Risk Analysis Method in R&D of Air-to-Air Missile

How to identify risks that occur in the process of RD of Air-to-air Missile with systematic and effectively way,and how to prevent risks effectually are very important problems to be solved.In this paper a risk analysis method has been presented from three aspects of viewpoint: the soft hardware maturity,complexity and dependency.The failure probability of RD of Air-to-air Missile has been evaluated also by the priority based on Delphi method.Then consequence of fail to RD has been analyzed in the viewpoints of technology,schedule and cost;meanwhile a integrated risk of RD of Air-to-air Missile can be assessed.