A Comprehensive Statistical Study on Daytime Surface Urban Heat Island during Summer in Urban Areas, Case Study: Cairo and Its New Towns

Surface urban heat island (SUHI) is defined as the elevated land surface temperature (LST) in urban area in comparison with non-urban areas, and it can influence the energy consumption, comfort and health of urban residents. In this study, the existence of daytime SUHI, in Cairo and its new towns during the summer, is investigated using three different approaches; (1) utilization of pre-urbanization observations as LST references; (2) utilization of rural observations as LST references (urban–rural difference); and (3) utilization of the SIUHI (Surface Intra Urban Heat Island) approach. A time series of Landsat TM & ETM+ data (46 images) from 1984 to 2015 was employed in this study for daytime LST calculation during summer. Different statistical hypothesis tests were utilized for the evaluation of LST and SUHI in the case studies. The results demonstrated that there is no significant LST difference between the urban areas studied, and their corresponding built-up areas. In addition, daytime LST in new towns during the summer is 2 K warmer than in Cairo. Utilization of a pre-urbanization observations approach, alongside an evaluation of the long-term trend, demonstrated that there is no daytime SUHI during the summer in the study areas, and construction activities in the study areas do not result in cooling or warming effects. Utilization of the rural observations approach showed that LST is lower in Cairo than its surrounding areas. This demonstrates why the selection of suitable rural references in SUHI studies is an important and complicated task, and how this approach may lead to misinterpretation in desert city areas with significant landscape and surface difference with their most surrounding areas (e.g., Cairo). Results showed that, although SIUHI technique can be representative for the changes of variance of LST in urban areas, it is not able to identify the changes of mean LST in urban areas.

[1]  I. Stewart,et al.  A systematic review and scientific critique of methodology in modern urban heat island literature , 2011 .

[2]  Lin Liu,et al.  Urban Heat Island Analysis Using the Landsat TM Data and ASTER Data: A Case Study in Hong Kong , 2011, Remote. Sens..

[3]  Philippe Martin,et al.  An alternative method to characterize the surface urban heat island , 2014, International Journal of Biometeorology.

[4]  Frederick J. Gravetter,et al.  Essentials of Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences , 1991 .

[5]  R. A. Groeneveld,et al.  Practical Nonparametric Statistics (2nd ed). , 1981 .

[6]  Rupa Basu,et al.  Relation between elevated ambient temperature and mortality: a review of the epidemiologic evidence. , 2002, Epidemiologic reviews.

[7]  Dona J. Stewart Cities in the Desert: The Egyptian New‐Town Program , 1996 .

[8]  Hong Ye,et al.  The Impacts of Rapid Urbanization on the Thermal Environment: A Remote Sensing Study of Guangzhou, South China , 2012, Remote. Sens..

[9]  D. Lu,et al.  Estimation of land surface temperature-vegetation abundance relationship for urban heat island studies , 2004 .

[10]  Thomas Alexandridis,et al.  Rapid error assessment for quantitative estimations from Landsat 7 gap-filled images , 2013 .

[11]  Maria Tombrou,et al.  The International Urban Energy Balance Models Comparison Project: First Results from Phase 1 , 2010 .

[12]  J. A. Voogta,et al.  Thermal remote sensing of urban climates , 2003 .

[13]  David J. Groggel,et al.  Practical Nonparametric Statistics , 2000, Technometrics.

[14]  T. S. Saitoh,et al.  Modeling and simulation of the Tokyo urban heat island , 1996 .

[15]  A. Ngie,et al.  Assessment of urban heat island using satellite remotely sensed imagery: a review , 2014 .

[16]  Antonio J. Plaza,et al.  Land Surface Emissivity Retrieval From Different VNIR and TIR Sensors , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing.

[17]  Igor Ogashawara,et al.  A Quantitative Approach for Analyzing the Relationship between Urban Heat Islands and Land Cover , 2012, Remote. Sens..

[18]  Janet Nichol,et al.  Visualisation of urban surface temperatures derived from satellite images , 1998 .

[19]  J. Nichol High-Resolution Surface Temperature Patterns Related to Urban Morphology in a Tropical City: A Satellite-Based Study , 1996 .

[20]  Qihao Weng,et al.  Spatio‐temporal modelling and analysis of urban heat islands by using Landsat TM and ETM+ imagery , 2009 .

[21]  T. Schmugge,et al.  Deriving land surface temperature from Landsat 5 and 7 during SMEX02/SMACEX , 2004 .

[22]  David Iluz,et al.  The oasis effect in an extremely hot and arid climate: The case of southern Israel , 2008 .

[23]  Joaquim P. Marques de Sá,et al.  Applied statistics : using SPSS, STATISTICA, and MATLAB , 2003 .

[24]  H. Akbari,et al.  Energy savings for heat-island reduction strategies in Chicago and Houston (including updates for Baton Rouge, Sacramento, and Salt Lake City) , 2002 .

[25]  Philip H. Ramsey Nonparametric Statistical Methods , 1974, Technometrics.

[26]  William P. Lowry,et al.  Empirical Estimation of Urban Effects on Climate: A Problem Analysis. , 1977 .

[27]  Keechoo Choi,et al.  Simulating Land Cover Changes and Their Impacts on Land Surface Temperature in Dhaka, Bangladesh , 2013, Remote. Sens..

[28]  Patrick Hostert,et al.  Uncovering land-use dynamics driven by human decision-making - A combined model approach using cellular automata and system dynamics , 2012, Environ. Model. Softw..

[29]  T. Carlson,et al.  On the relation between NDVI, fractional vegetation cover, and leaf area index , 1997 .

[30]  D. Wolfe,et al.  Nonparametric Statistical Methods. , 1974 .

[31]  P. Marpu,et al.  Temperature-land cover interactions: The inversion of urban heat island phenomenon in desert city areas , 2013 .

[32]  Eberhard Parlow,et al.  Investigation of the Daily Urban Cool Island (UCI) in two coastal Cities in an Arid Environment: Dubai and Abu Dhabi (U.A.E.) , 2005 .

[33]  Weidong Li,et al.  Gaps‐fill of SLC‐off Landsat ETM+ satellite image using a geostatistical approach , 2007 .

[34]  Yuan-Fong Su,et al.  Erratum to “Assessing the effect of landcover changes on air temperature using remote sensing images—A pilot study in northern Taiwan” [Landscape and Urban Planning 85 (2008) 85–96] , 2008 .

[35]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  Assessment of urban heat islands: a satellite perspective , 1995 .

[36]  Leo Newland,et al.  Mapping micro-urban heat islands using LANDSAT TM and a GIS , 1995 .

[37]  S. Du,et al.  The relationships between landscape compositions and land surface temperature: Quantifying their resolution sensitivity with spatial regression models , 2014 .

[38]  José A. Sobrino,et al.  Land surface temperature retrieval from LANDSAT TM 5 , 2004 .

[39]  Kenneth Strzepek,et al.  As climate changes : international impacts and implications , 1995 .

[40]  L. Kalkstein,et al.  The impact of climate change on human health: Some international implications , 1993, Experientia.

[41]  W. Emery,et al.  Satellite-derived urban heat islands from three coastal cities and the utilization of such data in urban climatology , 1989 .

[42]  Shakoor Hajat,et al.  An ecological time-series study of heat-related mortality in three European cities , 2008, Environmental Health.

[43]  Joel Schwartz,et al.  Mapping Community Determinants of Heat Vulnerability , 2008, Environmental health perspectives.

[44]  Feng Zhang,et al.  Editorial: Sustainable Urban Development , 2011, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[45]  Zhi-Yong Yin,et al.  Changes in urban built-up surface and population distribution patterns during 1986-1999: A case study of Cairo, Egypt , 2005, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[46]  Katharina M. A. Gabriel,et al.  Urban and rural mortality rates during heat waves in Berlin and Brandenburg, Germany. , 2011, Environmental pollution.

[47]  Renhua Zhang,et al.  Analysis of the Urban Heat Island Effect in Shijiazhuang, China Using Satellite and Airborne Data , 2015, Remote. Sens..

[48]  Jean Dickinson Gibbons,et al.  Nonparametric Statistical Inference , 1972, International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science.

[49]  Jinqu Zhang,et al.  A C++ program for retrieving land surface temperature from the data of Landsat TM/ETM+ band6 , 2006, Comput. Geosci..

[50]  Daniel Oudin Åström,et al.  Heat wave impact on morbidity and mortality in the elderly population: a review of recent studies. , 2011, Maturitas.

[51]  S. Hajat,et al.  Heat stress and public health: a critical review. , 2008, Annual review of public health.

[52]  W. Stefanov,et al.  Neighborhood microclimates and vulnerability to heat stress. , 2006, Social science & medicine.

[53]  George Xian,et al.  An analysis of urban thermal characteristics and associated land cover in Tampa Bay and Las Vegas using Landsat satellite data , 2006 .

[54]  K. Moffett,et al.  Remote Sens , 2015 .

[55]  Eberhard Parlow,et al.  Flux measurements in Cairo. Part 1: in situ measurements and their applicability for comparison with satellite data , 2011 .

[56]  Eberhard Parlow,et al.  Urban radiation balance of two coastal cities in a hot and dry environment , 2007 .

[57]  R. C. Larson,et al.  An analysis of an urban heat sink , 1990 .

[58]  S. M. Robaa Some aspects of the urban climates of Greater Cairo Region, Egypt , 2013 .

[59]  Subhabrata Chakraborti,et al.  Nonparametric Statistical Inference , 2011, International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science.

[60]  José A. Sobrino,et al.  Toward remote sensing methods for land cover dynamic monitoring: Application to Morocco , 2000 .

[61]  Andy Y. Kwartenga,et al.  1 COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THERMAL ENVIRONMENTS IN NEW YORK CITY AND KUWAIT CITY , 2005 .

[62]  Giles M. Foody,et al.  Spatial non-stationarity in the relationships between land cover and surface temperature in an urban heat island and its impacts on thermally sensitive populations , 2012 .

[63]  David J. Sheskin,et al.  Handbook of Parametric and Nonparametric Statistical Procedures , 1997 .

[64]  Wenzhong Shi,et al.  Advancing of Land Surface Temperature Retrieval Using Extreme Learning Machine and Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Data Fusion Algorithm , 2015, Remote. Sens..

[65]  D. Artis,et al.  Survey of emissivity variability in thermography of urban areas , 1982 .

[66]  A. Karnieli,et al.  A mono-window algorithm for retrieving land surface temperature from Landsat TM data and its application to the Israel-Egypt border region , 2001 .

[67]  Eyal Ben Dor,et al.  The mixed results concerning the ‘oasis effect’ in a rural settlement in the Negev Desert, Israel , 2004 .

[68]  Beth C. Reinke,et al.  Impacts and Responses to the 1995 Heat Wave: A Call to Action , 1996 .

[69]  Y. Goldreich,et al.  Urban topoclimatology , 1984 .

[70]  Li Jing,et al.  On urban heat island of Beijing based on landsat TM data , 2006 .

[71]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Spatio-temporal Assessment of Urban Heat Island Effects in Kuala Lumpur Metropolitan City Using Landsat Images , 2014, Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing.