Rule Based Forecasting [RBF] - Improving Efficacy of Judgmental Forecasts Using Simplified Expert Rules

[1]  Monica Adya,et al.  Corrections to rule-based forecasting: findings from a replication , 2000 .

[2]  The rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures , 2011 .

[3]  Tomasz Korol.  Early warning models against bankruptcy risk for Central European and Latin American enterprises , 2013 .

[4]  James Shanteau,et al.  Why study expert decision making? Some historical perspectives and comments. , 1992 .

[5]  Fred L. Collopy,et al.  Error Measures for Generalizing About Forecasting Methods: Empirical Comparisons , 1992 .

[6]  Kalinga Jagoda,et al.  A bottom-up approach for productivity measurement and improvement , 2013 .

[7]  Morteza Saberi,et al.  Targeting performance measures based on performance prediction , 2011 .

[8]  Fred Collopy,et al.  An Application of Rule-Based Forecasting to a Situation Lacking Domain Knowledge , 2000 .

[9]  N. Cowan.  Evolving conceptions of memory storage, selective attention, and their mutual constraints within the human information-processing system. , 1988, Psychological bulletin.

[10]  William J. Clancey,et al.  The Epistemology of a Rule-Based Expert System - A Framework for Explanation , 1981, Artif. Intell..

[11]  R. Clemen.  Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography , 1989 .

[12]  Taegu Kim,et al.  Forecasting diffusion of innovative technology at pre-launch: A survey-based method , 2013, Ind. Manag. Data Syst..

[13]  Herbert A. Simon,et al.  Cognitive Science: The Newest Science of the Artificial , 1980, Cogn. Sci..

[14]  C. Angeli,et al.  Diagnostic Expert Systems : From Expert ’ s Knowledge to Real-Time Systems , 2010 .

[15]  Fred Collopy,et al.  Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-Series Extrapolation , 1993 .

[16]  Fred Collopy,et al.  Automatic Identification of Time Series Features for Rule-Based Forecasting , 2001 .

[17]  Lorenzo Tiacci,et al.  Demand forecasting, lot sizing and scheduling on a rolling horizon basis , 2012 .

[18]  Spyros Makridakis,et al.  The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications , 2000 .

[19]  Sanjay Jharkharia,et al.  Agri‐fresh produce supply chain management: a state‐of‐the‐art literature review , 2013 .

[20]  James A. Reggia,et al.  A Comparative Analysis of Methods for Expert Systems , 1986, Int. J. Man Mach. Stud..

[21]  Monica Adya,et al.  Designing Effective Forecasting Decision Support Systems: Aligning Task Complexity and Technology Support , 2012 .

[22]  Fred Collopy,et al.  Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations , 1992 .

[23]  William Remus,et al.  Judgemental forecasting in times of change , 1993 .

[24]  Robert L. Winkler,et al.  The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition , 1982 .

[25]  Monica Adya,et al.  Decomposition as a Complex-Skill Acquisition Strategy in Management Education: A Case Study in Business Forecasting. , 2009 .

[26]  Larry P. Ritzman,et al.  The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting , 1992 .

[27]  Lee Creighton,et al.  JMP Start Statistics , 2000 .