Application of Evaluation Method Based on HMM for Result Validity of Complex Simulation Systems

According to the characteristic of randomization and temporal logic in complex simulation system,an evaluation method is presented,based on hidden Markov model(HMM) and multivariate statistical theory,to quantificationally evaluate the result validity of complex simulation system. On the basis of importing the matrix of observed state vector,the designing approach of HMM is proposed to quantify the scenario and state of complex simulation system.Furthermore,quantificational evaluation criterion of result validity of complex simulation system is provided and the critical algorithm adopted in the process of quantificational evaluation is studied in detail.