Test reference year generation from meteorological and simulated solar radiation data

Abstract In this paper, a new method for generating test reference year (TRY) from the measured meteorological variables is proposed. Hourly recorded data of air temperature, relative humidity and wind velocity for two stations, Valladolid and Madrid (Spain) were selected to develop the method and a TRY was obtained. Monthly average solar radiation values were calculated taking into account the temperature and solar radiation correlations. Four different methodologies were used to evaluate hourly global solar radiation from hourly weather data of temperature and, as a consequence, four different TRYs with common data sets of temperature, relative humidity and wind velocity were generated for Valladolid and Madrid (Spain) stations. In order to evaluate the four different methodologies, TRYs data were compared with long-term measured data series using statistical estimators such as average, standard deviation, root mean square error (rmse) and mean bias error (mbe). Festa and Ratto and the TAG model, from Aguiar and Collares-Pereira, respectively, turned out to be the best methods for generating hourly solar irradiation data. The best performance was shown by the TRY0 year which was based on the solar radiation models mentioned above. The results show that the best reference year for each site varies with the season and the characteristics of the station.

[1]  J. Duffie,et al.  A methodology for the synthesis of hourly weather data , 1991 .

[2]  Constantinos A. Balaras,et al.  Comparison of methodologies for tmy generation using 20 years data for Athens, Greece , 1999 .

[3]  Daniel Feuermann,et al.  A typical meteorological day (TMD) approach for predicting the long-term performance of solar energy systems , 1985 .

[4]  Georgios A. Florides,et al.  Evolution of domestic dwellings in Cyprus and energy analysis , 2001 .

[5]  M. Collares-Pereira,et al.  TAG: A time-dependent, autoregressive, Gaussian model for generating synthetic hourly radiation , 1992 .

[6]  Soteris A. Kalogirou,et al.  Use of TRNSYS for modelling and simulation of a hybrid pv–thermal solar system for Cyprus , 2001 .

[7]  C. F. Ratto,et al.  Proposal of a numerical procedure to select reference years , 1993 .

[8]  B. Akinoglu,et al.  Generation of a typical meteorological year using sunshine duration data , 2002 .

[9]  G. W. Sadler,et al.  Transient simulation of flat-plate solar collectors , 1988 .

[10]  A. Rabl,et al.  The average distribution of solar radiation-correlations between diffuse and hemispherical and between daily and hourly insolation values , 1979 .

[11]  Francesco Minichiello,et al.  Desiccant HVAC systems for commercial buildings , 2002 .

[12]  D. K. Pissimanis,et al.  The generation of a “typical meteorological year” for the city of Athens , 1988 .

[13]  R. J. Stone Improved statistical procedure for the evaluation of solar radiation estimation models , 1993 .

[14]  M. A. Mosalam Shaltout,et al.  Typical solar radiation year for Egypt , 1994 .

[15]  W. Beckman,et al.  Estimation of degree-days and ambient temperature bin data from monthly-average temperatures , 1983 .

[16]  H. Kambezidis,et al.  DIFFUSE SOLAR IRRADIATION MODEL EVALUATION IN THE NORTH MEDITERRANEAN BELT AREA , 2001 .

[17]  Mario A. Medina,et al.  On the performance of radiant barriers in combination with different attic insulation levels , 2000 .

[18]  Harry D. Kambezidis,et al.  Air Temperature Model Evaluation in the North Mediterranean Belt Area , 2002 .

[19]  A. Miguel,et al.  Test Reference Year Generation and Evaluation Methods in the Continental Mediterranean Area , 2004 .

[20]  M. Collares-Pereira,et al.  Simple procedure for generating sequences of daily radiation values using a library of Markov transition matrices , 1988 .

[21]  Michael McClintock,et al.  Determining typical weather for use in solar energy simulations , 1978 .

[22]  C. F. Ratto,et al.  A procedure to obtain average daily values of meteorological parameters from monthly averages , 1988 .

[23]  S. Kalogirou,et al.  Generation of a “typical meteorological year” for Nicosia, Cyprus , 1998 .