Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on Densely Connected Convolutional Neural Networks

With accurate traffic prediction, future cellular networks can make self-management and embrace intelligent and efficient automation. This letter devotes itself to citywide cellular traffic prediction and proposes a deep learning approach to model the nonlinear dynamics of wireless traffic. By treating traffic data as images, both the spatial and temporal dependence of cell traffic are well captured utilizing densely connected convolutional neural networks. A parametric matrix based fusion scheme is further put forward to learn influence degrees of the spatial and temporal dependence. Experimental results show that the prediction performance in terms of root mean square error can be significantly improved compared with those existing algorithms. The prediction accuracy is also validated by using the data sets of Telecom Italia.

[1]  Kilian Q. Weinberger,et al.  Densely Connected Convolutional Networks , 2016, 2017 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR).

[2]  Jing Wang,et al.  Spatiotemporal modeling and prediction in cellular networks: A big data enabled deep learning approach , 2017, IEEE INFOCOM 2017 - IEEE Conference on Computer Communications.

[3]  Hong-Jie Xing,et al.  Locality correlation preserving based one-class support vector machine , 2017, Chinese Control and Decision Conference.

[4]  Navrati Saxena,et al.  Traffic-Aware Energy Optimization in Green LTE Cellular Systems , 2014, IEEE Communications Letters.

[5]  Shui Yu,et al.  Network Traffic Prediction Based on Deep Belief Network in Wireless Mesh Backbone Networks , 2017, 2017 IEEE Wireless Communications and Networking Conference (WCNC).

[6]  Yan Chen,et al.  Intelligent 5G: When Cellular Networks Meet Artificial Intelligence , 2017, IEEE Wireless Communications.

[7]  Guigang Zhang,et al.  Deep Learning , 2016, Int. J. Semantic Comput..

[8]  Marco De Nadai,et al.  A multi-source dataset of urban life in the city of Milan and the Province of Trentino , 2015, Scientific Data.

[9]  Rob J Hyndman,et al.  25 years of time series forecasting , 2006 .

[10]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  Reducing the Dimensionality of Data with Neural Networks , 2006, Science.

[11]  Zhili Sun,et al.  Traffic Modeling and prediction using ARIMA/GARCH model , 2006 .

[12]  Zhifeng Zhao,et al.  The Learning and Prediction of Application-Level Traffic Data in Cellular Networks , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Wireless Communications.

[13]  Fabio Ricciato,et al.  A Distribution-Based Approach to Anomaly Detection and Application to 3G Mobile Traffic , 2009, GLOBECOM 2009 - 2009 IEEE Global Telecommunications Conference.