Costly and bounded rationality in individual and team decision-making

The "Savage paradigm" of rational decision-making under uncertainty has become the dominant model of human behavior in mainstream economics and game theory. However, under the rubric of "bounded-rationality", this model has been criticized as inadequate form both normative and descriptive viewpoints. This paper sketches the historical roots and some current development of this movement, distinguishing between attempts to extend the Savage paradigm ("costly rationality") and the need for more radical departures ("truly bounded rationality"). Copyright 2000 by Oxford University Press.

[1]  Daniel McFadden,et al.  Rationality for Economists , 1999 .

[2]  Timothy Van Zandt,et al.  Real-Time Decentralized Information Processing as a Model of Organizations with Boundedly Rational Agents , 1999 .

[3]  M. Jackson,et al.  Bayesian Representation of Stochastic Processes under Learning: de Finetti Revisited , 1999 .

[4]  Barton L. Lipman,et al.  Decision Theory without Logical Omniscience : Toward an Axiomatic Framework for Bounded Rationality 1 , 1998 .

[5]  Timothy Van Zandt,et al.  Decentralized Information Processing in the Theory of Organizations , 1999 .

[6]  Aldo Rustichini,et al.  Recent developments in modeling unforeseen contingencies , 1998 .

[7]  Thomas Marschak,et al.  Network Mechanisms, Informational Efficiency, and Hierarchies , 1998 .

[8]  S. Reiter,et al.  Organizations With Incomplete Information: A Modular Network Model of Bounded Rationality , 1998 .

[9]  Timothy Van Zandt,et al.  Organizations With Incomplete Information: Organizations with an Endogenous Number of Information Processing Agents , 1998 .

[10]  A. Rubinstein Modeling Bounded Rationality , 1998 .

[11]  Timothy Van Zandt,et al.  Real-Time Hierarchical Resource Allocation , 1997 .

[12]  R. Radner Bounded Rationality, Indetriminacy, and The Managerial Theory of The Firm , 1997 .

[13]  Roy Radner,et al.  Real-time decentralized information processing and returns to scale , 1996 .

[14]  Zur Shapira,et al.  Organizational decision making: Preference processing , 1996 .

[15]  J. Conlisk Why Bounded Rationality , 1996 .

[16]  Ariel Rubinstein,et al.  A Course in Game Theory , 1995 .

[17]  P. Bolton,et al.  The firm as a communication network , 1994 .

[18]  R. Radner,et al.  Information Processing in Firms and Returns to Scale , 1992 .

[19]  Partha Dasgupta,et al.  Economic Analysis of Markets and Games , 1992 .

[20]  S. Winter Competition and Selection , 1991 .

[21]  R. Radner Hierarchy: The Economics On Managing , 1990 .

[22]  D. Hand A History of Probability and Statistics and Their Applications before 1750 , 1990 .

[23]  Henry Mintzberg Mintzberg on management : inside our strange world of organizations , 1989 .

[24]  M. Machina Dynamic Consistency and Non-expected Utility Models of Choice under Uncertainty , 1989 .

[25]  M. Machina Choice under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved , 1987 .

[26]  D. Freedman,et al.  On the consistency of Bayes estimates , 1986 .

[27]  Marcel Boyer,et al.  Bayesian Models in Economic Theory , 1984 .

[28]  Robert A. Jones,et al.  Flexibility and Uncertainty , 1984 .

[29]  S. Winter,et al.  An evolutionary theory of economic change , 1983 .

[30]  R. H. Waterman,et al.  In Search of Excellence , 1983 .

[31]  David M. Kreps A REPRESENTATION THEOREM FOR "PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY" , 1979 .

[32]  Morris Bornstein Economic planning, east and west , 1975 .

[33]  K. Arrow The limits of organization , 1974 .

[34]  Allen Newell,et al.  Human Problem Solving. , 1973 .

[35]  R. Radner,et al.  Economic theory of teams , 1972 .

[36]  C. Sims Distributed Lag Estimation When the Parameter Space is Explicitly Infinite- Dimensional , 1971 .

[37]  Herbert A. Simon,et al.  The Sciences of the Artificial , 1970 .

[38]  R. Radner,et al.  Team Decision Problems , 1962 .

[39]  R. Radner The Evaluation of Information in Organizations , 1961 .

[40]  H. Simon,et al.  Models of Man. , 1957 .

[41]  H. Simon,et al.  A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice , 1955 .

[42]  J. Marschak,et al.  Elements for a Theory of Teams , 1955 .

[43]  L. J. Savage,et al.  The Foundations of Statistics , 1955 .

[44]  K. Arrow Alternative Approaches to the Theory of Choice in Risk-Taking Situations , 1951 .

[45]  Abraham Wald,et al.  Statistical Decision Functions , 1951 .

[46]  J. Neumann,et al.  Theory of games and economic behavior , 1945, 100 Years of Math Milestones.

[47]  R. Coase The Nature of the Firm , 1937 .

[48]  B. D. Finetti La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives , 1937 .

[49]  N. Kaldor,et al.  The Equilibrium of the Firm , 1934 .

[50]  F. Knight The economic nature of the firm: From Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit , 2009 .

[51]  J. M. Clark Economics and Modern Psycholoy: I , 1918, Journal of Political Economy.