Hypothetical Intertemporal Consumption Choices

The paper extends and replicates part of the analysis by Barsky, Juster, Kimball, and Shapiro (1997), which exploits hypothetical choices among different consumption streams to infer intertemporal substitution elasticities and rates of time preference.We use a new and much larger dataset than Barsky et al. Furthermore, we estimate structural models of intertemporal choice, while parameterizing the parameters of interest as a function of relevant individual characteristics.We also consider lobehaviorallc extensions, like habit formation.Models with habit formation appear to be superior to models with intertemporally additive preferences.

[1]  R. Thaler,et al.  Anomalies: Intertemporal Choice , 1989 .

[2]  Â. F. Spinnewyn,et al.  Rational habit formation , 1981 .

[3]  Larry G. Epstein,et al.  Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: An Empirical Analysis , 1991, Journal of Political Economy.

[4]  Bas Donkers,et al.  Subjective measures of household preferences and financial decisions , 1999 .

[5]  Jon Elster,et al.  Ulysses and the Sirens: A theory of imperfect rationality , 1977 .

[6]  W. Mischel,et al.  Effects of expected delay time on the subjective value of rewards and punishments. , 1969, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[7]  A. Atkeson,et al.  Wealth-varying intertemporal elasticities of substitution: Evidence from panel and aggregate data☆ , 1996 .

[8]  W. Mischel,et al.  Waiting for rewards and punishments: effects of time and probability on choice. , 1967, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[9]  G. Ainslie Specious reward: a behavioral theory of impulsiveness and impulse control. , 1975, Psychological bulletin.

[10]  David Laibson,et al.  Self-Control and Saving for Retirement , 1998 .

[11]  B. Melenberg,et al.  Estimating Risk Attitudes using Lotteries: A Large Sample Approach , 1999 .

[12]  Larry G. Epstein,et al.  Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework , 1989 .

[13]  Emily C Lawrance Poverty and the Rate of Time Preference: Evidence from Panel Data , 1991, Journal of Political Economy.

[14]  B. Peleg,et al.  On the Existence of a Consistent Course of Action when Tastes are Changing , 1973 .

[15]  P. Kooreman Individual discounting and the purchase of durables with random lifetimes , 1995 .

[16]  G. Loewenstein Frames of mind in intertemporal choice , 1988 .

[17]  A. Atkeson,et al.  Rate of Time Preference, Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution, and Level of Wealth , 1997, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[18]  W. Mischel,et al.  Preference for delayed reward as a function of age, intelligence, and length of delay interval. , 1962, Journal of abnormal and social psychology.

[19]  C. Carroll Solving consumption models with multiplicative habits , 2000 .

[20]  M. Allais,et al.  Economie et Interet. , 1949 .

[21]  A. Atkeson,et al.  Rate of Time Preference, Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution, and Level of Wealth , 1997 .

[22]  I. Fisher,et al.  The theory of interest , 1956 .

[23]  J. Ullmo,et al.  Economie et Interet , 1952 .

[24]  R. H. Strotz Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization , 1955 .

[25]  R. Thaler,et al.  An Economic Theory of Self-Control , 1977, Journal of Political Economy.

[26]  N. Mankiw,et al.  The Consumption of Stockholders and Non-Stockholders , 1990 .

[27]  Peter J. Hammond,et al.  Changing Tastes and Coherent Dynamic Choice , 1976 .

[28]  Jerry A. Hausman,et al.  Individual Discount Rates and the Purchase and Utilization of Energy-Using Durables , 1979 .

[29]  R. Robert Russell,et al.  Consistent Intertemporal Decision Making , 1973 .

[30]  Miles S. Kimball,et al.  Preference Parameters and Behavioral Heterogeneity: An Experimental Approach in the Health and Retirement Survey , 1995 .

[31]  M. Straus Deferred gratification, social class, and the achievement syndrome. , 1962 .