Does Money Grow on Trees?: The Diversification Properties of U.S. Timberland Investments

This paper quantifies the diversification potential of timberland investments in a meanvariance framework. The starting point is a broad set of benchmark assets represented by various indexes. Including publicly traded timberland investments in the portfolio does not significantly increase meanvariance efficiency. At first sight, U.S. private equity timberland seems to improve the mean-variance frontier, even if the portfolio already contains a forestry and paper equity index. However, after removing the appraisal smoothing bias from the raw timberland data, there is much less evidence that private equity timberland investments increase mean-variance efficiency.

[1]  T. Healey,et al.  Timber as an Institutional Investment , 2005 .

[2]  Haim Levy,et al.  Portfolio Performance and the Investment Horizon , 1972 .

[3]  Gur Huberman,et al.  Arbitrage pricing theory , 2005 .

[4]  Jack L. Treynor,et al.  MUTUAL FUND PERFORMANCE* , 2007 .

[5]  Gur Huberman,et al.  Mean-Variance Spanning , 1987 .

[6]  David Geltner,et al.  Value indices of commercial real estate: A comparison of index construction methods , 1994 .

[7]  Tsong-Yue Lai,et al.  Appraisal Smoothing: The Other Side of the Story , 1998 .

[8]  T. Nijman,et al.  Testing for mean-variance spanning: a survey , 2001 .

[9]  R. Edelstein,et al.  How Does Appraisal Smoothing Bias Real Estate Returns Measurement? , 2006 .

[10]  David A. Belsley,et al.  Regression Analysis and its Application: A Data-Oriented Approach.@@@Applied Linear Regression.@@@Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity , 1981 .

[11]  J. Tobin Liquidity Preference as Behavior towards Risk , 1958 .

[12]  E. Mammen Bootstrap and Wild Bootstrap for High Dimensional Linear Models , 1993 .

[13]  Timothy J. Riddiough,et al.  Privately Versus Publicly Held Asset Investment Performance , 2005 .

[14]  Guofu Zhou,et al.  Tests of Mean-Variance Spanning , 2008 .

[15]  Shuangzhe Liu,et al.  Regression diagnostics , 2020, Applied Quantitative Analysis for Real Estate.

[16]  Daowei Zhang,et al.  Assessing the Financial Performance of Forestry‐Related Investment Vehicles: Capital Asset Pricing Model vs. Arbitrage Pricing Theory , 2001 .

[17]  Frederick W. Cubbage,et al.  Portfolio Risk and Returns from Timber Asset Investments , 1988 .

[18]  W. Greene,et al.  计量经济分析 = Econometric analysis , 2009 .

[19]  Phelim P. Boyle,et al.  Sharpe, William F. , 2010 .

[20]  Clark S. Binkley,et al.  Do Forest Assets Hedge Inflation , 1993 .