Dynamic Attribute-Level Best Worst Discrete Choice Experiments

Dynamic modelling of decision maker choice behavior of best and worst in discrete choice experiments (DCEs) has numerous applications. Such models are proposed under utility function of decision maker and are used in many areas including social sciences, health economics, transportation research, and health systems research. After reviewing references on the study of such experiments, we present example in DCE with emphasis on time dependent best-worst choice and discrimination between choice attributes. Numerical examples of the dynamic DCEs are simulated, and the associated expected utilities over time of the choice models are derived using Markov decision processes. The estimates are computationally consistent with decision choices over time.

[1]  Sean R Eddy,et al.  What is dynamic programming? , 2004, Nature Biotechnology.

[2]  Peter Arcidiacono,et al.  Practical Methods for Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models , 2011 .

[3]  R. Schwabe,et al.  Optimal design for discrete choice experiments , 2013 .

[4]  Mandy Ryan,et al.  Specification of the utility function in discrete choice experiments. , 2014, Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research.

[5]  Emily Lancsar,et al.  Discrete Choice Experiments: A Guide to Model Specification, Estimation and Software , 2017, PharmacoEconomics.

[6]  A. Anas Discrete choice theory, information theory and the multinomial logit and gravity models , 1983 .

[7]  Melvyn Weeks,et al.  Discrete choice methods with simulation, Kenneth E. Train, Cambridge University Press, 2003, ISBN: 0-521-81696-3, pp. 334 , 2003 .

[8]  Rainer Schwabe,et al.  Design for Discrete Choice Experiments , 2015 .

[9]  Martin L. Puterman,et al.  Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming , 1994 .

[10]  Marie-Josée Cros,et al.  MDPtoolbox: a multi-platform toolbox to solve stochastic dynamic programming problems , 2014 .

[11]  H. Timmermans,et al.  Stated preference and choice models applied to recreation research : a review , 1990 .

[12]  John Rust,et al.  Structural estimation of markov decision processes , 1986 .

[13]  J. Louviere,et al.  Conducting Discrete Choice Experiments to Inform Healthcare Decision Making , 2012, PharmacoEconomics.

[14]  D. Street,et al.  The effect of adverse information and positive promotion on women's preferences for prescribed contraceptive products. , 2013, Social science & medicine.

[15]  J. Louviere,et al.  Probabilistic models of set-dependent and attribute-level best-worst choice , 2008 .

[16]  D. Street,et al.  Designing for Attribute-Level Best-Worst Choice Experiments , 2012 .

[17]  D. McFadden Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior , 1972 .

[18]  A. A. J. Marley,et al.  A formal and empirical comparison of two score measures for best–worst scaling , 2016 .

[19]  Shanefrederick,et al.  Time Discounting and Time Preference : A Critical Review , 2022 .

[20]  Heinz Holling,et al.  Optimal designs for main effects in linear paired comparison models , 2004 .

[21]  Heinz Holling,et al.  Optimal paired comparison designs for first-order interactions , 2003 .

[22]  R. Schwabe,et al.  Approximate and exact optimal designs for paired comparisons of partial profiles when there are two groups of factors , 2009 .

[23]  Emily Lancsar,et al.  Best worst discrete choice experiments in health: methods and an application. , 2013, Social science & medicine.

[24]  T. Peters,et al.  Best--worst scaling: What it can do for health care research and how to do it. , 2007, Journal of health economics.

[25]  K. Arrow,et al.  The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics , 2020 .

[26]  S. Lipovetsky,et al.  Best-Worst Scaling in analytical closed-form solution , 2014 .

[27]  D. Street,et al.  The Construction of Optimal Stated Choice Experiments: Theory and Methods by STREET, D. J. and BURGESS, L. , 2007 .

[28]  Jordan J. Louviere,et al.  Design and Analysis of Simulated Consumer Choice or Allocation Experiments: An Approach Based on Aggregate Data , 1983 .

[29]  J. Blanchet,et al.  A markov chain approximation to choice modeling , 2013, EC '13.

[30]  Peter Burge,et al.  Best-worst scaling vs. discrete choice experiments: an empirical comparison using social care data. , 2011, Social science & medicine.

[31]  Jordan J. Louviere,et al.  Best-Worst Scaling: Theory, Methods and Applications , 2015 .

[32]  Denzil G. Fiebig,et al.  What’s Good and Bad About Contraceptive Products? , 2012, PharmacoEconomics (Auckland).

[33]  David A. Hensher,et al.  A latent class model for discrete choice analysis: contrasts with mixed logit , 2003 .