A Methodology for Assessing the Environmental Effects Induced by ICT Services: Part I: Single Services

Information and communication technologies (ICT) are increasingly seen as key enablers for climate change mitigation measures. They can make existing products and activities more efficient or substitute them altogether. Consequently, different initiatives have started to estimate the environmental effects of ICT services. Such assessments, however, lack scientific rigor and often rely on crude assumptions and methods, leading to inaccurate or even misleading results. The few methodological attempts that exist do not address several crucial aspects, and are thus insufficient to foster good assessment practice. Starting from such a high-level standard from the European Telecommunication Standardisation Institute (ETSI) and the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), this article identifies the shortcomings of existing methodologies and proposes solutions. It addresses several aspects for the assessment of single ICT services: the goal and scope definition (analyzing differences between ICT substitution and optimization, the time perspective of the assessment, the challenge of a hypothetical baseline for the situation without the ICT solution, and the differences between modelling and case studies) as well as the often-ignored influence of rebound effects and the difficult extrapolation from case studies to larger populations.

[1]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  Information technology and renewable energy — Modelling, simulation, decision support and environmental assessment , 2015 .

[2]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  Assessing Internet energy intensity: A review of methods and results , 2014 .

[3]  Dennis Pamlin Sustainability at the speed of light : opportunities and challenges for tomorrow's society , 2002 .

[4]  Mattias Höjer,et al.  A Methodology for Assessing the Environmental Effects Induced by ICT Services: Part II: Multiple Services and Companies , 2020, ICT4S.

[5]  Göran Finnveden,et al.  Business meetings at a distance - decreasing greenhouse gas emissions and cumulative energy demand? , 2013 .

[6]  Dag Lunden,et al.  Life Cycle Assessment of ICT , 2014 .

[7]  O. Edenhofer,et al.  Climate change 2014 : mitigation of climate change , 2014 .

[8]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  Environmental impacts of an international conference , 2002 .

[9]  F. Geels Technological transitions as evolutionary reconfiguration processes: a multi-level perspective and a case-study , 2002 .

[10]  M. Binswanger Technological progress and sustainable development: what about the rebound effect? , 2001 .

[11]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  Assessing Indirect Environmental Effects of Information and Communication Technology (ICT): A Systematic Literature Review , 2018, Sustainability.

[12]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  Energy Consumed vs. Energy Saved by ICT - A Closer Look , 2009, EnviroInfo.

[13]  Andrea Emilio Rizzoli,et al.  Modeling and evaluating the sustainability of smart solutions , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[14]  Jens Malmodin,et al.  Assessing ICT's enabling effect through case study extrapolation — The example of smart metering , 2016, 2016 Electronics Goes Green 2016+ (EGG).

[15]  J. D. Khazzoom,et al.  Economic Implications of Mandated Efficiency in Standards for Household Appliances , 1980 .

[16]  COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT, THE COUNCIL, THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMITTEE AND THE COMMITTEE OF THE REGIONS , 2008 .

[17]  Cecilia Håkansson,et al.  Including second order effects in environmental assessments of ICT , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[18]  S. Sorrell Jevons’ Paradox revisited: The evidence for backfire from improved energy efficiency , 2009 .

[19]  Friedemann Mattern,et al.  Digital Rebound - Why Digitalization Will not Redeem us our Environmental Sins , 2019, ICT4S.

[20]  D. Sackett Bias in analytic research. , 1979, Journal of chronic diseases.

[21]  Mattias Höjer,et al.  Digitalisering och hållbar konsumtion : Underlagsrapport till fördjupad utvärdering av miljömålsarbetet , 2015 .

[22]  P. Berkhout,et al.  Defining the rebound effect , 2000 .

[23]  Jens Malmodin,et al.  Considerations for macro-level studies of ICTas enablement potential , 2014, ICT4S.

[24]  N. Nakicenovic,et al.  A roadmap for rapid decarbonization , 2017, Science.

[25]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  Effects of Internet-based multiple-site conferences on greenhouse gas emissions , 2012, Telematics Informatics.

[26]  L. Hilty,et al.  Scenario Analysis , 2010, Ten Laws of Operational Risk.

[27]  Sheridan Roberts,et al.  Measuring the Relationship between ICT and the Environment , 2009 .

[28]  Lorenz M. Hilty,et al.  ICT for Sustainability: An Emerging Research Field , 2015, ICT Innovations for Sustainability.

[29]  Eric Williams,et al.  Environmental effects of information and communications technologies , 2011, Nature.

[30]  Nina Lövehagen,et al.  Considerations for macro-level studies of ICT ́ s enabling potential , 2014 .

[31]  C. Flachsland Mitigation of Climate Change: Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2015 .

[32]  N. H. Ravindranath,et al.  Climate change mitigation in the energy and forestry sectors of developing countries , 1998 .

[33]  M. Ha-Duong,et al.  Climate change 2014 - Mitigation of climate change , 2015 .