Multiattribute Utility Analysis for Ultralog

Abstract : The goal of this project was to develop and apply appropriate metrics to represent the functional and survivability characteristics of an experimental agent-based logistics system (UltraLog) and to apply the metrics in tools that would assist system designers, developers, and evaluators to compare, quantify, generate figures of merit, and make decisions. To make a survivability claim for UltraLog, it was necessary to demonstrate a particular level of survivability of UltraLog's performance in the face of a given level of information system infrastructure loss. Performance was quantified using concepts from multiattribute utility theory and model parameters elicited from groups of experts. Infrastructure loss was quantified in terms of a novel approach partially based on information system path complexity.