Literature review on modeling and simulation of energy infrastructures from a resilience perspective

Abstract Recent years have witnessed an increasing frequency of disasters, both natural and human-induced. This applies pressure to critical infrastructures (CIs). Among all the CI sectors, the energy infrastructure plays a critical role, as almost all other CIs depend on it. In this paper, 30 energy infrastructure models dedicated for the modeling and simulation of power or natural gas networks are collected and reviewed using the emerging concept of resilience. Based on the review, typical modeling approaches for energy infrastructure resilience problems are summarized and compared. The authors, then, propose five indicators for evaluating a resilience model; namely, catering to different stakeholders, intervening in development phases, dedicating to certain stressor and failure, taking into account different interdependencies, and involving socio-economic characteristics. As a supplement, other modeling features such as data needs and time scale are further discussed. Finally, the paper offers observations of existing energy infrastructure models as well as future trends for energy infrastructure modeling.

[1]  Kevin D. Ash,et al.  The geographies of community disaster resilience , 2014 .

[2]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Resilience As Optimization Criterion for the Rehabilitation of Bridges Belonging to a Transportation Network Subject to Earthquake , 2011 .

[3]  Chun-Nen Huang,et al.  A method for exploring the interdependencies and importance of critical infrastructures , 2014, Knowl. Based Syst..

[4]  Ronald L. Wasserstein,et al.  Monte Carlo: Concepts, Algorithms, and Applications , 1997 .

[5]  G. Loren Toole,et al.  Interdependent Energy Infrastructure Simulation System , 2008 .

[6]  Zhaohong Bie,et al.  Reliability evaluation of integrated energy systems based on smart agent communication , 2016 .

[7]  Kash Barker,et al.  A review of definitions and measures of system resilience , 2016, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[8]  Yukiko Takeuchi,et al.  Climate Disaster Resilience: Focus on Coastal Urban Cities in Asia , 2009 .

[9]  Kash Barker,et al.  Multidimensional approach to complex system resilience analysis , 2016, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[10]  Wei Yuan,et al.  Robust Optimization-Based Resilient Distribution Network Planning Against Natural Disasters , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[11]  Pierluigi Mancarella,et al.  Modeling and Evaluating the Resilience of Critical Electrical Power Infrastructure to Extreme Weather Events , 2017, IEEE Systems Journal.

[12]  Pengcheng Zhang,et al.  A generalized modeling framework to analyze interdependencies among infrastructure systems , 2011 .

[13]  David Etkin,et al.  The Importance of Measuring the Social Costs of Natural Disasters at a Time of Climate Change , 2000 .

[14]  Zhao Yang Dong,et al.  An improved model for structural vulnerability analysis of power networks , 2009 .

[15]  Sara Meerow,et al.  Defining urban resilience: A review , 2016 .

[16]  Donald D. Dudenhoeffer CIMS: A Framework for Infrastructure Interdependencies and Analysis , 2006 .

[17]  Harry Eugene Stanley,et al.  Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks , 2009, Nature.

[18]  Min Ouyang,et al.  Review on modeling and simulation of interdependent critical infrastructure systems , 2014, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[19]  Jianhui Wang,et al.  Resilient Distribution System by Microgrids Formation After Natural Disasters , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[20]  Joseph H. Eto,et al.  Assessing Changes in the Reliability of the U.S. Electric Power System , 2015 .

[21]  Michael Luck,et al.  Understanding Agent Systems , 2001, Springer Series on Agent Technology.

[22]  James Keirstead,et al.  SYNCITY: AN INTEGRATED TOOL KIT FOR URBAN ENERGY SYSTEMS MODELLING , 2009 .

[23]  Eric Bonabeau,et al.  Agent-based modeling: Methods and techniques for simulating human systems , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[24]  Ayyoob Sharifi,et al.  A critical review of selected tools for assessing community resilience , 2016 .

[25]  M. Amin,et al.  Challenges in reliability, security, efficiency, and resilience of energy infrastructure: Toward smart self-healing electric power grid , 2008, 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century.

[26]  John D Moteff Critical Infrastructures: Background, Policy, and Implementation , 2009 .

[27]  Mahmud Fotuhi-Firuzabad,et al.  Role of Outage Management Strategy in Reliability Performance of Multi-Microgrid Distribution Systems , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[28]  C. S. Holling Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems , 1973 .

[29]  P. Luh,et al.  Risk Analysis for Distribution Systems in the Northeast U.S. Under Wind Storms , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[30]  N.N. Schulz,et al.  A Multi-Agent Solution to Distribution Systems Restoration , 2007, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[31]  Zachary A. Collier,et al.  Metrics for energy resilience , 2014 .

[32]  Giovanni Sansavini,et al.  Optimizing power system investments and resilience against attacks , 2017, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[33]  Nicholas R. Jennings,et al.  Intelligent agents: theory and practice , 1995, The Knowledge Engineering Review.

[34]  Berna Dengiz,et al.  An integrated simulation model for analysing electricity and gas systems , 2014 .

[35]  Thijs ten Raa Input-Output Economics: Theory and Applications - Featuring Asian Economies , 2009 .

[36]  Farrokh Janabi-Sharifi,et al.  Review of modeling methods for HVAC systems , 2014 .

[37]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Optimal Resilience- and Cost-Based Postdisaster Intervention Prioritization for Bridges along a Highway Segment , 2012 .

[38]  Cesar A. Silva-Monroy,et al.  Conceptual Framework for Developing Resilience Metrics for the Electricity, Oil, and Gas Sectors in the United States , 2014 .

[39]  Chuanyi Ji,et al.  Large-scale data analysis of power grid resilience across multiple US service regions , 2016, Nature Energy.

[40]  Jianhui Wang,et al.  Power Distribution System Outage Management With Co-Optimization of Repairs, Reconfiguration, and DG Dispatch , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[41]  Zhi Zhou,et al.  Agent-Based Electricity Market Simulation With Demand Response From Commercial Buildings , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[42]  Tao Ding,et al.  A New Model for Resilient Distribution Systems by Microgrids Formation , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[43]  Sahra Sedigh Sarvestani,et al.  Analysis of Reliability and Resilience for Smart Grids , 2014, 2014 IEEE 38th Annual Computer Software and Applications Conference.

[44]  Ake J Holmgren,et al.  Using Graph Models to Analyze the Vulnerability of Electric Power Networks , 2006, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[45]  Tao Ding,et al.  A New Model for Resilient Distribution Systems by Microgrids Formation , 2018, 2018 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting (PESGM).

[46]  Minjie Zhang,et al.  A Multi-Agent Solution to Distribution System Management by Considering Distributed Generators , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[47]  Sarika Khushalani Solanki,et al.  Multi-agent-based reconfiguration for restoration of distribution systems with distributed generators , 2010, Integr. Comput. Aided Eng..

[48]  P. Hines,et al.  Do topological models provide good information about electricity infrastructure vulnerability? , 2010, Chaos.

[49]  Furong Li,et al.  Battling the Extreme: A Study on the Power System Resilience , 2017, Proceedings of the IEEE.

[50]  E. Galli,et al.  Agent-based modelling of interdependent critical infrastructures , 2010, Int. J. Syst. Syst. Eng..

[51]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Resilience and Sustainability of Civil Infrastructure: Toward a Unified Approach , 2014 .

[52]  Joseph R. Blandino,et al.  Network Security Risk Assessment Modeling Tools for Critical Infrastructure Assessment , 2003 .

[53]  Irene Eusgeld,et al.  Comparative Evaluation of Modeling and Simulation Techniques for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures , 2008 .

[54]  Melike Erol-Kantarci,et al.  A risk optimization model for enhanced power grid resilience against physical attacks , 2017 .

[55]  J. L. Gillette,et al.  Analyzing water/wastewater infrastructure interdependencies. , 2002 .

[56]  Fei Xue,et al.  Analysis of structural vulnerabilities in power transmission grids , 2009, Int. J. Crit. Infrastructure Prot..

[57]  Refrigerating ASHRAE handbook of fundamentals , 1967 .

[58]  Royce A. Francis,et al.  A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems , 2014, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[59]  Dirk P. Kroese,et al.  Why the Monte Carlo method is so important today , 2014 .

[60]  Marvin K. Nakayama,et al.  Efficient Algorithms for Analyzing Cascading Failures in a Markovian Dependability Model , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[61]  Craig W. Reynolds Flocks, herds, and schools: a distributed behavioral model , 1998 .

[62]  K. Harashina,et al.  Resilience and Sustainability of Rural Areas , 2018 .

[63]  Milos Manic,et al.  CIMS: A Framework for Infrastructure Interdependency Modeling and Analysis , 2006, Proceedings of the 2006 Winter Simulation Conference.

[64]  Zhaohong Bie,et al.  Tri-level optimal hardening plan for a resilient distribution system considering reconfiguration and DG islanding , 2018 .

[65]  Mohammad E. Khodayar,et al.  Resilient Operation of Multiple Energy Carrier Microgrids , 2015, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[66]  S. McManus,et al.  Resilience Management: A Framework for Assessing and Improving the Resilience of Organisations , 2007 .

[67]  Zhao Yang Dong,et al.  Attack structural vulnerability of power grids: A hybrid approach based on complex networks , 2010 .

[68]  Vicki Bier,et al.  Managing the risks of extreme events , 2012 .

[69]  Michael Glaß,et al.  Automatic Reliability Analysis in the Presence of Probabilistic Common Cause Failures , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[70]  James H. Garrett,et al.  Data Management for Geospatial Vulnerability Assessment of Interdependencies in U.S. Power Generation , 2009 .

[71]  Karen L. Butler-Purry,et al.  Sequential Service Restoration for Unbalanced Distribution Systems and Microgrids , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[72]  Samiul Hasan,et al.  Modeling infrastructure system interdependencies and socioeconomic impacts of failure in extreme events: emerging R&D challenges , 2015, Natural Hazards.

[73]  W. A. Buehring,et al.  Resilience: Theory and Application. , 2012 .

[74]  T. Stocker,et al.  Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. , 2012 .

[75]  Francesco Cadini,et al.  A modeling and simulation framework for the reliability/availability assessment of a power transmission grid subject to cascading failures under extreme weather conditions , 2017 .

[76]  James P. Peerenboom,et al.  Identifying, understanding, and analyzing critical infrastructure interdependencies , 2001 .