Temperature Modifies the Effects of Particulate Matter on Non-Accidental Mortality: A Comparative Study of Beijing, China and Brisbane, Australia

The interactive effect between temperature and ambient particulate matter on mortality has attracted attention world-wide, but the results of studies investigating this interaction have been inconsistent. This comparative study aims to further clarify this important public health issue. The present study used two separate time-series analyses to explore whether the mean temperature modified the impact of ambient particulate matter of less than 10 µm in diameter (PM10) on daily non-accidental mortality in Beijing, China (2005-2009) and Brisbane, Australia (2004-2007). A bivariate response model and a stratification parametric model were used. The results show statistically significant interactive effects between PM10 and temperature on non-accidental mortality at various time lags. PM10 had a greater adverse effect on non-accidental mortality from cardiovascular disease on high temperature days. The interactive term coefficients per interquartile range increase in PM10 concentration and in high temperature levels were 1.95% (0.08%, 3.83%) in Brisbane, Australia on the current day and 0.25% (0.05%, 0.45%) in Beijing, China 2 days before the current day. The implications of this result indicate that it is important to reduce the emission of air particles on high temperature days in both cities, especially in Brisbane, Australia.

[1]  Kerrie Mengersen,et al.  Temperature Enhanced Effects of Ozone on Cardiovascular Mortality in 95 Large US Communities, 1987–2000: Assessment Using the NMMAPS Data , 2009, Archives of environmental & occupational health.

[2]  Luigi Perini,et al.  Epidemiologic study of mortality during the Summer 2003 heat wave in Italy. , 2005, Environmental research.

[3]  Christophe Declercq,et al.  Impact of the 2003 Heatwave on All-Cause Mortality in 9 French Cities , 2006, Epidemiology.

[4]  B. Armstrong,et al.  Mortality and temperature in Sofia and London , 2003, Journal of epidemiology and community health.

[5]  Shaowei Wu,et al.  Association of Heart Rate Variability in Taxi Drivers with Marked Changes in Particulate Air Pollution in Beijing in 2008 , 2009, Environmental health perspectives.

[6]  P. Gottschalk,et al.  Heat Stroke , 1912 .

[7]  S. Wood Thin plate regression splines , 2003 .

[8]  Xiaochuan Pan,et al.  Does temperature enhance acute mortality effects of ambient particle pollution in Tianjin City, China. , 2011, The Science of the total environment.

[9]  F. Dominici,et al.  Combining evidence on air pollution and daily mortality from the 20 largest US cities: a hierarchical modelling strategy , 2000 .

[10]  Shilu Tong,et al.  Excess deaths during the 2004 heatwave in Brisbane, Australia , 2010, International journal of biometeorology.

[11]  Y. Guo,et al.  Ambient temperature and mortality: an international study in four capital cities of East Asia. , 2009, The Science of the total environment.

[12]  Francesca Dominici,et al.  Revised Analyses of the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study: Mortality Among Residents Of 90 Cities , 2005, Journal of toxicology and environmental health. Part A.

[13]  J. Chen,et al.  Vascular function, inflammation, and variations in cardiac autonomic responses to particulate matter among welders. , 2009, American journal of epidemiology.

[14]  H. Kan,et al.  Season, Sex, Age, and Education as Modifiers of the Effects of Outdoor Air Pollution on Daily Mortality in Shanghai, China: The Public Health and Air Pollution in Asia (PAPA) Study , 2008, Environmental health perspectives.

[15]  Joel Schwartz,et al.  Who is Sensitive to Extremes of Temperature?: A Case-Only Analysis , 2005, Epidemiology.

[16]  K. Mengersen,et al.  Is the association between temperature and mortality modified by age, gender and socio-economic status? , 2010, The Science of the total environment.

[17]  J Schwartz,et al.  Confounding and Effect Modification in the Short-Term Effects of Ambient Particles on Total Mortality: Results from 29 European Cities within the APHEA2 Project , 2001, Epidemiology.

[18]  R. Tibshirani,et al.  Generalized Additive Models , 1986 .

[19]  S L Zeger,et al.  Estimating particulate matter-mortality dose-response curves and threshold levels: an analysis of daily time-series for the 20 largest US cities. , 2000, American journal of epidemiology.

[20]  Haidong Kan,et al.  Public Health and Air Pollution in Asia (PAPA): A Multicity Study of Short-Term Effects of Air Pollution on Mortality , 2008, Environmental health perspectives.

[21]  D. Zmirou,et al.  Short-term effects of ambient particles on mortality in the elderly: results from 28 cities in the APHEA2 project , 2003, European Respiratory Journal.

[22]  M. Stafoggia,et al.  Does temperature modify the association between air pollution and mortality? A multicity case-crossover analysis in Italy. , 2008, American journal of epidemiology.

[23]  D. Rainham,et al.  The role of air pollution in the relationship between a heat stress index and human mortality in Toronto. , 2003, Environmental research.

[24]  Shilu Tong,et al.  Temperature modifies the health effects of particulate matter in Brisbane, Australia , 2006, International journal of biometeorology.

[25]  J. Schwartz How sensitive is the association between ozone and daily deaths to control for temperature? , 2005, American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine.

[26]  F. Ballester,et al.  Relation between Temperature and Mortality in Thirteen Spanish Cities , 2010, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[27]  Rupa Basu,et al.  Relation between elevated ambient temperature and mortality: a review of the epidemiologic evidence. , 2002, Epidemiologic reviews.

[28]  S. Näyhä Environmental temperature and mortality , 2005, International journal of circumpolar health.

[29]  J. Knochel,et al.  Medical progress: Heat stroke , 2002 .

[30]  K. Mengersen,et al.  Time course of temperature effects on cardiovascular mortality in Brisbane, Australia , 2011, Heart.

[31]  Hung-mo Lin,et al.  High Temperatures Enhanced Acute Mortality Effects of Ambient Particle Pollution in the “Oven” City of Wuhan, China , 2008, Environmental health perspectives.

[32]  A. Peters,et al.  Associations between air temperature and cardio-respiratory mortality in the urban area of Beijing, China: a time-series analysis , 2011, Environmental health : a global access science source.

[33]  S. Zeger,et al.  Does weather confound or modify the association of particulate air pollution with mortality? An analysis of the Philadelphia data, 1973-1980. , 1998, Environmental research.

[34]  A. Barnett,et al.  Temperature and Cardiovascular Deaths in the US Elderly: Changes Over Time , 2007, Epidemiology.

[35]  S. Roberts Interactions between particulate air pollution and temperature in air pollution mortality time series studies. , 2004, Environmental research.

[36]  Vicki Stone,et al.  Inflammatory effects of coarse and fine particulate matter in relation to chemical and biological constituents. , 2004, Toxicology and applied pharmacology.

[37]  Annibale Biggeri,et al.  Vulnerability to Heat-Related Mortality: A Multicity, Population-Based, Case-Crossover Analysis , 2006, Epidemiology.