Closed-Die Forgings , 2017, DAC 2017.

[22]  Steve Wiseall,et al.  Comparison of Machine Learning methods applied to the estimation of manufacturing cost of jet engine components , 2016 .

[23]  Michael Sylvester Packianather,et al.  Novel robot arm design and implementation for hot forging press automation , 2018, Int. J. Prod. Res..

[24]  Suthep Butdee,et al.  The Knowledge Based System for Forging Process Design based on Case-Based Reasoning and Finite Element Method , 2013 .

[25]  Jyh-Cheng Yu,et al.  Process selection for the design of aluminum components , 1993 .

[26]  S. Tichkiewitch,et al.  A FAST AND RELIABLE COST-ESTIMATION TOOL FOR HOT­ FORGED PARTS. , 1999 .

[27]  Marin D. Guenov,et al.  A methodology for modelling manufacturing costs at conceptual design , 1998 .

[28]  Cecil Armstrong,et al.  Die shape optimisation in forging of aerofoil sections , 2001 .

[29]  Mohammad R. Movahhedy,et al.  Study of the effects of die geometry on deformation in the radial forging process , 2005 .

[30]  Ramana V. Grandhi,et al.  Sensitivity analysis based preform die shape design for net-shape forging , 1997 .

[31]  Berend Denkena,et al.  Methodology for Dimensioning Technological Interfaces of Manufacturing Process Chains , 2006 .

[32]  Guido Berti,et al.  Tool Cost Estimating at the Early Stages of Cold Forging Process Design , 1993 .

[33]  Lida Xu,et al.  A decision support system for product design in concurrent engineering , 2007, Decis. Support Syst..

[34]  Mohsen Sadeghi,et al.  Knowledge formalization for product–process integration applied to forging domain , 2009 .

[35]  Denis J. Politis,et al.  A review of force reduction methods in precision forging axisymmetric shapes , 2018 .

[36]  William A. Young,et al.  A rule-based approach to predict forging volume for cost estimation during product design , 2010 .

[37]  J. M. Castelain,et al.  Cost Estimation During Design Step: Parametric Method versus Case Based Reasoning Method , 1999 .

[38]  Ali Siadat,et al.  Integrated product-process design to suggest appropriate manufacturing technology: a review , 2017 .

[39]  Stanley I. Weiss Integrated Product and Process Development , 2013 .

[40]  J. L. Aston,et al.  Considerations on forging with hammers or mechanical presses for short and medium runs , 1978 .

[41]  Georg Jacobs,et al.  Manufacturing cost - a critical evaluation criteria for new developments in wind turbine drivetrain technologies , 2018 .

[42]  Marek Hawryluk,et al.  Review of selected methods of increasing the life of forging tools in hot die forging processes , 2016 .

[43]  KEINVORNAME;;; Nagahanumaiah,et al.  An integrated framework for die and mold cost estimation using design features and tooling parameters , 2005 .

[44]  Sergio Cavalieri,et al.  Parametric vs. neural network models for the estimation of production costs: A case study in the automotive industry , 2004 .

[45]  Claudio Favi,et al.  An analytical cost estimation model for the design of axisymmetric components with open-die forging technology , 2020, The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology.

[46]  V. Chawla,et al.  Failure of Hot Forging Dies –An Updated Perspective , 2017 .

[47]  T. Nakagawa,et al.  Powder forging of high-strength brass and its application to automobile parts , 1978 .

[48]  Hans Keife,et al.  The influence of flash design on material flow and tool pressure in closed-die forging: a practical example , 1984 .

[49]  Jong-Yun Jung,et al.  Manufacturing cost estimation for machined parts based on manufacturing features , 2002, J. Intell. Manuf..

[50]  Jack V. Michaels,et al.  Design to Cost , 1989 .

[51]  Ali Siadat,et al.  Cost Estimation and Conceptual Process Planning , 2007 .

[52]  Alexandre Durupt,et al.  Reverse Engineering for Manufacturing Approach: Based on the Combination of 3D and Knowledge Information , 2013 .

[53]  Jürgen Bode,et al.  Multi-agent system for cost estimation , 1996 .

[54]  Amk Esawi,et al.  Cost-Based Ranking for Manufacturing Process Selection , 1999 .

[55]  A. Siadat,et al.  Proposal for Product Process Integration using Classification and Rules , 2007, EUROCON 2007 - The International Conference on "Computer as a Tool".

[56]  Bernd Jeitler,et al.  Minimization of Risks and Difficulties from DESIGN to MASS PRODUCTION for Powertrain Components and Modules , 2011 .

[57]  Jong-Yun Jung,et al.  FORCOD: A coding and classification system for formed parts , 1991 .

[58]  Serge Tichkiewitch,et al.  Integration of Manufacturing Processes in Design , 1998 .

[59]  J. N. Majerus,et al.  Blending hierarchical economic decision matrices (EDM) with FE and stochastic modeling. II: Detailing EDM , 1998 .

[60]  Ramana V. Grandhi,et al.  Geometric deviations in forging and cooling operations due to process uncertainties , 2004 .

[61]  Edward B. Magrab,et al.  Integrated product and process design and development : the product realization process , 2009 .

[62]  Jakob Beetz,et al.  Qualitative and quantitative cost estimation : a methodology analysis , 2014 .

[63]  S. R. S. Kalpakjian Manufacturing Processes for Engineering Materials , 1984 .

[64]  Przemysław Sadowski,et al.  A Review of Current and New Measurement Techniques Used in Hot Die Forging Processes , 2017 .

[65]  Taylan Altan,et al.  Design for forming and other near net shape manufacturing processes , 1990 .

[66]  W. A. Knight Simplified early cost estimating for hot-forged parts , 1992 .

[67]  Zhenshan Cui,et al.  Prediction of microstructural evolution during hot forging , 2014 .

[68]  I. Haque,et al.  Empirical and finite element approaches to forging die design: A state-of-the-art survey , 1987 .

[69]  S. Fujikawa,et al.  Application of numerical methods for the aluminum casting/forging process , 1991 .

[70]  Maria Luisa Garcia-Romeu,et al.  A model to build manufacturing process chains during embodiment design phases , 2012 .

[71]  Somnath Ghosh,et al.  A new approach to optimal design of multi-stage metal forming processes with micro genetic algorithms , 1997 .

[72]  F. Gabrielli,et al.  Application of a decision making method in the forging condition optimisation for manufacturing automotive components , 1996 .

[73]  Joaquim Ciurana,et al.  Methodology for capturing and formalizing DFM Knowledge , 2010 .

[74]  B. Ravi,et al.  Casting cost estimation in an integrated product and process design environment , 2006, Int. J. Comput. Integr. Manuf..

[75]  Alexander V. Perig,et al.  A new process for forging shafts with convex dies. Research into the stressed state , 2017 .

[76]  Burcu Özcan,et al.  Artificial neural networks for the cost estimation of stamping dies , 2014, Neural Computing and Applications.

[77]  J. Kulon,et al.  Applying knowledge-based engineering to traditional manufacturing design , 2006 .

[78]  Jian S. Dai,et al.  Product Cost Estimation: Technique Classification and Methodology Review , 2006 .

[79]  Sven K. Esche,et al.  Concurrent Product and Process Design in Hot Forging , 2001, Concurr. Eng. Res. Appl..

[80]  François Vernadat,et al.  Cost estimation in mechanical production: The Cost Entity approach applied to integrated product engineering , 2006 .

[81]  Hong Zhang,et al.  A knowledge representation for unit manufacturing processes , 2014 .

[82]  Joshua D. Summers,et al.  A review of cost estimation models for determining assembly automation level , 2016, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[83]  H. Nägele,et al.  Automotive parts produced by optimizing the process flow forming – machining , 2000 .

[84]  Jan-Eric Ståhl,et al.  A general economic model for manufacturing cost simulation , 2008 .

[85]  J. C. Léon,et al.  A Systematic Approach to the Surface Modelling of Forged Parts , 1997 .

[86]  Victor Vazquez,et al.  Die design for flashless forging of complex parts , 2000 .

[87]  Karl T. Ulrich,et al.  Product Design and Development , 1995 .

[88]  Lukasz Madej,et al.  Recent development trends in metal forming , 2019, Archives of Civil and Mechanical Engineering.

[89]  David M. Miller,et al.  A knowledge-based approach to design for manufacturability , 1993, J. Intell. Manuf..

[90]  Jonathan Corney,et al.  A methodology for near net shape process feasibility assessment , 2017 .

[91]  T. A. Dean,et al.  Computer aids to data preparation for cost estimation , 1984 .

[92]  Zahurin Samad,et al.  Cold Forging Die Design: Recent Advanced and Future Trends , 2007 .

[93]  Michele Germani,et al.  Cost Estimation Method for Gas Turbine in Conceptual Design Phase , 2019, Procedia CIRP.

[94]  Tomas Beno,et al.  Energy and Cost Estimation of a Feature-based Machining Operation on HRSA , 2017 .

[95]  Robert C. Creese,et al.  Return of feature-based cost modeling , 1998, Other Conferences.

[96]  E. Doege,et al.  FE simulation of the precision forging process of bevel gears , 1994 .

[97]  Z. Gronostajski,et al.  A review of the degradation mechanisms of the hot forging tools , 2014 .

[98]  Geoffrey Boothroyd,et al.  Product design for manufacture and assembly , 1994, Comput. Aided Des..

[99]  Li Qian,et al.  Activity-based cost management for design and development stage , 2003 .

[100]  Hong-Seok Park,et al.  Preform Optimization for Bevel Gear of Warm Forging Process , 2018 .

[101]  David Cebon,et al.  Materials Selection in Mechanical Design , 1992 .

[102]  Patrick Martin,et al.  Technological information concerning the integrated design of “net-shape” forged parts , 2006 .

[103]  A Critical Review and Assessment of Different Thermoviscoplastic Material Models for Simultaneous Hot/Cold Forging Analysis , 2020 .

[104]  Christos C. Chamis,et al.  T/BEST: a computer code for assessing the benefits of advanced aerospace technologies , 1997 .

[105]  Alexander Layer,et al.  Recent and future trends in cost estimation , 2002, Int. J. Comput. Integr. Manuf..

[106]  G. Boothroyd,et al.  Design for Economical Use of Forging: Indication of General Relative Forging Costs , 1982 .

[107]  P. W. Wright Near-net shaping — The key to new materials exploitation , 1987 .

[108]  Zbigniew Gronostajski,et al.  Comprehensive Review of Methods for Increasing the Durability of Hot Forging Tools , 2020 .

[109]  . K.Rezaie,et al.  The Activity-based Costing Approach for Estimation of Part`s Cost in FMS with A(2)-Degree Automation: A Case Study in a Forging Industry , 2006 .

[110]  Michael F. Ashby,et al.  Cost estimates to guide pre-selection of processes , 2003 .

[111]  S. Buch,et al.  Application of Rule Based and Expert Systems in Various Manufacturing Processes—A Review , 2016 .

[112]  Yi Qin,et al.  Forming of hollow-gear-shafts with pressure-assisted injection forging (PAIF) , 2005 .

[113]  D. Ben-Arieh,et al.  Cost estimation system for machined parts , 2000 .

[114]  Shaw C. Feng,et al.  A manufacturing process information model for design and process planning integration , 2003 .

[115]  T. K. Kundra,et al.  System for early cost estimation of die-cast parts , 2007 .

[116]  Michele Germani,et al.  Analytical Cost Estimation Model in High Pressure Die Casting , 2017 .

[117]  Peter Hartley,et al.  Forging die design and flow simulation: Their integration in intelligent knowledge-based systems , 1987 .

[118]  Michele Germani,et al.  A framework for analytical cost estimation of mechanical components based on manufacturing knowledge representation , 2020 .

[119]  Rong-Shean Lee,et al.  Development of Knowledge-Expandable Ontology-Based Expert System for Process Planning in Cold Forging of Flange Nuts , 2017 .

[120]  J. M. Alexander The Economics of Alternative Methods of Metal Processing , 1983 .

[121]  Bernd-Arno Behrens,et al.  Near-Net and Net Shape Forging , 2014 .