A First Option Calibration of the GARCH Diffusion Model by a PDE Method

Time-series calibrations often suggest that the GARCH diffusion model could also be a suitable candidate for option (risk-neutral) calibration. But unlike the popular Heston model, it lacks a fast, semi-analytic solution for the pricing of vanilla options, perhaps the main reason why it is not used in this way. In this paper we show how an efficient finite difference-based PDE solver can effectively replace analytical solutions, enabling accurate option calibrations in less than a minute. The proposed pricing engine is shown to be robust under a wide range of model parameters and combines smoothly with black-box optimizers. We use this approach to produce a first PDE calibration of the GARCH diffusion model to SPX options and present some benchmark results for future reference.

[1]  Maarten Wyns Convergence analysis of the Modified Craig-Sneyd scheme for two-dimensional convection-diffusion equations with nonsmooth initial data , 2015 .

[2]  S. Ikonen,et al.  Efficient numerical methods for pricing American options under stochastic volatility , 2008 .

[3]  Peter A. Forsyth,et al.  Convergence remedies for non-smooth payoffs in option pricing , 2003 .

[4]  David Pottinton,et al.  Option Valuation under Stochastic Volatility II: With Mathematica Code , 2017 .

[5]  Peter Christoffersen,et al.  Volatility Dynamics for the S&P500: Evidence from Realized Volatility, Daily Returns and Option Prices , 2007 .

[6]  K. I. '. Hout,et al.  ADI finite difference schemes for option pricing in the Heston model with correlation , 2008, 0811.3427.

[7]  M. Vinokur,et al.  On one-dimensional stretching functions for finite-difference calculations. [computational fluid dynamics] , 1983 .

[8]  K. J. in’t Hout,et al.  Stability of the modified Craig-Sneyd scheme for two-dimensional convection-diffusion equations with mixed derivative term , 2010, Math. Comput. Simul..

[9]  Peter A. Forsyth,et al.  Negative coefficients in two-factor option pricing models , 2003 .

[10]  Tinne Haentjens,et al.  ADI Schemes for Pricing American Options under the Heston Model , 2015 .

[11]  E. Çinlar Markov additive processes. II , 1972 .

[12]  H. H. Rachford,et al.  The Numerical Solution of Parabolic and Elliptic Differential Equations , 1955 .

[13]  S. Heston A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options , 1993 .

[14]  Peter E. Rossi,et al.  Dan Nelson Remembered , 1995 .

[15]  Jari Toivanen,et al.  Application of operator splitting methods in finance , 2015, 1504.01022.

[16]  A. Jacquier,et al.  The Randomised Heston Model , 2016, 1608.07158.

[17]  Geoffrey Lee,et al.  Switching to Non-Affine Stochastic Volatility: A Closed-Form Expansion for the Inverse Gamma Model , 2015, 1507.02847.

[18]  Alan L. Lewis Option Valuation under Stochastic Volatility , 2000 .

[19]  R. Rannacher Finite element solution of diffusion problems with irregular data , 1984 .

[20]  'Hot-Start' Initialization of the Heston Model , 2015 .

[21]  Curt Randall,et al.  Pricing Financial Instruments: The Finite Difference Method , 2000 .

[22]  H. H. Rachford,et al.  On the numerical solution of heat conduction problems in two and three space variables , 1956 .